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00:01:04,369\n今年度所有預估都是但是我看到你對於電價對於未來如果電費漲價對於未來通膨的影響你好像認為說如果有連鎖效應的時候例如我其實看到前幾年數字如果電價上漲就是對於PPI指數也會上漲製造業的生產者製造業的物價指數跟我們的物價指數都會同步的上漲\n\n4\n00:01:05,129 --> 00:01:32,943\n那這會有連鎖的效應,是不是?當然啦,這個只是說我們concern啦事實上前幾波是沒有這樣的一個現象啦我只是說有些時候我們會就是說是要考慮遭援一點或就是說比較保守一點所以我才做這樣的一個解釋那不然事實上我剛剛在強調的就是說事實上如果說你到2.2\n\n5\n00:01:34,564 --> 00:01:48,449\n二點二事實上呢二點二也是在2%左右啦而且也是說二點四九的下來就是二點二嘛假設說這樣子說啦假設我沒有就說是二點二啦但是我中央銀行呢我是比較單比較\n\n6\n00:01:50,049 --> 00:02:07,345\n比較要小心的就是說我們的物價從1.97到2.95到2.49到今年如果說再突破2%的話那很顯然的就是說這個可能就是說在很長的時間都是超過2%這個我們要小心\n\n7\n00:02:09,387 --> 00:02:23,946\n通膨高利率就要高這個就是一定的嘛這個是道理我不要就說是就理論上是這樣子就實務上也是這樣子通膨高利率就要高這個是無庸置疑的\n\n8\n00:02:24,346 --> 00:02:40,050\n所以美國他們這個月它的物價本來預期會下跌可是它又好像有一點緩步的上升所以使得他們預計可能要降碼的這個FED要降息的這樣子的腳步會趨緩\n\n9\n00:02:43,812 --> 00:02:58,233\n對於台灣而言我們也沒有降息的空間嗎所以這是你早上的我剛剛也是在講對沒有錯就是說在6月底以前我們怎麼會有考慮到就是說要降息呢不會那如果有假呢昨天\n\n10\n00:02:58,813 --> 00:03:21,505\n昨天主席講他說的他預期今年度的3.43%的經濟成長率是因為他把油價設算成82左右我剛還問了中油他們預估今年的油價是80那目前是80有可能就在於75到95的這個區間那我不曉得央行這個\n\n11\n00:03:26,208 --> 00:03:49,504\n對,我們事實上在我們的報告裡面我們也提到了因為這個央行不會自己去預測那個油價是會多少我們也都是引用國外的權威的那個什麼的機構那基本上我們預測好像也是差不多超81塊左右平均一年也不會就是說比去年高事實上跟去年低一點點而已\n\n12\n00:03:50,325 --> 00:04:13,214\n跟去年實際的石油的價格是稍微低一點點不過還是提高啦那個尾巴的衝突是啦那因為這個預測我跟委員報告就預測是很難就是說現在預測81塊就是81塊也不是這個是參考價值我說的只是參考值而已啦一樣的不是石油價格是這樣子\n\n13\n00:04:14,915 --> 00:04:22,186\n實際上你對CPI或是對那個ZDP的預測都是參考價值而已因為後面的那個資訊會慢慢的進來那什麼時候我們這個3.43%不會達成\n\n14\n00:04:28,383 --> 00:04:55,014\n經濟成長率GDP4.3我跟委員報告因為他認為就是說我們的出口會好我記得好像他就是說預測出口會成長6.1他在這樣的一個前提之下6.1除了就是說6.1他出口好還有另外他就說他的進口可能會比較下跌一點\n\n15\n00:04:55,894 --> 00:05:08,106\n他他的那個輸出這個部分那所以呢他就做了這樣的一個那假設說出口沒有他這樣子的好的話那可怕恐怕我們的經濟增長力也不會那麼高\n\n16\n00:05:08,857 --> 00:05:38,189\n所以還是要看出口嗎?出口好,你的投資才會好所以油跟電對於這個GDP的影響性就你看起來就是依他那個估計起來都不會影響太大基本上呢油價是比較不會影響到我們的GDP啦油價呢也比較不會影響到我們今年的那個什麼物價的水準啦但是呢\n\n17\n00:05:38,949 --> 00:05:56,917\n我們的我們的經濟部我們的台電之所以要漲價是因為他虧損他虧損他要彌補他以前的他動動要凍結的部分他現在要慢慢的要上升所以呢也就是說你直接的效果就電價上漲的時候對CPI他馬上會有直接的影響另外呢\n\n18\n00:06:00,558 --> 00:06:20,448\n我們的企業他因為當價當價漲的時候呢他的生產成本也會提高生產成本提高的時候呢他會廣價給這個消費者那出口數字也有可能會影響嗎那出口的話基本上是比較是比較比較不會了還有看到你的外匯啊是不是\n\n19\n00:06:21,988 --> 00:06:46,243\n是是是還有對於就是各國都在研究數位貨幣是對這也是你有做好準備嗎對於我們的治安對因為我們已經沒有辦法仰賴數位部了嗎現在數位部好像都沒有就是infunctional可是你的專家學者是我們很care的一個\n\n20\n00:06:47,083 --> 00:07:15,503\n對,治安的問題呢?你們央行內部的研究對於治安的問題那唯有治安的問題解決了數位貨幣才有可能實行這個我也覺得委員講得很有道理就是說治安這個一定就是說不能就是說央行的一個系統被駭客進去了以後我們的CPTC整個受到很大的影響那這個支付會亂起來啊\n\n21\n00:07:16,303 --> 00:07:21,966\n喔這個也是我們非常謹慎的地方也是在這裡啊那你們已經做了沙盒的那個我們這個都有在注意什麼時候可以至於我剛才也講了就是說至於什麼時候一定要保守喔\n\n22\n00:07:33,513 --> 00:07:53,843\n什麼時候你可以做好準備?因為其實各國都在準備了嗎?什麼時候?我們都說他在準備他在做研究但是基本上中央銀行也是一樣的但是我們是很謹慎的但是我們的步伐不會比他們慢我們的步伐也許都比他們快\n\n23\n00:07:54,571 --> 00:08:10,020\n好,主席已經站起來了。他比較喜歡比特幣,他不喜歡數位貨幣。謝謝。好,謝謝。接著請邱智偉,邱偉文資訊\n\n","tsv":"start\tend\ttext\n2216\t5160\t謝謝主席我想要請我們楊總裁楊總裁\n15106\t34365\t總裁好我本來是要來詢問你的不過我要的問題你早上好像都已經回答了因為其實我看到通膨的問題你一說國內的通膨可能要定毛在2%我看現在好像都在2%左右對不對\n35286\t64369\t今年度所有預估都是但是我看到你對於電價對於未來如果電費漲價對於未來通膨的影響你好像認為說如果有連鎖效應的時候例如我其實看到前幾年數字如果電價上漲就是對於PPI指數也會上漲製造業的生產者製造業的物價指數跟我們的物價指數都會同步的上漲\n65129\t92943\t那這會有連鎖的效應,是不是?當然啦,這個只是說我們concern 啦事實上前幾波是沒有這樣的一個現象啦我只是說有些時候我們會就是說是要考慮遭援一點或就是說比較保守一點所以我才做這樣的一個解釋那不然事實上我剛剛在強調的就是說事實上如果說你到2.2\n94564\t108449\t二點二事實上呢二點二也是在2%左右啦而且也是說二點四九的下來就是二點二嘛假設說這樣子說啦假設我沒有就說是二點二啦但是我中央銀行呢我是比較單比較\n110049\t127345\t比較要小心的就是說我們的物價從1.97到2.95到2.49到今年如果說再突破2%的話那很顯然的就是說這個可能就是說在很長的時間都是超過2%這個我們要小心\n129387\t143946\t通膨高利率就要高這個就是一定的嘛這個是道理我不要就說是就理論上是這樣子就實務上也是這樣子通膨高利率就要高這個是無庸置疑的\n144346\t160050\t所以美國他們這個月它的物價本來預期會下跌可是它又好像有一點緩步的上升所以使得他們預計可能要降碼的這個FED要降息的這樣子的腳步會趨緩\n163812\t178233\t對於台灣而言我們也沒有降息的空間嗎所以這是你早上的我剛剛也是在講對沒有錯就是說在6月底以前我們怎麼會有考慮到就是說要降息呢不會那如果有假呢昨天\n178813\t201505\t昨天主席講他說的他預期今年度的3.43%的經濟成長率是因為他把油價設算成82左右我剛還問了中油他們預估今年的油價是80那目前是80有可能就在於75到95的這個區間那我不曉得央行這個\n206208\t229504\t對,我們事實上在我們的報告裡面我們也提到了因為這個央行不會自己去預測那個油價是會多少我們也都是引用國外的權威的那個什麼的機構那基本上我們預測好像也是差不多超81塊左右平均一年也不會就是說比去年高事實上跟去年低一點點而已\n230325\t253214\t跟去年實際的石油的價格是稍微低一點點不過還是提高啦那個尾巴的衝突是啦那因為這個預測我跟委員報告就預測是很難就是說現在預測81塊就是81塊也不是這個是參考價值我說的只是參考值而已啦一樣的不是石油價格是這樣子\n254915\t262186\t實際上你對CPI或是對那個ZDP的預測都是參考價值而已因為後面的那個資訊會慢慢的進來那什麼時候我們這個3.43%不會達成\n268383\t295014\t經濟成長率GDP 4.3我跟委員報告因為他認為就是說我們的出口會好我記得好像他就是說預測出口會成長6.1他在這樣的一個前提之下6.1除了就是說6.1他出口好還有另外他就說他的進口可能會比較下跌一點\n295894\t308106\t他他的那個輸出這個部分那所以呢他就做了這樣的一個那假設說出口沒有他這樣子的好的話那可怕恐怕我們的經濟增長力也不會那麼高\n308857\t338189\t所以還是要看出口嗎?出口好,你的投資才會好所以油跟電對於這個GDP的影響性就你看起來就是依他那個估計起來都不會影響太大基本上呢油價是比較不會影響到我們的GDP啦油價呢也比較不會影響到我們今年的那個什麼物價的水準啦但是呢\n338949\t356917\t我們的我們的經濟部我們的台電之所以要漲價是因為他虧損他虧損他要彌補他以前的他動動要凍結的部分他現在要慢慢的要上升所以呢也就是說你直接的效果就電價上漲的時候對CPI他馬上會有直接的影響另外呢\n360558\t380448\t我們的企業他因為當價 當價漲的時候呢他的生產成本也會提高生產成本提高的時候呢他會廣價給這個消費者那出口數字也有可能會影響嗎那出口的話基本上是比較是比較比較不會了還有看到你的外匯啊是不是\n381988\t406243\t是是是還有對於就是各國都在研究數位貨幣是對這也是你有做好準備嗎對於我們的治安對因為我們已經沒有辦法仰賴數位部了嗎現在數位部好像都沒有就是infunctional可是你的專家學者是我們很care的一個\n407083\t435503\t對,治安的問題呢?你們央行內部的研究對於治安的問題那唯有治安的問題解決了數位貨幣才有可能實行這個我也覺得委員講得很有道理就是說治安這個一定就是說不能就是說央行的一個系統被駭客進去了以後我們的CPTC整個受到很大的影響那這個支付會亂起來啊\n436303\t441966\t喔這個也是我們非常謹慎的地方也是在這裡啊那你們已經做了沙盒的那個我們這個都有在注意什麼時候可以至於我剛才也講了就是說至於什麼時候一定要保守喔\n453513\t473843\t什麼時候你可以做好準備?因為其實各國都在準備了嗎?什麼時候?我們都說他在準備他在做研究但是基本上中央銀行也是一樣的但是我們是很謹慎的但是我們的步伐不會比他們慢我們的步伐也許都比他們快\n474571\t490020\t好,主席已經站起來了。他比較喜歡比特幣,他不喜歡數位貨幣。謝謝。好,謝謝。接著請邱智偉,邱偉文資訊\n","txt":"謝謝主席我想要請我們楊總裁楊總裁\n總裁好我本來是要來詢問你的不過我要的問題你早上好像都已經回答了因為其實我看到通膨的問題你一說國內的通膨可能要定毛在2%我看現在好像都在2%左右對不對\n今年度所有預估都是但是我看到你對於電價對於未來如果電費漲價對於未來通膨的影響你好像認為說如果有連鎖效應的時候例如我其實看到前幾年數字如果電價上漲就是對於PPI指數也會上漲製造業的生產者製造業的物價指數跟我們的物價指數都會同步的上漲\n那這會有連鎖的效應,是不是?當然啦,這個只是說我們concern 啦事實上前幾波是沒有這樣的一個現象啦我只是說有些時候我們會就是說是要考慮遭援一點或就是說比較保守一點所以我才做這樣的一個解釋那不然事實上我剛剛在強調的就是說事實上如果說你到2.2\n二點二事實上呢二點二也是在2%左右啦而且也是說二點四九的下來就是二點二嘛假設說這樣子說啦假設我沒有就說是二點二啦但是我中央銀行呢我是比較單比較\n比較要小心的就是說我們的物價從1.97到2.95到2.49到今年如果說再突破2%的話那很顯然的就是說這個可能就是說在很長的時間都是超過2%這個我們要小心\n通膨高利率就要高這個就是一定的嘛這個是道理我不要就說是就理論上是這樣子就實務上也是這樣子通膨高利率就要高這個是無庸置疑的\n所以美國他們這個月它的物價本來預期會下跌可是它又好像有一點緩步的上升所以使得他們預計可能要降碼的這個FED要降息的這樣子的腳步會趨緩\n對於台灣而言我們也沒有降息的空間嗎所以這是你早上的我剛剛也是在講對沒有錯就是說在6月底以前我們怎麼會有考慮到就是說要降息呢不會那如果有假呢昨天\n昨天主席講他說的他預期今年度的3.43%的經濟成長率是因為他把油價設算成82左右我剛還問了中油他們預估今年的油價是80那目前是80有可能就在於75到95的這個區間那我不曉得央行這個\n對,我們事實上在我們的報告裡面我們也提到了因為這個央行不會自己去預測那個油價是會多少我們也都是引用國外的權威的那個什麼的機構那基本上我們預測好像也是差不多超81塊左右平均一年也不會就是說比去年高事實上跟去年低一點點而已\n跟去年實際的石油的價格是稍微低一點點不過還是提高啦那個尾巴的衝突是啦那因為這個預測我跟委員報告就預測是很難就是說現在預測81塊就是81塊也不是這個是參考價值我說的只是參考值而已啦一樣的不是石油價格是這樣子\n實際上你對CPI或是對那個ZDP的預測都是參考價值而已因為後面的那個資訊會慢慢的進來那什麼時候我們這個3.43%不會達成\n經濟成長率GDP 4.3我跟委員報告因為他認為就是說我們的出口會好我記得好像他就是說預測出口會成長6.1他在這樣的一個前提之下6.1除了就是說6.1他出口好還有另外他就說他的進口可能會比較下跌一點\n他他的那個輸出這個部分那所以呢他就做了這樣的一個那假設說出口沒有他這樣子的好的話那可怕恐怕我們的經濟增長力也不會那麼高\n所以還是要看出口嗎?出口好,你的投資才會好所以油跟電對於這個GDP的影響性就你看起來就是依他那個估計起來都不會影響太大基本上呢油價是比較不會影響到我們的GDP啦油價呢也比較不會影響到我們今年的那個什麼物價的水準啦但是呢\n我們的我們的經濟部我們的台電之所以要漲價是因為他虧損他虧損他要彌補他以前的他動動要凍結的部分他現在要慢慢的要上升所以呢也就是說你直接的效果就電價上漲的時候對CPI他馬上會有直接的影響另外呢\n我們的企業他因為當價 當價漲的時候呢他的生產成本也會提高生產成本提高的時候呢他會廣價給這個消費者那出口數字也有可能會影響嗎那出口的話基本上是比較是比較比較不會了還有看到你的外匯啊是不是\n是是是還有對於就是各國都在研究數位貨幣是對這也是你有做好準備嗎對於我們的治安對因為我們已經沒有辦法仰賴數位部了嗎現在數位部好像都沒有就是infunctional可是你的專家學者是我們很care的一個\n對,治安的問題呢?你們央行內部的研究對於治安的問題那唯有治安的問題解決了數位貨幣才有可能實行這個我也覺得委員講得很有道理就是說治安這個一定就是說不能就是說央行的一個系統被駭客進去了以後我們的CPTC整個受到很大的影響那這個支付會亂起來啊\n喔這個也是我們非常謹慎的地方也是在這裡啊那你們已經做了沙盒的那個我們這個都有在注意什麼時候可以至於我剛才也講了就是說至於什麼時候一定要保守喔\n什麼時候你可以做好準備?因為其實各國都在準備了嗎?什麼時候?我們都說他在準備他在做研究但是基本上中央銀行也是一樣的但是我們是很謹慎的但是我們的步伐不會比他們慢我們的步伐也許都比他們快\n好,主席已經站起來了。他比較喜歡比特幣,他不喜歡數位貨幣。謝謝。好,謝謝。接著請邱智偉,邱偉文資訊\n","vtt":"WEBVTT\n\n00:02.216 --> 00:05.160\n謝謝主席我想要請我們楊總裁楊總裁\n\n00:15.106 --> 00:34.365\n總裁好我本來是要來詢問你的不過我要的問題你早上好像都已經回答了因為其實我看到通膨的問題你一說國內的通膨可能要定毛在2%我看現在好像都在2%左右對不對\n\n00:35.286 --> 01:04.369\n今年度所有預估都是但是我看到你對於電價對於未來如果電費漲價對於未來通膨的影響你好像認為說如果有連鎖效應的時候例如我其實看到前幾年數字如果電價上漲就是對於PPI指數也會上漲製造業的生產者製造業的物價指數跟我們的物價指數都會同步的上漲\n\n01:05.129 --> 01:32.943\n那這會有連鎖的效應,是不是?當然啦,這個只是說我們concern啦事實上前幾波是沒有這樣的一個現象啦我只是說有些時候我們會就是說是要考慮遭援一點或就是說比較保守一點所以我才做這樣的一個解釋那不然事實上我剛剛在強調的就是說事實上如果說你到2.2\n\n01:34.564 --> 01:48.449\n二點二事實上呢二點二也是在2%左右啦而且也是說二點四九的下來就是二點二嘛假設說這樣子說啦假設我沒有就說是二點二啦但是我中央銀行呢我是比較單比較\n\n01:50.049 --> 02:07.345\n比較要小心的就是說我們的物價從1.97到2.95到2.49到今年如果說再突破2%的話那很顯然的就是說這個可能就是說在很長的時間都是超過2%這個我們要小心\n\n02:09.387 --> 02:23.946\n通膨高利率就要高這個就是一定的嘛這個是道理我不要就說是就理論上是這樣子就實務上也是這樣子通膨高利率就要高這個是無庸置疑的\n\n02:24.346 --> 02:40.050\n所以美國他們這個月它的物價本來預期會下跌可是它又好像有一點緩步的上升所以使得他們預計可能要降碼的這個FED要降息的這樣子的腳步會趨緩\n\n02:43.812 --> 02:58.233\n對於台灣而言我們也沒有降息的空間嗎所以這是你早上的我剛剛也是在講對沒有錯就是說在6月底以前我們怎麼會有考慮到就是說要降息呢不會那如果有假呢昨天\n\n02:58.813 --> 03:21.505\n昨天主席講他說的他預期今年度的3.43%的經濟成長率是因為他把油價設算成82左右我剛還問了中油他們預估今年的油價是80那目前是80有可能就在於75到95的這個區間那我不曉得央行這個\n\n03:26.208 --> 03:49.504\n對,我們事實上在我們的報告裡面我們也提到了因為這個央行不會自己去預測那個油價是會多少我們也都是引用國外的權威的那個什麼的機構那基本上我們預測好像也是差不多超81塊左右平均一年也不會就是說比去年高事實上跟去年低一點點而已\n\n03:50.325 --> 04:13.214\n跟去年實際的石油的價格是稍微低一點點不過還是提高啦那個尾巴的衝突是啦那因為這個預測我跟委員報告就預測是很難就是說現在預測81塊就是81塊也不是這個是參考價值我說的只是參考值而已啦一樣的不是石油價格是這樣子\n\n04:14.915 --> 04:22.186\n實際上你對CPI或是對那個ZDP的預測都是參考價值而已因為後面的那個資訊會慢慢的進來那什麼時候我們這個3.43%不會達成\n\n04:28.383 --> 04:55.014\n經濟成長率GDP4.3我跟委員報告因為他認為就是說我們的出口會好我記得好像他就是說預測出口會成長6.1他在這樣的一個前提之下6.1除了就是說6.1他出口好還有另外他就說他的進口可能會比較下跌一點\n\n04:55.894 --> 05:08.106\n他他的那個輸出這個部分那所以呢他就做了這樣的一個那假設說出口沒有他這樣子的好的話那可怕恐怕我們的經濟增長力也不會那麼高\n\n05:08.857 --> 05:38.189\n所以還是要看出口嗎?出口好,你的投資才會好所以油跟電對於這個GDP的影響性就你看起來就是依他那個估計起來都不會影響太大基本上呢油價是比較不會影響到我們的GDP啦油價呢也比較不會影響到我們今年的那個什麼物價的水準啦但是呢\n\n05:38.949 --> 05:56.917\n我們的我們的經濟部我們的台電之所以要漲價是因為他虧損他虧損他要彌補他以前的他動動要凍結的部分他現在要慢慢的要上升所以呢也就是說你直接的效果就電價上漲的時候對CPI他馬上會有直接的影響另外呢\n\n06:00.558 --> 06:20.448\n我們的企業他因為當價當價漲的時候呢他的生產成本也會提高生產成本提高的時候呢他會廣價給這個消費者那出口數字也有可能會影響嗎那出口的話基本上是比較是比較比較不會了還有看到你的外匯啊是不是\n\n06:21.988 --> 06:46.243\n是是是還有對於就是各國都在研究數位貨幣是對這也是你有做好準備嗎對於我們的治安對因為我們已經沒有辦法仰賴數位部了嗎現在數位部好像都沒有就是infunctional可是你的專家學者是我們很care的一個\n\n06:47.083 --> 07:15.503\n對,治安的問題呢?你們央行內部的研究對於治安的問題那唯有治安的問題解決了數位貨幣才有可能實行這個我也覺得委員講得很有道理就是說治安這個一定就是說不能就是說央行的一個系統被駭客進去了以後我們的CPTC整個受到很大的影響那這個支付會亂起來啊\n\n07:16.303 --> 07:21.966\n喔這個也是我們非常謹慎的地方也是在這裡啊那你們已經做了沙盒的那個我們這個都有在注意什麼時候可以至於我剛才也講了就是說至於什麼時候一定要保守喔\n\n07:33.513 --> 07:53.843\n什麼時候你可以做好準備?因為其實各國都在準備了嗎?什麼時候?我們都說他在準備他在做研究但是基本上中央銀行也是一樣的但是我們是很謹慎的但是我們的步伐不會比他們慢我們的步伐也許都比他們快\n\n07:54.571 --> 08:10.020\n好,主席已經站起來了。他比較喜歡比特幣,他不喜歡數位貨幣。謝謝。好,謝謝。接著請邱智偉,邱偉文資訊\n\n","segments":[{"start":2.216,"end":5.16,"text":"謝謝主席我想要請我們楊總裁楊總裁"},{"start":15.106,"end":34.365,"text":"總裁好我本來是要來詢問你的不過我要的問題你早上好像都已經回答了因為其實我看到通膨的問題你一說國內的通膨可能要定毛在2%我看現在好像都在2%左右對不對"},{"start":35.286,"end":64.369,"text":"今年度所有預估都是但是我看到你對於電價對於未來如果電費漲價對於未來通膨的影響你好像認為說如果有連鎖效應的時候例如我其實看到前幾年數字如果電價上漲就是對於PPI指數也會上漲製造業的生產者製造業的物價指數跟我們的物價指數都會同步的上漲"},{"start":65.129,"end":92.943,"text":"那這會有連鎖的效應,是不是?當然啦,這個只是說我們concern 啦事實上前幾波是沒有這樣的一個現象啦我只是說有些時候我們會就是說是要考慮遭援一點或就是說比較保守一點所以我才做這樣的一個解釋那不然事實上我剛剛在強調的就是說事實上如果說你到2.2"},{"start":94.564,"end":108.449,"text":"二點二事實上呢二點二也是在2%左右啦而且也是說二點四九的下來就是二點二嘛假設說這樣子說啦假設我沒有就說是二點二啦但是我中央銀行呢我是比較單比較"},{"start":110.049,"end":127.345,"text":"比較要小心的就是說我們的物價從1.97到2.95到2.49到今年如果說再突破2%的話那很顯然的就是說這個可能就是說在很長的時間都是超過2%這個我們要小心"},{"start":129.387,"end":143.946,"text":"通膨高利率就要高這個就是一定的嘛這個是道理我不要就說是就理論上是這樣子就實務上也是這樣子通膨高利率就要高這個是無庸置疑的"},{"start":144.346,"end":160.05,"text":"所以美國他們這個月它的物價本來預期會下跌可是它又好像有一點緩步的上升所以使得他們預計可能要降碼的這個FED要降息的這樣子的腳步會趨緩"},{"start":163.812,"end":178.233,"text":"對於台灣而言我們也沒有降息的空間嗎所以這是你早上的我剛剛也是在講對沒有錯就是說在6月底以前我們怎麼會有考慮到就是說要降息呢不會那如果有假呢昨天"},{"start":178.813,"end":201.505,"text":"昨天主席講他說的他預期今年度的3.43%的經濟成長率是因為他把油價設算成82左右我剛還問了中油他們預估今年的油價是80那目前是80有可能就在於75到95的這個區間那我不曉得央行這個"},{"start":206.208,"end":229.504,"text":"對,我們事實上在我們的報告裡面我們也提到了因為這個央行不會自己去預測那個油價是會多少我們也都是引用國外的權威的那個什麼的機構那基本上我們預測好像也是差不多超81塊左右平均一年也不會就是說比去年高事實上跟去年低一點點而已"},{"start":230.325,"end":253.214,"text":"跟去年實際的石油的價格是稍微低一點點不過還是提高啦那個尾巴的衝突是啦那因為這個預測我跟委員報告就預測是很難就是說現在預測81塊就是81塊也不是這個是參考價值我說的只是參考值而已啦一樣的不是石油價格是這樣子"},{"start":254.915,"end":262.186,"text":"實際上你對CPI或是對那個ZDP的預測都是參考價值而已因為後面的那個資訊會慢慢的進來那什麼時候我們這個3.43%不會達成"},{"start":268.383,"end":295.014,"text":"經濟成長率GDP 4.3我跟委員報告因為他認為就是說我們的出口會好我記得好像他就是說預測出口會成長6.1他在這樣的一個前提之下6.1除了就是說6.1他出口好還有另外他就說他的進口可能會比較下跌一點"},{"start":295.894,"end":308.106,"text":"他他的那個輸出這個部分那所以呢他就做了這樣的一個那假設說出口沒有他這樣子的好的話那可怕恐怕我們的經濟增長力也不會那麼高"},{"start":308.857,"end":338.189,"text":"所以還是要看出口嗎?出口好,你的投資才會好所以油跟電對於這個GDP的影響性就你看起來就是依他那個估計起來都不會影響太大基本上呢油價是比較不會影響到我們的GDP啦油價呢也比較不會影響到我們今年的那個什麼物價的水準啦但是呢"},{"start":338.949,"end":356.917,"text":"我們的我們的經濟部我們的台電之所以要漲價是因為他虧損他虧損他要彌補他以前的他動動要凍結的部分他現在要慢慢的要上升所以呢也就是說你直接的效果就電價上漲的時候對CPI他馬上會有直接的影響另外呢"},{"start":360.558,"end":380.448,"text":"我們的企業他因為當價 當價漲的時候呢他的生產成本也會提高生產成本提高的時候呢他會廣價給這個消費者那出口數字也有可能會影響嗎那出口的話基本上是比較是比較比較不會了還有看到你的外匯啊是不是"},{"start":381.988,"end":406.243,"text":"是是是還有對於就是各國都在研究數位貨幣是對這也是你有做好準備嗎對於我們的治安對因為我們已經沒有辦法仰賴數位部了嗎現在數位部好像都沒有就是infunctional可是你的專家學者是我們很care的一個"},{"start":407.083,"end":435.503,"text":"對,治安的問題呢?你們央行內部的研究對於治安的問題那唯有治安的問題解決了數位貨幣才有可能實行這個我也覺得委員講得很有道理就是說治安這個一定就是說不能就是說央行的一個系統被駭客進去了以後我們的CPTC整個受到很大的影響那這個支付會亂起來啊"},{"start":436.303,"end":441.966,"text":"喔這個也是我們非常謹慎的地方也是在這裡啊那你們已經做了沙盒的那個我們這個都有在注意什麼時候可以至於我剛才也講了就是說至於什麼時候一定要保守喔"},{"start":453.513,"end":473.843,"text":"什麼時候你可以做好準備?因為其實各國都在準備了嗎?什麼時候?我們都說他在準備他在做研究但是基本上中央銀行也是一樣的但是我們是很謹慎的但是我們的步伐不會比他們慢我們的步伐也許都比他們快"},{"start":474.571,"end":490.02,"text":"好,主席已經站起來了。他比較喜歡比特幣,他不喜歡數位貨幣。謝謝。好,謝謝。接著請邱智偉,邱偉文資訊"}]}}}}