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85.043, \"text\": \"這表示說國際貿易會增加所以我覺得到目前為止這樣的一個預測我覺得也是應該是合理的\", \"words\": [{\"word\": \"這\"}, {\"word\": \"表\", \"start\": 82.441, \"end\": 82.541, \"score\": 0.8}, {\"word\": \"示\", \"start\": 82.541, \"end\": 82.561, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"說\"}, {\"word\": \"國\"}, {\"word\": \"際\"}, {\"word\": \"貿\"}, {\"word\": \"易\", \"start\": 82.561, \"end\": 82.621, \"score\": 0.665}, {\"word\": \"會\"}, {\"word\": \"增\", \"start\": 82.621, \"end\": 82.721, \"score\": 0.753}, {\"word\": \"加\", \"start\": 82.721, \"end\": 82.821, \"score\": 0.8}, {\"word\": \"所\", \"start\": 82.821, \"end\": 82.841, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"以\", \"start\": 82.841, \"end\": 82.861, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"我\", \"start\": 82.861, \"end\": 82.921, \"score\": 0.662}, {\"word\": \"覺\"}, {\"word\": \"得\", \"start\": 82.921, \"end\": 83.422, \"score\": 0.958}, {\"word\": \"到\", \"start\": 83.422, \"end\": 83.562, \"score\": 0.857}, {\"word\": \"目\", \"start\": 83.562, \"end\": 83.622, \"score\": 0.58}, 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\"start\": 547.912, \"end\": 547.933, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"志\", \"start\": 547.933, \"end\": 548.093, \"score\": 0.845}, {\"word\": \"偉\"}, {\"word\": \"委\", \"start\": 548.093, \"end\": 548.113, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"員\"}], \"language\": \"zh\"}","srt":"1\n00:00:00,629 --> 00:00:27,922\n總裁,邀請總裁。總裁您好。在夜報當中我們有看到就是中央銀行有預期本年今年跟明年全球經濟是溫和成長的。通膨是降溫的。那我們看一下\n\n2\n00:00:29,423 --> 00:00:42,318\n全球經濟成長率之前央行說這個3月的時候我們看到你們的夜報說這個2024的上半年預期是2.8%那實際最後我們看到是2.7%\n\n3\n00:00:46,343 --> 00:01:03,173\n所以我覺得很準確是那麼今年的話呢你們是提到2025年你們是提到還是2.8%對那我不曉得說總裁您對明年的全球經濟景氣有沒有信心\n\n4\n00:01:06,515 --> 00:01:20,940\n我覺得就是說從今年開始主要的經濟體包括美國啦歐洲啦一些的經濟體重要的經濟體他們都在降息那這個降息的時候對全球的經濟是利多\n\n5\n00:01:22,441 --> 00:01:25,043\n這表示說國際貿易會增加所以我覺得到目前為止這樣的一個預測我覺得也是應該是合理的\n\n6\n00:01:40,396 --> 00:02:02,214\n不過呢就是說經濟的一個預測呢有些時候是也蠻困難的啦因為有很多的不確定因素所以呢這個也就是說每個月或是每個季呢他都會做一些的修改修正所以呢這個我們也會慢慢的會看看他的修正的情況怎麼樣\n\n7\n00:02:02,714 --> 00:02:20,289\n我覺得您就是客氣了因為確實看起來目前看起來都很準如果你剛剛講的業報上面也有提到就是預期美英歐日因為他貨幣寬鬆的一個政策我們看到了確實證實精準預測降息對吧\n\n8\n00:02:24,332 --> 00:02:39,093\n那我就要請教總裁就是你能夠精準預測各國降息、貨幣寬鬆這些你都能夠精準的預測那對我們國內自己你要如何面對通膨的考驗?\n\n9\n00:02:41,763 --> 00:02:55,992\n我跟委員報告就是說就我們台灣的一個物價事實上我們台灣的物價現在是慢慢在下來的你看看我們9月份才1.82我們的核心CPI才1.79那整年的話我們的預測我們整年今年的我們整年在9月份我們的預測是2.16\n\n10\n00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:09,560\n我們會每季每季做一些的修正\n\n11\n00:03:38,807 --> 00:03:49,435\n因為就是說國內的經濟、國內的一個物價的情況他會有一些不確定因素那這些不確定因素你就必須要做一些的調整\n\n12\n00:03:51,085 --> 00:04:14,871\n總裁我也是要繼續講你看你預估今年經濟成長率部分回升到3.82%那我們對照一下這個臺灣各季經濟成長率也沒有太失準那2025年預期的成長率就變成是3.08為什麼?\n\n13\n00:04:18,473 --> 00:04:31,768\n一個呢我覺得我這個也必須要說明一個很重要的因素也就是說我們如果我們今年的一個經濟成長率高的時候呢因為這個是基期的因素基期\n\n14\n00:04:32,529 --> 00:05:00,272\n就是說如果說基期高的時候呢你的下一年就會受到這個基期的因素的影響那不過呢雖然是3.08我個人認為明年的經濟成長它是還是持續的所以呢也就是說在我們的另外一頁11頁這邊我們經濟成長力你看看我們如果說用季跟季來比較的時候呢你會發現就是說我們的經濟成長它是有動能的\n\n15\n00:05:00,952 --> 00:05:18,126\n而且明年它的動能是持續的所以表示說雖然3.08比今年的3.85來得低但是呢它的動能是比今年還強勁一點好這樣了解這個是激起的因素了解那現在就是很奇怪嘛因為我們來看這一些提到我們的電子資通訊產品很強嘛那傳統產業貨品\n\n16\n00:05:50,817 --> 00:06:10,422\n那2024年的上半年呢又回升到3.82%而預估明年的成長率又降到3.08%所以這個部分總裁您也說明一下原因為何我就誠如我剛剛所說的就是說基本上雖然3.08比這個3.85來得\n\n17\n00:06:15,820 --> 00:06:16,620\n但是呢經濟成長因為我們的出口會增加的\n\n18\n00:06:40,265 --> 00:06:40,525\n總之聽到總裁您這樣一路講你對自己很有信心\n\n19\n00:07:05,631 --> 00:07:21,691\n拜託您有信心也帶動我們有信心啦但是我就是希望說因為我希望你針對通膨還有碳費還有房貸緊縮的政策因為我們很關心嘛但是我們也發現過去\n\n20\n00:07:23,473 --> 00:07:47,219\n你的表現預測也很精準對自己也很有信心所以我希望說你對於我們這些抗通膨、碳費、房貸緊縮政策你再做一下對民生的影響預測跟因應的措施希望能夠在一個月內提供本席好不好最後也是要了解一個小問題因為上個會期\n\n21\n00:07:49,620 --> 00:08:14,270\n我們在談電子支付的時候我有一個訴求就是發現我們全台最大最多人用的LiPay他沒有加入那我也希望說他目前的整合進度如何那我希望你可以給我一個回應我先是不是請我們的財經公司來回答你這個問題來請\n\n22\n00:08:16,718 --> 00:08:42,260\n委員好,跟委員報告其實LiPay因為它是算第三方支付它不是電子支付機構所以根據金管會的這個電子支付管理條例來看的話它是不能夠加到這個平台上面來所以現在LiPay呢所以LiPay呢它可能需要去申請變成電子支付機構才可以加到這個平台上面來那目前進度如何?\n\n23\n00:08:43,861 --> 00:09:06,552\n來配去申請電子支付機構的時候我們沒有確確的資料因為他是他們公司的政策因為我特別要講的就是說從消費者的角度所以那個時候才會有這樣的諮詢所以我還是希望說就一併就是一個月內呢希望可以給我一個精進跟辦理的方式的一個報告\n\n24\n00:09:07,832 --> 00:09:08,113\n邀請邱志偉委員\n\n","tsv":"start\tend\ttext\n629\t27922\t總裁,邀請總裁。總裁您好。在夜報當中我們有看到就是中央銀行有預期本年今年跟明年全球經濟是溫和成長的。通膨是降溫的。那我們看一下\n29423\t42318\t全球經濟成長率之前央行說這個3月的時候我們看到你們的夜報說這個2024的上半年預期是2.8%那實際最後我們看到是2.7%\n46343\t63173\t所以我覺得很準確是那麼今年的話呢你們是提到2025年你們是提到還是2.8%對那我不曉得說總裁您對明年的全球經濟景氣有沒有信心\n66515\t80940\t我覺得就是說從今年開始主要的經濟體包括美國啦歐洲啦一些的經濟體重要的經濟體他們都在降息那這個降息的時候對全球的經濟是利多\n82441\t85043\t這表示說國際貿易會增加所以我覺得到目前為止這樣的一個預測我覺得也是應該是合理的\n100396\t122214\t不過呢就是說經濟的一個預測呢有些時候是也蠻困難的啦因為有很多的不確定因素所以呢這個也就是說每個月或是每個季呢他都會做一些的修改修正所以呢這個我們也會慢慢的會看看他的修正的情況怎麼樣\n122714\t140289\t我覺得您就是客氣了因為確實看起來目前看起來都很準如果你剛剛講的業報上面也有提到就是預期美英歐日因為他貨幣寬鬆的一個政策我們看到了確實證實精準預測降息對吧\n144332\t159093\t那我就要請教總裁就是你能夠精準預測各國降息、貨幣寬鬆這些你都能夠精準的預測那對我們國內自己你要如何面對通膨的考驗?\n161763\t175992\t我跟委員報告就是說就我們台灣的一個物價事實上我們台灣的物價現在是慢慢在下來的你看看我們9月份才1.82我們的核心CPI才1.79那整年的話我們的預測我們整年今年的我們整年在9月份我們的預測是2.16\n187600\t189560\t我們會每季每季做一些的修正\n218807\t229435\t因為就是說國內的經濟、國內的一個物價的情況他會有一些不確定因素那這些不確定因素你就必須要做一些的調整\n231085\t254871\t總裁我也是要繼續講你看你預估今年經濟成長率部分回升到3.82%那我們對照一下這個臺灣各季經濟成長率也沒有太失準那2025年預期的成長率就變成是3.08為什麼?\n258473\t271768\t一個呢我覺得我這個也必須要說明一個很重要的因素也就是說我們如果我們今年的一個經濟成長率高的時候呢因為這個是基期的因素基期\n272529\t300272\t就是說如果說基期高的時候呢你的下一年就會受到這個基期的因素的影響那不過呢雖然是3.08我個人認為明年的經濟成長它是還是持續的所以呢也就是說在我們的另外一頁11頁這邊我們經濟成長力你看看我們如果說用季跟季來比較的時候呢你會發現就是說我們的經濟成長它是有動能的\n300952\t318126\t而且明年它的動能是持續的所以表示說雖然3.08比今年的3.85來得低但是呢它的動能是比今年還強勁一點好這樣了解這個是激起的因素了解那現在就是很奇怪嘛因為我們來看這一些提到我們的電子資通訊產品很強嘛那傳統產業貨品\n330316\t350657\t對。對。\n350817\t370422\t那2024年的上半年呢又回升到3.82%而預估明年的成長率又降到3.08%所以這個部分總裁您也說明一下原因為何我就誠如我剛剛所說的就是說基本上雖然3.08比這個3.85來得\n375820\t376620\t但是呢經濟成長因為我們的出口會增加的\n400265\t400525\t總之聽到總裁您這樣一路講你對自己很有信心\n425631\t441691\t拜託您有信心也帶動我們有信心啦但是我就是希望說因為我希望你針對通膨還有碳費還有房貸緊縮的政策因為我們很關心嘛但是我們也發現過去\n443473\t467219\t你的表現預測也很精準對自己也很有信心所以我希望說你對於我們這些抗通膨、碳費、房貸緊縮政策你再做一下對民生的影響預測跟因應的措施希望能夠在一個月內提供本席好不好最後也是要了解一個小問題因為上個會期\n469620\t494270\t我們在談電子支付的時候我有一個訴求就是發現我們全台最大最多人用的LiPay他沒有加入那我也希望說他目前的整合進度如何那我希望你可以給我一個回應我先是不是請我們的財經公司來回答你這個問題來請\n496718\t522260\t委員好,跟委員報告其實LiPay因為它是算第三方支付它不是電子支付機構所以根據金管會的這個電子支付管理條例來看的話它是不能夠加到這個平台上面來所以現在LiPay呢所以LiPay呢它可能需要去申請變成電子支付機構才可以加到這個平台上面來那目前進度如何?\n523861\t546552\t來配去申請電子支付機構的時候我們沒有確確的資料因為他是他們公司的政策因為我特別要講的就是說從消費者的角度所以那個時候才會有這樣的諮詢所以我還是希望說就一併就是一個月內呢希望可以給我一個精進跟辦理的方式的一個報告\n547832\t548113\t邀請邱志偉委員\n","txt":"總裁,邀請總裁。總裁您好。在夜報當中我們有看到就是中央銀行有預期本年今年跟明年全球經濟是溫和成長的。通膨是降溫的。那我們看一下\n全球經濟成長率之前央行說這個3月的時候我們看到你們的夜報說這個2024的上半年預期是2.8%那實際最後我們看到是2.7%\n所以我覺得很準確是那麼今年的話呢你們是提到2025年你們是提到還是2.8%對那我不曉得說總裁您對明年的全球經濟景氣有沒有信心\n我覺得就是說從今年開始主要的經濟體包括美國啦歐洲啦一些的經濟體重要的經濟體他們都在降息那這個降息的時候對全球的經濟是利多\n這表示說國際貿易會增加所以我覺得到目前為止這樣的一個預測我覺得也是應該是合理的\n不過呢就是說經濟的一個預測呢有些時候是也蠻困難的啦因為有很多的不確定因素所以呢這個也就是說每個月或是每個季呢他都會做一些的修改修正所以呢這個我們也會慢慢的會看看他的修正的情況怎麼樣\n我覺得您就是客氣了因為確實看起來目前看起來都很準如果你剛剛講的業報上面也有提到就是預期美英歐日因為他貨幣寬鬆的一個政策我們看到了確實證實精準預測降息對吧\n那我就要請教總裁就是你能夠精準預測各國降息、貨幣寬鬆這些你都能夠精準的預測那對我們國內自己你要如何面對通膨的考驗?\n我跟委員報告就是說就我們台灣的一個物價事實上我們台灣的物價現在是慢慢在下來的你看看我們9月份才1.82我們的核心CPI才1.79那整年的話我們的預測我們整年今年的我們整年在9月份我們的預測是2.16\n我們會每季每季做一些的修正\n因為就是說國內的經濟、國內的一個物價的情況他會有一些不確定因素那這些不確定因素你就必須要做一些的調整\n總裁我也是要繼續講你看你預估今年經濟成長率部分回升到3.82%那我們對照一下這個臺灣各季經濟成長率也沒有太失準那2025年預期的成長率就變成是3.08為什麼?\n一個呢我覺得我這個也必須要說明一個很重要的因素也就是說我們如果我們今年的一個經濟成長率高的時候呢因為這個是基期的因素基期\n就是說如果說基期高的時候呢你的下一年就會受到這個基期的因素的影響那不過呢雖然是3.08我個人認為明年的經濟成長它是還是持續的所以呢也就是說在我們的另外一頁11頁這邊我們經濟成長力你看看我們如果說用季跟季來比較的時候呢你會發現就是說我們的經濟成長它是有動能的\n而且明年它的動能是持續的所以表示說雖然3.08比今年的3.85來得低但是呢它的動能是比今年還強勁一點好這樣了解這個是激起的因素了解那現在就是很奇怪嘛因為我們來看這一些提到我們的電子資通訊產品很強嘛那傳統產業貨品\n對。對。\n那2024年的上半年呢又回升到3.82%而預估明年的成長率又降到3.08%所以這個部分總裁您也說明一下原因為何我就誠如我剛剛所說的就是說基本上雖然3.08比這個3.85來得\n但是呢經濟成長因為我們的出口會增加的\n總之聽到總裁您這樣一路講你對自己很有信心\n拜託您有信心也帶動我們有信心啦但是我就是希望說因為我希望你針對通膨還有碳費還有房貸緊縮的政策因為我們很關心嘛但是我們也發現過去\n你的表現預測也很精準對自己也很有信心所以我希望說你對於我們這些抗通膨、碳費、房貸緊縮政策你再做一下對民生的影響預測跟因應的措施希望能夠在一個月內提供本席好不好最後也是要了解一個小問題因為上個會期\n我們在談電子支付的時候我有一個訴求就是發現我們全台最大最多人用的LiPay他沒有加入那我也希望說他目前的整合進度如何那我希望你可以給我一個回應我先是不是請我們的財經公司來回答你這個問題來請\n委員好,跟委員報告其實LiPay因為它是算第三方支付它不是電子支付機構所以根據金管會的這個電子支付管理條例來看的話它是不能夠加到這個平台上面來所以現在LiPay呢所以LiPay呢它可能需要去申請變成電子支付機構才可以加到這個平台上面來那目前進度如何?\n來配去申請電子支付機構的時候我們沒有確確的資料因為他是他們公司的政策因為我特別要講的就是說從消費者的角度所以那個時候才會有這樣的諮詢所以我還是希望說就一併就是一個月內呢希望可以給我一個精進跟辦理的方式的一個報告\n邀請邱志偉委員\n","vtt":"WEBVTT\n\n00:00.629 --> 00:27.922\n總裁,邀請總裁。總裁您好。在夜報當中我們有看到就是中央銀行有預期本年今年跟明年全球經濟是溫和成長的。通膨是降溫的。那我們看一下\n\n00:29.423 --> 00:42.318\n全球經濟成長率之前央行說這個3月的時候我們看到你們的夜報說這個2024的上半年預期是2.8%那實際最後我們看到是2.7%\n\n00:46.343 --> 01:03.173\n所以我覺得很準確是那麼今年的話呢你們是提到2025年你們是提到還是2.8%對那我不曉得說總裁您對明年的全球經濟景氣有沒有信心\n\n01:06.515 --> 01:20.940\n我覺得就是說從今年開始主要的經濟體包括美國啦歐洲啦一些的經濟體重要的經濟體他們都在降息那這個降息的時候對全球的經濟是利多\n\n01:22.441 --> 01:25.043\n這表示說國際貿易會增加所以我覺得到目前為止這樣的一個預測我覺得也是應該是合理的\n\n01:40.396 --> 02:02.214\n不過呢就是說經濟的一個預測呢有些時候是也蠻困難的啦因為有很多的不確定因素所以呢這個也就是說每個月或是每個季呢他都會做一些的修改修正所以呢這個我們也會慢慢的會看看他的修正的情況怎麼樣\n\n02:02.714 --> 02:20.289\n我覺得您就是客氣了因為確實看起來目前看起來都很準如果你剛剛講的業報上面也有提到就是預期美英歐日因為他貨幣寬鬆的一個政策我們看到了確實證實精準預測降息對吧\n\n02:24.332 --> 02:39.093\n那我就要請教總裁就是你能夠精準預測各國降息、貨幣寬鬆這些你都能夠精準的預測那對我們國內自己你要如何面對通膨的考驗?\n\n02:41.763 --> 02:55.992\n我跟委員報告就是說就我們台灣的一個物價事實上我們台灣的物價現在是慢慢在下來的你看看我們9月份才1.82我們的核心CPI才1.79那整年的話我們的預測我們整年今年的我們整年在9月份我們的預測是2.16\n\n03:07.600 --> 03:09.560\n我們會每季每季做一些的修正\n\n03:38.807 --> 03:49.435\n因為就是說國內的經濟、國內的一個物價的情況他會有一些不確定因素那這些不確定因素你就必須要做一些的調整\n\n03:51.085 --> 04:14.871\n總裁我也是要繼續講你看你預估今年經濟成長率部分回升到3.82%那我們對照一下這個臺灣各季經濟成長率也沒有太失準那2025年預期的成長率就變成是3.08為什麼?\n\n04:18.473 --> 04:31.768\n一個呢我覺得我這個也必須要說明一個很重要的因素也就是說我們如果我們今年的一個經濟成長率高的時候呢因為這個是基期的因素基期\n\n04:32.529 --> 05:00.272\n就是說如果說基期高的時候呢你的下一年就會受到這個基期的因素的影響那不過呢雖然是3.08我個人認為明年的經濟成長它是還是持續的所以呢也就是說在我們的另外一頁11頁這邊我們經濟成長力你看看我們如果說用季跟季來比較的時候呢你會發現就是說我們的經濟成長它是有動能的\n\n05:00.952 --> 05:18.126\n而且明年它的動能是持續的所以表示說雖然3.08比今年的3.85來得低但是呢它的動能是比今年還強勁一點好這樣了解這個是激起的因素了解那現在就是很奇怪嘛因為我們來看這一些提到我們的電子資通訊產品很強嘛那傳統產業貨品\n\n05:50.817 --> 06:10.422\n那2024年的上半年呢又回升到3.82%而預估明年的成長率又降到3.08%所以這個部分總裁您也說明一下原因為何我就誠如我剛剛所說的就是說基本上雖然3.08比這個3.85來得\n\n06:15.820 --> 06:16.620\n但是呢經濟成長因為我們的出口會增加的\n\n06:40.265 --> 06:40.525\n總之聽到總裁您這樣一路講你對自己很有信心\n\n07:05.631 --> 07:21.691\n拜託您有信心也帶動我們有信心啦但是我就是希望說因為我希望你針對通膨還有碳費還有房貸緊縮的政策因為我們很關心嘛但是我們也發現過去\n\n07:23.473 --> 07:47.219\n你的表現預測也很精準對自己也很有信心所以我希望說你對於我們這些抗通膨、碳費、房貸緊縮政策你再做一下對民生的影響預測跟因應的措施希望能夠在一個月內提供本席好不好最後也是要了解一個小問題因為上個會期\n\n07:49.620 --> 08:14.270\n我們在談電子支付的時候我有一個訴求就是發現我們全台最大最多人用的LiPay他沒有加入那我也希望說他目前的整合進度如何那我希望你可以給我一個回應我先是不是請我們的財經公司來回答你這個問題來請\n\n08:16.718 --> 08:42.260\n委員好,跟委員報告其實LiPay因為它是算第三方支付它不是電子支付機構所以根據金管會的這個電子支付管理條例來看的話它是不能夠加到這個平台上面來所以現在LiPay呢所以LiPay呢它可能需要去申請變成電子支付機構才可以加到這個平台上面來那目前進度如何?\n\n08:43.861 --> 09:06.552\n來配去申請電子支付機構的時候我們沒有確確的資料因為他是他們公司的政策因為我特別要講的就是說從消費者的角度所以那個時候才會有這樣的諮詢所以我還是希望說就一併就是一個月內呢希望可以給我一個精進跟辦理的方式的一個報告\n\n09:07.832 --> 09:08.113\n邀請邱志偉委員\n\n","segments":[{"start":0.629,"end":27.922,"text":"總裁,邀請總裁。總裁您好。在夜報當中我們有看到就是中央銀行有預期本年今年跟明年全球經濟是溫和成長的。通膨是降溫的。那我們看一下"},{"start":29.423,"end":42.318,"text":"全球經濟成長率之前央行說這個3月的時候我們看到你們的夜報說這個2024的上半年預期是2.8%那實際最後我們看到是2.7%"},{"start":46.343,"end":63.173,"text":"所以我覺得很準確是那麼今年的話呢你們是提到2025年你們是提到還是2.8%對那我不曉得說總裁您對明年的全球經濟景氣有沒有信心"},{"start":66.515,"end":80.94,"text":"我覺得就是說從今年開始主要的經濟體包括美國啦歐洲啦一些的經濟體重要的經濟體他們都在降息那這個降息的時候對全球的經濟是利多"},{"start":82.441,"end":85.043,"text":"這表示說國際貿易會增加所以我覺得到目前為止這樣的一個預測我覺得也是應該是合理的"},{"start":100.396,"end":122.214,"text":"不過呢就是說經濟的一個預測呢有些時候是也蠻困難的啦因為有很多的不確定因素所以呢這個也就是說每個月或是每個季呢他都會做一些的修改修正所以呢這個我們也會慢慢的會看看他的修正的情況怎麼樣"},{"start":122.714,"end":140.289,"text":"我覺得您就是客氣了因為確實看起來目前看起來都很準如果你剛剛講的業報上面也有提到就是預期美英歐日因為他貨幣寬鬆的一個政策我們看到了確實證實精準預測降息對吧"},{"start":144.332,"end":159.093,"text":"那我就要請教總裁就是你能夠精準預測各國降息、貨幣寬鬆這些你都能夠精準的預測那對我們國內自己你要如何面對通膨的考驗?"},{"start":161.763,"end":175.992,"text":"我跟委員報告就是說就我們台灣的一個物價事實上我們台灣的物價現在是慢慢在下來的你看看我們9月份才1.82我們的核心CPI才1.79那整年的話我們的預測我們整年今年的我們整年在9月份我們的預測是2.16"},{"start":187.6,"end":189.56,"text":"我們會每季每季做一些的修正"},{"start":218.807,"end":229.435,"text":"因為就是說國內的經濟、國內的一個物價的情況他會有一些不確定因素那這些不確定因素你就必須要做一些的調整"},{"start":231.085,"end":254.871,"text":"總裁我也是要繼續講你看你預估今年經濟成長率部分回升到3.82%那我們對照一下這個臺灣各季經濟成長率也沒有太失準那2025年預期的成長率就變成是3.08為什麼?"},{"start":258.473,"end":271.768,"text":"一個呢我覺得我這個也必須要說明一個很重要的因素也就是說我們如果我們今年的一個經濟成長率高的時候呢因為這個是基期的因素基期"},{"start":272.529,"end":300.272,"text":"就是說如果說基期高的時候呢你的下一年就會受到這個基期的因素的影響那不過呢雖然是3.08我個人認為明年的經濟成長它是還是持續的所以呢也就是說在我們的另外一頁11頁這邊我們經濟成長力你看看我們如果說用季跟季來比較的時候呢你會發現就是說我們的經濟成長它是有動能的"},{"start":300.952,"end":318.126,"text":"而且明年它的動能是持續的所以表示說雖然3.08比今年的3.85來得低但是呢它的動能是比今年還強勁一點好這樣了解這個是激起的因素了解那現在就是很奇怪嘛因為我們來看這一些提到我們的電子資通訊產品很強嘛那傳統產業貨品"},{"start":330.316,"end":350.657,"text":"對。對。"},{"start":350.817,"end":370.422,"text":"那2024年的上半年呢又回升到3.82%而預估明年的成長率又降到3.08%所以這個部分總裁您也說明一下原因為何我就誠如我剛剛所說的就是說基本上雖然3.08比這個3.85來得"},{"start":375.82,"end":376.62,"text":"但是呢經濟成長因為我們的出口會增加的"},{"start":400.265,"end":400.525,"text":"總之聽到總裁您這樣一路講你對自己很有信心"},{"start":425.631,"end":441.691,"text":"拜託您有信心也帶動我們有信心啦但是我就是希望說因為我希望你針對通膨還有碳費還有房貸緊縮的政策因為我們很關心嘛但是我們也發現過去"},{"start":443.473,"end":467.219,"text":"你的表現預測也很精準對自己也很有信心所以我希望說你對於我們這些抗通膨、碳費、房貸緊縮政策你再做一下對民生的影響預測跟因應的措施希望能夠在一個月內提供本席好不好最後也是要了解一個小問題因為上個會期"},{"start":469.62,"end":494.27,"text":"我們在談電子支付的時候我有一個訴求就是發現我們全台最大最多人用的LiPay他沒有加入那我也希望說他目前的整合進度如何那我希望你可以給我一個回應我先是不是請我們的財經公司來回答你這個問題來請"},{"start":496.718,"end":522.26,"text":"委員好,跟委員報告其實LiPay因為它是算第三方支付它不是電子支付機構所以根據金管會的這個電子支付管理條例來看的話它是不能夠加到這個平台上面來所以現在LiPay呢所以LiPay呢它可能需要去申請變成電子支付機構才可以加到這個平台上面來那目前進度如何?"},{"start":523.861,"end":546.552,"text":"來配去申請電子支付機構的時候我們沒有確確的資料因為他是他們公司的政策因為我特別要講的就是說從消費者的角度所以那個時候才會有這樣的諮詢所以我還是希望說就一併就是一個月內呢希望可以給我一個精進跟辦理的方式的一個報告"},{"start":547.832,"end":548.113,"text":"邀請邱志偉委員"}]}}},"gazette":{"lineno":924,"blocks":[["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：（11時43分）謝謝主席，有請總裁。"],["主席：有請總裁。"],["楊總裁金龍：伍委員早。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：總裁您好，我們在業報當中看到中央銀行預期全球經濟今年跟明年都是溫和成長的，通膨是降溫的。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：之前在3月的時候，我們看到央行的業報說，全球經濟成長率2024上半年預期是2.8%，實際到最後看到是2.7%，我覺得很準確，2025年你們還是預估2.8%，我不曉得總裁對明年的全球經濟景氣有沒有信心？"],["楊總裁金龍：我覺得從今年開始，一些主要的經濟體，包括美國、歐洲等等重要的經濟體都在降息，這個時候降息對全球的經濟是利多，也表示國際貿易的年增率會增加。到目前為止，我覺得這樣的預測應該是合理的。不過，經濟的預測有時候也滿困難的，因為有很多不確定因素，所以每個月或每季都會做一些修改、修正，我們也會慢慢去看它修正的情況怎麼樣。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：我覺得總裁客氣了啦，因為目前看起來確實都很準。"],["楊總裁金龍：是，謝謝。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：如同你剛剛講的，業報上面也有提到，就是預期美、英、歐、日，因為他們貨幣寬鬆政策，我們看到了，確實證實精準預測降息，對吧？"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：那麼我就要請教總裁，你對各國降息、貨幣寬鬆都能夠精準的預測，對我們國內自己呢？你要如何面對通膨的考驗？"],["楊總裁金龍：我跟委員報告，事實上我們臺灣的物價現在是慢慢在下來的，你看看我們9月份才1.82%，我們的核心CPI才1.79%，今年整年的話，我們在9月份預測是2.16%。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：我先記下來，到時候來看精不精準。"],["楊總裁金龍：明年也會慢慢再下來，我們明年CPI的預測是1.89%，誠如我剛剛跟委員報告的，事實上，這種預測不是一件很簡單的事情。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：所以你很厲害啊！"],["楊總裁金龍：沒有，我們會每季作一些修正，因為國內的經濟、國內的物價會有一些不確定因素，這些不確定因素就必須要做一些調整。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：總裁，你預估今年經濟成長部分率回升到3.82%。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：我們對照一下臺灣各季經濟成長率，也沒有太失準，2025年預期的成長率變成3.08%，為什麼？"],["楊總裁金龍：一個很重要的因素，如果我們今年的經濟成長率高的時候，因為這是基期的因素，如果基期高的時候，下一年就會受到基期因素的影響，不過雖然是3.08%，我個人認為明年的經濟成長還是持續的，也就是說，在我們第11頁這邊的經濟成長率，如果以季跟季來比較的時候，你會發現我們經濟成長是有動能的，而且明年的動能是持續的，表示雖然3.08%比今年的3.82%來得低，但是它的動能比今年還強勁一點。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：這樣了解了。"],["楊總裁金龍：這是基期的因素。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：現在就是很奇怪，我們的電子資通訊產品很強，傳統產業貨品的出口年增率全部都呈現上揚，所以2023年就是你說的美歐貨幣緊縮政策，出口是負成長，經濟成長率就降到1.28%；2024年上半年又回升到3.82%，預估明年的成長率又降到3.08%，這個部分總裁也說明一下原因為何？"],["楊總裁金龍：誠如我剛剛所說的，基本上雖然3.08%比3.82%來得低，但是主要是基期的因素，2023年我們出口負成長，但是現在我們出口是慢慢上升的，也就是說，從季跟季來比較的時候，你會發現我們明年的3.08%比今年3.82%來得低，但是經濟成長因為出口增加，現在我們出口是正成長的，去年是負成長，正成長表示我們經濟有動能，雖然從3.82%降到3.08%，但是經濟成長的動能是持續的、是健康的。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：總之，聽到總裁這樣一路講，你對自己很有信心，你有信心也帶動我們有信心。"],["楊總裁金龍：謝謝。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：我希望你針對通膨、碳費和房貸緊縮的政策，因為我們很關心，但是我們也發現過去你的表現、預測也很精準，對自己也很有信心，我希望你對於這些抗通膨、碳費、房貸緊縮政策，再做一下對民生的影響預測跟因應的措施，希望能夠在1個月內提供本席，好不好？"],["楊總裁金龍：好。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：最後我想了解一個小問題，因為上個會期我們在談電子支付的時候，我有一個訴求，就是發現我們全臺最大、最多人用的LINE Pay沒有加入，它目前的整合進度如何？我希望你可以給我一個回應。"],["楊總裁金龍：好，我是不是先請財金公司回答這個問題。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：好。"],["林董事長國良：委員好，跟委員報告，因為LINE Pay算是第三方支付，它不是電子支付機構，所以根據金管會的電子支付管理條例來看，它是不能加到這個平臺上面。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：之前是這個原因。"],["林董事長國良：所以LINEPay它可能需要去申請變成電子支付機構，才可以加到這個平臺上面。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：目前進度如何？"],["林董事長國良：LINEPay申請電子支付機構的部分，我們沒有確切的資料，因為這是它們公司的政策。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：我特別要講的是，從消費者的角度，所以那時候才會有這樣的質詢，我還是希望一併1個月內給我一個精進和辦理方式的報告，我想了解。"],["楊總裁金龍：好，我們來了解，寫一個報告給委員。"],["伍麗華Saidhai Tahovecahe委員：謝謝總裁，也謝謝主席。"],["楊總裁金龍：謝謝。"],["主席：謝謝麗華委員。","接著請邱志偉委員。"]],"agenda":{"page_end":388,"meet_id":"委員會-11-2-20-2","speakers":["賴惠員","林德福","吳秉叡","陳玉珍","賴士葆","郭國文","李彥秀","李坤城","顏寬恒","王世堅","黃珊珊","羅明才","伍麗華Saidhai‧Tahovecahe","邱志偉","王鴻薇","楊瓊瓔"],"page_start":341,"meetingDate":["2024-10-17"],"gazette_id":"1138501","agenda_lcidc_ids":["1138501_00006"],"meet_name":"立法院第11屆第2會期財政委員會第2次全體委員會議紀錄","content":"一、邀請中央銀行楊總裁金龍率所屬單位主管暨財金資訊股份有限公司董事長列席業務報告，並\n備質詢；二、邀請中央銀行楊總裁金龍就「第七波選擇性信用管制之配套措施」進行專題報告，\n並備質詢","agenda_id":"1138501_00005"}}}