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\"不太一樣但又有點相似我想馬克吐温說歷史不會重演但會常常押韻相隔剛好40年後明天川普很有可能就推出廣場協議2.0到時台幣匯率一定會大幅升值對美貿易貨差順差這個一定會被川普團隊要求去做改善所以我想40年後從博明函\", \"words\": [{\"word\": \"不\", \"start\": 128.285, \"end\": 128.345, \"score\": 0.651}, {\"word\": \"太\", \"start\": 128.345, \"end\": 128.505, \"score\": 0.839}, {\"word\": \"一\", \"start\": 128.505, \"end\": 128.825, \"score\": 0.902}, {\"word\": \"樣\"}, {\"word\": \"但\", \"start\": 128.825, \"end\": 128.945, \"score\": 0.837}, {\"word\": \"又\", \"start\": 128.945, \"end\": 129.166, \"score\": 0.835}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 129.166, \"end\": 129.606, \"score\": 0.917}, {\"word\": \"點\"}, {\"word\": \"相\", \"start\": 129.606, \"end\": 129.946, \"score\": 0.953}, {\"word\": \"似\", \"start\": 129.946, \"end\": 130.166, \"score\": 0.908}, {\"word\": \"我\", \"start\": 130.166, \"end\": 130.266, \"score\": 0.72}, {\"word\": \"想\", \"start\": 130.266, \"end\": 130.627, \"score\": 0.883}, {\"word\": \"馬\"}, {\"word\": \"克\", \"start\": 130.627, \"end\": 130.747, \"score\": 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{\"word\": \"剛\"}, {\"word\": \"好\", \"start\": 135.991, \"end\": 136.451, \"score\": 0.851}, {\"word\": \"4\"}, {\"word\": \"0\"}, {\"word\": \"年\", \"start\": 136.451, \"end\": 136.611, \"score\": 0.94}, {\"word\": \"後\", \"start\": 136.611, \"end\": 136.811, \"score\": 0.858}, {\"word\": \"明\", \"start\": 136.811, \"end\": 136.971, \"score\": 0.956}, {\"word\": \"天\", \"start\": 136.971, \"end\": 137.151, \"score\": 0.969}, {\"word\": \"川\", \"start\": 137.151, \"end\": 137.392, \"score\": 0.946}, {\"word\": \"普\", \"start\": 137.392, \"end\": 138.052, \"score\": 0.933}, {\"word\": \"很\", \"start\": 138.052, \"end\": 138.172, \"score\": 0.772}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 138.172, \"end\": 138.312, \"score\": 0.873}, {\"word\": \"可\", \"start\": 138.312, \"end\": 138.412, \"score\": 0.982}, {\"word\": \"能\", \"start\": 138.412, \"end\": 138.492, \"score\": 0.991}, {\"word\": \"就\", \"start\": 138.492, \"end\": 138.612, \"score\": 0.918}, {\"word\": \"推\", \"start\": 138.612, 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{\"word\": \"對\"}, {\"word\": \"美\", \"start\": 143.456, \"end\": 144.076, \"score\": 0.925}, {\"word\": \"貿\"}, {\"word\": \"易\", \"start\": 144.076, \"end\": 144.677, \"score\": 0.893}, {\"word\": \"貨\"}, {\"word\": \"差\", \"start\": 144.677, \"end\": 144.857, \"score\": 0.882}, {\"word\": \"順\"}, {\"word\": \"差\", \"start\": 144.857, \"end\": 145.237, \"score\": 0.84}, {\"word\": \"這\"}, {\"word\": \"個\"}, {\"word\": \"一\", \"start\": 145.237, \"end\": 145.357, \"score\": 0.995}, {\"word\": \"定\", \"start\": 145.357, \"end\": 145.618, \"score\": 0.894}, {\"word\": \"會\"}, {\"word\": \"被\", \"start\": 145.618, \"end\": 146.098, \"score\": 0.991}, {\"word\": \"川\", \"start\": 146.098, \"end\": 146.278, \"score\": 0.877}, {\"word\": \"普\", \"start\": 146.278, \"end\": 146.738, \"score\": 0.854}, {\"word\": \"團\"}, {\"word\": \"隊\"}, {\"word\": \"要\", \"start\": 146.738, \"end\": 146.938, \"score\": 0.886}, {\"word\": \"求\", \"start\": 146.938, \"end\": 147.119, \"score\": 0.882}, {\"word\": \"去\", \"start\": 147.119, \"end\": 147.259, \"score\": 0.851}, {\"word\": \"做\", \"start\": 147.259, \"end\": 147.439, \"score\": 0.985}, {\"word\": \"改\", \"start\": 147.439, \"end\": 147.639, \"score\": 0.912}, {\"word\": \"善\", \"start\": 147.639, \"end\": 148.219, \"score\": 0.918}, {\"word\": \"所\", \"start\": 148.219, \"end\": 148.34, \"score\": 0.806}, {\"word\": \"以\", \"start\": 148.34, \"end\": 148.46, \"score\": 0.832}, {\"word\": \"我\", \"start\": 148.46, \"end\": 148.54, \"score\": 0.638}, {\"word\": \"想\", \"start\": 148.54, \"end\": 149.12, \"score\": 0.887}, {\"word\": \"4\"}, {\"word\": \"0\"}, {\"word\": \"年\", \"start\": 149.12, \"end\": 149.42, \"score\": 0.862}, {\"word\": \"後\", \"start\": 149.42, \"end\": 149.64, \"score\": 0.899}, {\"word\": \"從\"}, {\"word\": \"博\", \"start\": 149.64, \"end\": 149.801, \"score\": 0.785}, {\"word\": \"明\", \"start\": 149.801, \"end\": 149.941, \"score\": 0.878}, {\"word\": \"函\", \"start\": 149.941, \"end\": 149.961, \"score\": 0.012}]}, {\"start\": 150.581, \"end\": 169.663, \"text\": \"到這個羅斯福路一段二號的楊總裁到底有沒有什麼定國安邦的政策我想就是說委員我今天我才會想到就是說委員提出這個廣場協議讓我回想到那個時候的時空背景不過我本身我還是非常謝謝委員的提醒\", \"words\": [{\"word\": \"到\", \"start\": 150.581, \"end\": 151.102, \"score\": 0.804}, {\"word\": \"這\"}, {\"word\": \"個\"}, {\"word\": \"羅\"}, {\"word\": \"斯\", \"start\": 151.102, \"end\": 151.242, \"score\": 0.939}, {\"word\": \"福\", \"start\": 151.242, \"end\": 151.342, \"score\": 0.918}, {\"word\": \"路\", \"start\": 151.342, \"end\": 151.462, \"score\": 0.954}, {\"word\": \"一\", \"start\": 151.462, \"end\": 151.602, \"score\": 0.708}, {\"word\": \"段\", \"start\": 151.602, \"end\": 151.763, \"score\": 0.799}, {\"word\": \"二\", \"start\": 151.763, \"end\": 152.043, \"score\": 0.808}, {\"word\": \"號\"}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 152.043, \"end\": 152.483, \"score\": 0.863}, {\"word\": \"楊\"}, {\"word\": \"總\"}, {\"word\": \"裁\", \"start\": 152.483, \"end\": 152.964, \"score\": 0.856}, {\"word\": \"到\", \"start\": 152.964, \"end\": 153.144, \"score\": 0.794}, {\"word\": \"底\", \"start\": 153.144, \"end\": 153.224, \"score\": 0.942}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 153.224, \"end\": 153.324, \"score\": 0.818}, {\"word\": \"沒\", \"start\": 153.324, \"end\": 153.424, \"score\": 0.6}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 153.424, \"end\": 153.504, \"score\": 0.935}, {\"word\": \"什\", \"start\": 153.504, \"end\": 153.705, \"score\": 0.888}, {\"word\": \"麼\"}, {\"word\": \"定\", \"start\": 153.705, \"end\": 154.045, \"score\": 0.921}, {\"word\": \"國\"}, {\"word\": \"安\", \"start\": 154.045, \"end\": 154.225, \"score\": 0.848}, {\"word\": \"邦\", \"start\": 154.225, \"end\": 154.325, \"score\": 0.799}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 154.325, \"end\": 154.506, \"score\": 0.751}, {\"word\": \"政\", \"start\": 154.506, \"end\": 154.726, \"score\": 0.676}, {\"word\": \"策\", \"start\": 154.726, \"end\": 154.926, \"score\": 0.714}, {\"word\": \"我\", \"start\": 154.926, \"end\": 155.226, \"score\": 0.892}, {\"word\": \"想\", 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\"空\", \"start\": 164.597, \"end\": 164.917, \"score\": 0.847}, {\"word\": \"背\", \"start\": 164.917, \"end\": 165.158, \"score\": 0.664}, {\"word\": \"景\", \"start\": 165.158, \"end\": 165.958, \"score\": 0.782}, {\"word\": \"不\", \"start\": 165.958, \"end\": 166.539, \"score\": 0.745}, {\"word\": \"過\"}, {\"word\": \"我\", \"start\": 166.539, \"end\": 167.34, \"score\": 0.894}, {\"word\": \"本\", \"start\": 167.34, \"end\": 167.58, \"score\": 0.867}, {\"word\": \"身\", \"start\": 167.58, \"end\": 167.881, \"score\": 0.848}, {\"word\": \"我\", \"start\": 167.881, \"end\": 168.201, \"score\": 0.846}, {\"word\": \"還\"}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 168.201, \"end\": 168.381, \"score\": 0.912}, {\"word\": \"非\", \"start\": 168.381, \"end\": 168.481, \"score\": 0.841}, {\"word\": \"常\", \"start\": 168.481, \"end\": 169.042, \"score\": 0.786}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"委\", \"start\": 169.042, \"end\": 169.302, \"score\": 0.726}, {\"word\": \"員\"}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 169.302, \"end\": 169.442, \"score\": 0.877}, {\"word\": \"提\", \"start\": 169.442, \"end\": 169.643, \"score\": 0.701}, {\"word\": \"醒\", \"start\": 169.643, \"end\": 169.663, \"score\": 0.02}]}, {\"start\": 170.236, \"end\": 173.16, \"text\": \"那這個呢至於他會不會就是說第二個會有廣場協議的2.0這個我們要密切注意第二個呢對我們的這個新台幣的匯率呢我們也會非常注意那至於就是說會有怎麼樣的impact我現在也沒辦法來跟委員報告\", \"words\": [{\"word\": \"那\", \"start\": 170.236, \"end\": 170.256, \"score\": 0.881}, {\"word\": \"這\"}, {\"word\": \"個\"}, {\"word\": \"呢\", \"start\": 170.256, \"end\": 170.276, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"至\", \"start\": 170.276, \"end\": 170.296, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"於\", \"start\": 170.296, \"end\": 170.316, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"他\", \"start\": 170.316, \"end\": 170.336, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"會\"}, {\"word\": \"不\", \"start\": 170.336, \"end\": 170.376, \"score\": 0.001}, {\"word\": \"會\"}, {\"word\": \"就\", \"start\": 170.376, \"end\": 170.396, \"score\": 0.0}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 170.396, 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00:01:07,569\n到目前為止新台幣是貶值的是不是以後會升值這個說實在的不可算1985年1月20雷根第二任任期開始的半年多同年9月在G7會議上簽訂的影響到今天都還沒有完全消失的廣場協議\n\n4\n00:01:09,090 --> 00:01:37,770\n二零二五年的川普剛好是40年後就要效法他所崇拜的雷根展開一系列的經貿、金融甚至是國安種種都比雷根可能更猛的一個措施尤其川普比雷根我覺得是更性急啦那本席想請教楊總裁很怪台幣的匯率對美的貿易順差絕對是重頭戲我想剛剛很多的委員都在關心這件事情不知40年前廣場協議簽訂時楊總裁正在英國伯明罕大學攻讀\n\n5\n00:01:38,430 --> 00:01:54,638\n博士學位40年後主掌台灣的央行是不是有所認知跟妥善的準備我想就是說委員談到這個我覺得委員對以前的國際的經貿你也蠻注意的事實上沒有錯那個時候是1985年的時候是廣場協議讓美元貶值那是那時候的時空跟現在的時空我總覺得好像不大一樣\n\n6\n00:02:08,285 --> 00:02:29,961\n不太一樣但又有點相似我想馬克吐温說歷史不會重演但會常常押韻相隔剛好40年後明天川普很有可能就推出廣場協議2.0到時台幣匯率一定會大幅升值對美貿易貨差順差這個一定會被川普團隊要求去做改善所以我想40年後從博明函\n\n7\n00:02:30,581 --> 00:02:49,663\n到這個羅斯福路一段二號的楊總裁到底有沒有什麼定國安邦的政策我想就是說委員我今天我才會想到就是說委員提出這個廣場協議讓我回想到那個時候的時空背景不過我本身我還是非常謝謝委員的提醒\n\n8\n00:02:50,236 --> 00:02:53,160\n那這個呢至於他會不會就是說第二個會有廣場協議的2.0這個我們要密切注意第二個呢對我們的這個新台幣的匯率呢我們也會非常注意那至於就是說會有怎麼樣的impact我現在也沒辦法來跟委員報告\n\n9\n00:03:07,456 --> 00:03:17,763\n當然但是我們希望能夠提前準備一定要去預想一下第二任的川普第二任他只做到第二任大家都知道會不會有雷力風行我們不能夠預測但是我們可以想像有可能\n\n10\n00:03:22,746 --> 00:03:31,192\n所以我們當然要去準備嘛那當然要借重您的專長我們希望能夠預先去想到任何的可能性好不好9月19日兩週前央行宣布兩總裁2018年2月25日上任以來第7波打房政策\n\n11\n00:03:38,137 --> 00:03:52,453\n大家都說楊總裁第7波打房是2010年央行開始以來最嚴厲的一次請問楊總裁在這次第7波最嚴厲的打房措施你認為有效能夠把房價打下來嗎?如果有效什麼時候能夠看到效果?\n\n12\n00:03:53,086 --> 00:03:54,347\n我想我們當時我們推出第7波的那個我在我們的業務報告你們上一次我來財委會報告我也講到就是說我們有三個目的第一個目的就是說\n\n13\n00:04:08,660 --> 00:04:09,981\n因為我們前一波有一個道德稅務要道德稅務要讓銀行的這個調整他們的不動產的換款呢這個能夠落實這是第一個第二個呢我們認為就是說我們這個呢這個第七波會讓\n\n14\n00:04:30,753 --> 00:04:42,647\n會讓就是說第一次購買房屋的人比較容易拿到資金這是第二個第三個目的就是說要讓你的房價的一個預期心理能夠還轉回來那\n\n15\n00:04:44,830 --> 00:04:46,852\n那現在我總覺得到目前為止我們評估的結果我們這三個目的好像到目前為止是有達到這個目的看起來有脈絡但是我還是要提醒彭總裁從2010年開始打房總共4波\n\n16\n00:05:01,906 --> 00:05:10,793\n至2016年看到一些效果開始有點鬆綁結果房價指數又立刻竄升短短3到4年大概2019到2020房價指數超過2014的最高峰上次彭總裁歷經6年打房而楊總裁從2020到現在打房到今天也是快滿了4年不過楊總裁已發動了7波彭總裁只有4年\n\n17\n00:05:25,004 --> 00:05:25,985\n謝謝評委接著請楊瓊英委員質詢\n\n","tsv":"start\tend\ttext\n4120\t23328\t總裁好,川普明年1月20才正式上台,現在全世界都在密切關切他的口口聲聲所提到的過去種種經貿政治措施會不會實施。我想本席想請問在座還有楊總裁,是不是已經開始沙盤推演川普正當對年關前的各行各業影響的因應措施?\n23928\t25449\t楊總裁,請問一下未來台幣會升值嗎?估計升多少?\n49107\t67569\t到目前為止新台幣是貶值的是不是以後會升值這個說實在的不可算1985年1月20雷根第二任任期開始的半年多同年9月在G7會議上簽訂的影響到今天都還沒有完全消失的廣場協議\n69090\t97770\t二零二五年的川普剛好是40年後就要效法他所崇拜的雷根展開一系列的經貿、金融甚至是國安種種都比雷根可能更猛的一個措施尤其川普比雷根我覺得是更性急啦那本席想請教楊總裁很怪台幣的匯率對美的貿易順差絕對是重頭戲我想剛剛很多的委員都在關心這件事情不知40年前廣場協議簽訂時楊總裁正在英國伯明罕大學攻讀\n98430\t114638\t博士學位40年後主掌台灣的央行是不是有所認知跟妥善的準備我想就是說委員談到這個我覺得委員對以前的國際的經貿你也蠻注意的事實上沒有錯那個時候是1985年的時候是廣場協議讓美元貶值那是那時候的時空跟現在的時空我總覺得好像不大一樣\n128285\t149961\t不太一樣但又有點相似我想馬克吐温說歷史不會重演但會常常押韻相隔剛好40年後明天川普很有可能就推出廣場協議2.0到時台幣匯率一定會大幅升值對美貿易貨差順差這個一定會被川普團隊要求去做改善所以我想40年後從博明函\n150581\t169663\t到這個羅斯福路一段二號的楊總裁到底有沒有什麼定國安邦的政策我想就是說委員我今天我才會想到就是說委員提出這個廣場協議讓我回想到那個時候的時空背景不過我本身我還是非常謝謝委員的提醒\n170236\t173160\t那這個呢至於他會不會就是說第二個會有廣場協議的2.0這個我們要密切注意第二個呢對我們的這個新台幣的匯率呢我們也會非常注意那至於就是說會有怎麼樣的impact我現在也沒辦法來跟委員報告\n187456\t197763\t當然但是我們希望能夠提前準備一定要去預想一下第二任的川普第二任他只做到第二任大家都知道會不會有雷力風行我們不能夠預測但是我們可以想像有可能\n202746\t211192\t所以我們當然要去準備嘛那當然要借重您的專長我們希望能夠預先去想到任何的可能性好不好9月19日兩週前央行宣布兩總裁2018年2月25日上任以來第7波打房政策\n218137\t232453\t大家都說楊總裁第7波打房是2010年央行開始以來最嚴厲的一次請問楊總裁在這次第7波最嚴厲的打房措施你認為有效能夠把房價打下來嗎?如果有效什麼時候能夠看到效果?\n233086\t234347\t我想我們當時我們推出第7波的那個我在我們的業務報告你們上一次我來財委會報告我也講到就是說我們有三個目的第一個目的就是說\n248660\t249981\t因為我們前一波有一個道德稅務要道德稅務要讓銀行的這個調整他們的不動產的換款呢這個能夠落實這是第一個第二個呢我們認為就是說我們這個呢這個第七波會讓\n270753\t282647\t會讓就是說第一次購買房屋的人比較容易拿到資金這是第二個第三個目的就是說要讓你的房價的一個預期心理能夠還轉回來那\n284830\t286852\t那現在我總覺得到目前為止我們評估的結果我們這三個目的好像到目前為止是有達到這個目的看起來有脈絡但是我還是要提醒彭總裁從2010年開始打房總共4波\n301906\t310793\t至2016年看到一些效果開始有點鬆綁結果房價指數又立刻竄升短短3到4年大概2019到2020房價指數超過2014的最高峰上次彭總裁歷經6年打房而楊總裁從2020到現在打房到今天也是快滿了4年不過楊總裁已發動了7波彭總裁只有4年\n325004\t325985\t謝謝評委接著請楊瓊英委員質詢\n","txt":"總裁好,川普明年1月20才正式上台,現在全世界都在密切關切他的口口聲聲所提到的過去種種經貿政治措施會不會實施。我想本席想請問在座還有楊總裁,是不是已經開始沙盤推演川普正當對年關前的各行各業影響的因應措施?\n楊總裁,請問一下未來台幣會升值嗎?估計升多少?\n到目前為止新台幣是貶值的是不是以後會升值這個說實在的不可算1985年1月20雷根第二任任期開始的半年多同年9月在G7會議上簽訂的影響到今天都還沒有完全消失的廣場協議\n二零二五年的川普剛好是40年後就要效法他所崇拜的雷根展開一系列的經貿、金融甚至是國安種種都比雷根可能更猛的一個措施尤其川普比雷根我覺得是更性急啦那本席想請教楊總裁很怪台幣的匯率對美的貿易順差絕對是重頭戲我想剛剛很多的委員都在關心這件事情不知40年前廣場協議簽訂時楊總裁正在英國伯明罕大學攻讀\n博士學位40年後主掌台灣的央行是不是有所認知跟妥善的準備我想就是說委員談到這個我覺得委員對以前的國際的經貿你也蠻注意的事實上沒有錯那個時候是1985年的時候是廣場協議讓美元貶值那是那時候的時空跟現在的時空我總覺得好像不大一樣\n不太一樣但又有點相似我想馬克吐温說歷史不會重演但會常常押韻相隔剛好40年後明天川普很有可能就推出廣場協議2.0到時台幣匯率一定會大幅升值對美貿易貨差順差這個一定會被川普團隊要求去做改善所以我想40年後從博明函\n到這個羅斯福路一段二號的楊總裁到底有沒有什麼定國安邦的政策我想就是說委員我今天我才會想到就是說委員提出這個廣場協議讓我回想到那個時候的時空背景不過我本身我還是非常謝謝委員的提醒\n那這個呢至於他會不會就是說第二個會有廣場協議的2.0這個我們要密切注意第二個呢對我們的這個新台幣的匯率呢我們也會非常注意那至於就是說會有怎麼樣的impact我現在也沒辦法來跟委員報告\n當然但是我們希望能夠提前準備一定要去預想一下第二任的川普第二任他只做到第二任大家都知道會不會有雷力風行我們不能夠預測但是我們可以想像有可能\n所以我們當然要去準備嘛那當然要借重您的專長我們希望能夠預先去想到任何的可能性好不好9月19日兩週前央行宣布兩總裁2018年2月25日上任以來第7波打房政策\n大家都說楊總裁第7波打房是2010年央行開始以來最嚴厲的一次請問楊總裁在這次第7波最嚴厲的打房措施你認為有效能夠把房價打下來嗎?如果有效什麼時候能夠看到效果?\n我想我們當時我們推出第7波的那個我在我們的業務報告你們上一次我來財委會報告我也講到就是說我們有三個目的第一個目的就是說\n因為我們前一波有一個道德稅務要道德稅務要讓銀行的這個調整他們的不動產的換款呢這個能夠落實這是第一個第二個呢我們認為就是說我們這個呢這個第七波會讓\n會讓就是說第一次購買房屋的人比較容易拿到資金這是第二個第三個目的就是說要讓你的房價的一個預期心理能夠還轉回來那\n那現在我總覺得到目前為止我們評估的結果我們這三個目的好像到目前為止是有達到這個目的看起來有脈絡但是我還是要提醒彭總裁從2010年開始打房總共4波\n至2016年看到一些效果開始有點鬆綁結果房價指數又立刻竄升短短3到4年大概2019到2020房價指數超過2014的最高峰上次彭總裁歷經6年打房而楊總裁從2020到現在打房到今天也是快滿了4年不過楊總裁已發動了7波彭總裁只有4年\n謝謝評委接著請楊瓊英委員質詢\n","vtt":"WEBVTT\n\n00:04.120 --> 00:23.328\n總裁好,川普明年1月20才正式上台,現在全世界都在密切關切他的口口聲聲所提到的過去種種經貿政治措施會不會實施。我想本席想請問在座還有楊總裁,是不是已經開始沙盤推演川普正當對年關前的各行各業影響的因應措施?\n\n00:23.928 --> 00:25.449\n楊總裁,請問一下未來台幣會升值嗎?估計升多少?\n\n00:49.107 --> 01:07.569\n到目前為止新台幣是貶值的是不是以後會升值這個說實在的不可算1985年1月20雷根第二任任期開始的半年多同年9月在G7會議上簽訂的影響到今天都還沒有完全消失的廣場協議\n\n01:09.090 --> 01:37.770\n二零二五年的川普剛好是40年後就要效法他所崇拜的雷根展開一系列的經貿、金融甚至是國安種種都比雷根可能更猛的一個措施尤其川普比雷根我覺得是更性急啦那本席想請教楊總裁很怪台幣的匯率對美的貿易順差絕對是重頭戲我想剛剛很多的委員都在關心這件事情不知40年前廣場協議簽訂時楊總裁正在英國伯明罕大學攻讀\n\n01:38.430 --> 01:54.638\n博士學位40年後主掌台灣的央行是不是有所認知跟妥善的準備我想就是說委員談到這個我覺得委員對以前的國際的經貿你也蠻注意的事實上沒有錯那個時候是1985年的時候是廣場協議讓美元貶值那是那時候的時空跟現在的時空我總覺得好像不大一樣\n\n02:08.285 --> 02:29.961\n不太一樣但又有點相似我想馬克吐温說歷史不會重演但會常常押韻相隔剛好40年後明天川普很有可能就推出廣場協議2.0到時台幣匯率一定會大幅升值對美貿易貨差順差這個一定會被川普團隊要求去做改善所以我想40年後從博明函\n\n02:30.581 --> 02:49.663\n到這個羅斯福路一段二號的楊總裁到底有沒有什麼定國安邦的政策我想就是說委員我今天我才會想到就是說委員提出這個廣場協議讓我回想到那個時候的時空背景不過我本身我還是非常謝謝委員的提醒\n\n02:50.236 --> 02:53.160\n那這個呢至於他會不會就是說第二個會有廣場協議的2.0這個我們要密切注意第二個呢對我們的這個新台幣的匯率呢我們也會非常注意那至於就是說會有怎麼樣的impact我現在也沒辦法來跟委員報告\n\n03:07.456 --> 03:17.763\n當然但是我們希望能夠提前準備一定要去預想一下第二任的川普第二任他只做到第二任大家都知道會不會有雷力風行我們不能夠預測但是我們可以想像有可能\n\n03:22.746 --> 03:31.192\n所以我們當然要去準備嘛那當然要借重您的專長我們希望能夠預先去想到任何的可能性好不好9月19日兩週前央行宣布兩總裁2018年2月25日上任以來第7波打房政策\n\n03:38.137 --> 03:52.453\n大家都說楊總裁第7波打房是2010年央行開始以來最嚴厲的一次請問楊總裁在這次第7波最嚴厲的打房措施你認為有效能夠把房價打下來嗎?如果有效什麼時候能夠看到效果?\n\n03:53.086 --> 03:54.347\n我想我們當時我們推出第7波的那個我在我們的業務報告你們上一次我來財委會報告我也講到就是說我們有三個目的第一個目的就是說\n\n04:08.660 --> 04:09.981\n因為我們前一波有一個道德稅務要道德稅務要讓銀行的這個調整他們的不動產的換款呢這個能夠落實這是第一個第二個呢我們認為就是說我們這個呢這個第七波會讓\n\n04:30.753 --> 04:42.647\n會讓就是說第一次購買房屋的人比較容易拿到資金這是第二個第三個目的就是說要讓你的房價的一個預期心理能夠還轉回來那\n\n04:44.830 --> 04:46.852\n那現在我總覺得到目前為止我們評估的結果我們這三個目的好像到目前為止是有達到這個目的看起來有脈絡但是我還是要提醒彭總裁從2010年開始打房總共4波\n\n05:01.906 --> 05:10.793\n至2016年看到一些效果開始有點鬆綁結果房價指數又立刻竄升短短3到4年大概2019到2020房價指數超過2014的最高峰上次彭總裁歷經6年打房而楊總裁從2020到現在打房到今天也是快滿了4年不過楊總裁已發動了7波彭總裁只有4年\n\n05:25.004 --> 05:25.985\n謝謝評委接著請楊瓊英委員質詢\n\n","segments":[{"start":4.12,"end":23.328,"text":"總裁好,川普明年1月20才正式上台,現在全世界都在密切關切他的口口聲聲所提到的過去種種經貿政治措施會不會實施。我想本席想請問在座還有楊總裁,是不是已經開始沙盤推演川普正當對年關前的各行各業影響的因應措施?"},{"start":23.928,"end":25.449,"text":"楊總裁,請問一下未來台幣會升值嗎?估計升多少?"},{"start":49.107,"end":67.569,"text":"到目前為止新台幣是貶值的是不是以後會升值這個說實在的不可算1985年1月20雷根第二任任期開始的半年多同年9月在G7會議上簽訂的影響到今天都還沒有完全消失的廣場協議"},{"start":69.09,"end":97.77,"text":"二零二五年的川普剛好是40年後就要效法他所崇拜的雷根展開一系列的經貿、金融甚至是國安種種都比雷根可能更猛的一個措施尤其川普比雷根我覺得是更性急啦那本席想請教楊總裁很怪台幣的匯率對美的貿易順差絕對是重頭戲我想剛剛很多的委員都在關心這件事情不知40年前廣場協議簽訂時楊總裁正在英國伯明罕大學攻讀"},{"start":98.43,"end":114.638,"text":"博士學位40年後主掌台灣的央行是不是有所認知跟妥善的準備我想就是說委員談到這個我覺得委員對以前的國際的經貿你也蠻注意的事實上沒有錯那個時候是1985年的時候是廣場協議讓美元貶值那是那時候的時空跟現在的時空我總覺得好像不大一樣"},{"start":128.285,"end":149.961,"text":"不太一樣但又有點相似我想馬克吐温說歷史不會重演但會常常押韻相隔剛好40年後明天川普很有可能就推出廣場協議2.0到時台幣匯率一定會大幅升值對美貿易貨差順差這個一定會被川普團隊要求去做改善所以我想40年後從博明函"},{"start":150.581,"end":169.663,"text":"到這個羅斯福路一段二號的楊總裁到底有沒有什麼定國安邦的政策我想就是說委員我今天我才會想到就是說委員提出這個廣場協議讓我回想到那個時候的時空背景不過我本身我還是非常謝謝委員的提醒"},{"start":170.236,"end":173.16,"text":"那這個呢至於他會不會就是說第二個會有廣場協議的2.0這個我們要密切注意第二個呢對我們的這個新台幣的匯率呢我們也會非常注意那至於就是說會有怎麼樣的impact我現在也沒辦法來跟委員報告"},{"start":187.456,"end":197.763,"text":"當然但是我們希望能夠提前準備一定要去預想一下第二任的川普第二任他只做到第二任大家都知道會不會有雷力風行我們不能夠預測但是我們可以想像有可能"},{"start":202.746,"end":211.192,"text":"所以我們當然要去準備嘛那當然要借重您的專長我們希望能夠預先去想到任何的可能性好不好9月19日兩週前央行宣布兩總裁2018年2月25日上任以來第7波打房政策"},{"start":218.137,"end":232.453,"text":"大家都說楊總裁第7波打房是2010年央行開始以來最嚴厲的一次請問楊總裁在這次第7波最嚴厲的打房措施你認為有效能夠把房價打下來嗎?如果有效什麼時候能夠看到效果?"},{"start":233.086,"end":234.347,"text":"我想我們當時我們推出第7波的那個我在我們的業務報告你們上一次我來財委會報告我也講到就是說我們有三個目的第一個目的就是說"},{"start":248.66,"end":249.981,"text":"因為我們前一波有一個道德稅務要道德稅務要讓銀行的這個調整他們的不動產的換款呢這個能夠落實這是第一個第二個呢我們認為就是說我們這個呢這個第七波會讓"},{"start":270.753,"end":282.647,"text":"會讓就是說第一次購買房屋的人比較容易拿到資金這是第二個第三個目的就是說要讓你的房價的一個預期心理能夠還轉回來那"},{"start":284.83,"end":286.852,"text":"那現在我總覺得到目前為止我們評估的結果我們這三個目的好像到目前為止是有達到這個目的看起來有脈絡但是我還是要提醒彭總裁從2010年開始打房總共4波"},{"start":301.906,"end":310.793,"text":"至2016年看到一些效果開始有點鬆綁結果房價指數又立刻竄升短短3到4年大概2019到2020房價指數超過2014的最高峰上次彭總裁歷經6年打房而楊總裁從2020到現在打房到今天也是快滿了4年不過楊總裁已發動了7波彭總裁只有4年"},{"start":325.004,"end":325.985,"text":"謝謝評委接著請楊瓊英委員質詢"}]}}},"gazette":{"lineno":1452,"blocks":[["羅委員廷瑋：（12時25分）謝謝召委，請央行楊總裁。"],["主席：是，請總裁。"],["楊總裁金龍：羅委員好。"],["羅委員廷瑋：總裁好。川普明年1月20日才正式上台，現在全世界都在密切關切，他口口聲聲所提到的，過去種種經貿、政治措施會不會實施。本席想請問在座還有楊總裁，是不是已經開始沙盤推演，川普震盪對年關前的各行各業影響的因應措施？"],["楊總裁金龍：是，我想到目前年關來講的話，我覺得應該是比較不會有……"],["羅委員廷瑋：不會有所動作。"],["楊總裁金龍：對，不會有，應該是我們會跟以前一樣的，對於年關的流動性或什麼的，我想應該是沒有多大問題。"],["羅委員廷瑋：好，楊總裁，請問未來台幣會升值嗎？估計升多少？"],["楊總裁金龍：到目前為止新台幣是貶值的。"],["羅委員廷瑋：對。"],["楊總裁金龍：是不是以後會升值？這個說實在的不可測。"],["羅委員廷瑋：好，1985年1月20日雷根第二任任期開始的半年多，同年9月在G7會議上簽訂影響到今天都還沒有完全消失的廣場協議。2025年的川普剛好是40年後，就要效法他所崇拜的雷根，展開一系列的經貿、金融，甚至是國安種種，都比雷根可能更猛的一個措施。尤其川普比雷根，我覺得是更性急。本席想請教楊總裁，很快臺幣的匯率，對美的貿易順差絕對是重頭戲。我想剛剛很多的委員都在關心這類事情，40年前廣場協議簽訂時，楊總裁正在英國伯明罕大學攻讀博士學位，40年後主掌臺灣的央行，是不是有所認知跟妥善的準備？"],["楊總裁金龍：我想委員談到這個，我覺得委員對以前的國際經貿也蠻注意的。事實上沒有錯，1985年的時候是廣場協議讓美元貶值，那時候的時空跟現在的時空，我總覺得好像不太一樣。"],["羅委員廷瑋：不太一樣，但又有點相似。我想馬克吐溫說歷史不會重演但會常常押韻，相隔剛好40年後，明天川普很有可能就推出廣場協議2.0，到時臺幣匯率一定會大幅升值，對美貿易順差這個一定會被川普團隊要求改善。40年後，從伯明罕到羅斯福路一段2號的楊總裁，到底有沒有什麼定國安邦的政策？"],["楊總裁金龍：今天委員提出這個廣場協議，讓我回想到那個時候的時空背景，不過我還是非常謝謝委員的提醒，至於他會不會有廣場協議2.0，這個我們要密切注意。第二個新臺幣的匯率我們也會非常注意。至於會有怎麼樣的impact，我現在也沒辦法來跟委員報告。"],["羅委員廷瑋：好，但是我們希望能夠提前準備。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["羅委員廷瑋：一定要去預想一下，第二任的川普……他只做到第二任大家都知道，他會不會雷厲風行我們不能夠預測，但是我們可以想像有可能，所以我們當然要去準備，那當然要借重您的專長，我們希望能夠預先去想到任何的可能性，好不好？"],["楊總裁金龍：好。"],["羅委員廷瑋：9月19日，兩個月前央行宣布楊總裁2018年2月25日上任以來第七波的打房政策，大家都說楊總裁第七波打房，是2010年央行開始以來最嚴厲的一次。請問楊總裁，這次第七波最嚴厲的打房措施，你認為有效，能夠把房價打下來嗎？如果有效，什麼時候能夠看到效果？"],["楊總裁金龍：我想當時我們推出第七波，在我們的業務報告，上一次我來財委會報告，我有講到我們有三個目的，第一個目的就是我們前一波有道德說服，要讓銀行調整他們不動產的放款能夠落實，這是第一個。第二個，我們認為這個第七波會讓第一次購買房屋的人比較容易拿到資金，這是第二個。第三個目的就是要讓市場對於房價的預期心理能夠反轉回來。現在我們評估的結果，這三個目的好像到目前為止有達到這個目的。"],["羅委員廷瑋：看起來有脈絡啦！但是我還是要提醒，彭總裁從2010年開始打房，總共四波，到了2016年看到一些效果，開始有點鬆綁，結果房價指數又立刻竄升，短短三到四年，大概2019年到2020年，房價指數超過2014年的最高峰。上次彭總裁歷經六年打房，而楊總裁從2020年打房到今天，也是快滿四年。不過楊總裁已發動了七波，彭總裁只有四波，所以我希望這個部分還是要稍微提醒你，我們希望能夠趕快看到效果。"],["楊總裁金龍：好，謝謝。"],["羅委員廷瑋：全國人民都在期待，總裁您是重擔責任。"],["楊總裁金龍：謝謝。"],["羅委員廷瑋：我們也希望你能夠發揮所有國人期待的一些效果，好嗎？"],["楊總裁金龍：謝謝你的鼓勵。"],["羅委員廷瑋：謝謝。"],["主席：謝謝廷瑋，接著請楊瓊瓔委員質詢。"]],"agenda":{"page_end":256,"meet_id":"委員會-11-2-20-8","speakers":["賴惠員","林德福","吳秉叡","賴士葆","郭國文","李彥秀","李坤城","王鴻薇","羅明才","顏寬恒","黃珊珊","伍麗華Saidhai‧Tahovecahe","陳玉珍","黃國昌","洪孟楷","羅廷瑋","楊瓊瓔","麥玉珍","葉元之","王世堅","何欣純","邱志偉"],"page_start":173,"meetingDate":["2024-11-14"],"gazette_id":"11310002","agenda_lcidc_ids":["11310002_00004"],"meet_name":"立法院第11屆第2會期財政委員會第8次全體委員會議紀錄","content":"一、邀請中央銀行楊總裁金龍、財政部莊部長翠雲、金融監督管理委員會彭主任委員金隆就「美\n國新任總統的貿易政策對台灣經濟與金融穩定之可能影響與對策」進行專題報告，並備質詢；\n二、審查中華民國114年度中央政府總預算案：行政院歲入預算有關中央銀行股息紅利繳庫部分\n（僅詢答）；三、審查中華民國114年度中央政府總預算案附屬單位預算營業部分關於中央銀行\n（含中央造幣廠、中央印製廠）（僅詢答）","agenda_id":"11310002_00003"}}}