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215.152, \"score\": 0.803}, {\"word\": \"方\", \"start\": 215.152, \"end\": 215.172, \"score\": 0.002}, {\"word\": \"案\", \"start\": 215.172, \"end\": 215.192, \"score\": 0.004}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}], \"language\": \"zh\"}","srt":"1\n00:00:00,009 --> 00:00:00,093\n天天\n\n2\n00:00:13,595 --> 00:00:29,605\n台湾应该审慎因应美国优先的掠夺式战略院长部会首长还有各位同仁大家好今天本席想从国际政治的角度来谈谈美国掠夺式战略与交易式外交对台湾的影响\n\n3\n00:00:30,766 --> 00:00:54,594\n過去我們習慣將美國視為民主世界的領袖堅定的盟友認為他對盟友的支持是建立在共同價值與戰略利益之上然而現實告訴我們美國的外交政策現在充滿了現實主義的色彩特別是在川普主政下交易與掠奪的邏輯成為決策的核心導致美國對盟友\n\n4\n00:00:55,134 --> 00:01:15,132\n承諾產生高度的不確定性這不僅影響了烏克蘭也可能對台灣構成潛在的風險我們可以從美國對烏克蘭政策的變化看出國際承諾的脆弱性拜登政府將烏克蘭戰爭視為美俄對抗的前線因此投入了大量的軍援與外交的資源\n\n5\n00:01:16,233 --> 00:01:32,792\n並推動北約國家共同施壓俄羅斯然而川普的回歸改變了這一切他不僅質疑美國無條件援助烏克蘭的必要性甚至迫使基輔接受不平等的談判條件以換取戰爭的快速結束\n\n6\n00:01:35,871 --> 00:01:52,323\n這涉及到國際理論當中的現實主義與自由主義之爭拜登的政策符合自由主義的多邊合作觀點然而烏克蘭問題是維持全世界秩序的必要措施而川普更傾向於現實主義認為烏克蘭問題是\n\n7\n00:01:55,265 --> 00:02:14,551\n外交應該要服務於國內的利益並且應該以最小的成本換取最大的利益這對台灣無疑是一個巨大的警訊長期以來北約與第一島鏈的安全架構依賴美國的軍事承諾但是川普的做法顯示美國可能不願意再為盟友無條件的提供保障\n\n8\n00:02:15,071 --> 00:02:29,281\n而是要盟友自行承擔更大的責任這樣趨勢下去美國在亞太地區的角色也可能發生類似的變化台灣必須為此做好準備我們需要警惕川普的外交風格不同於傳統的美國總統他強調美國優先\n\n9\n00:02:33,725 --> 00:02:54,918\n這種交易式外交的戰略利益戰略利益其實是交易式外交很重要的一個思維它將所有的國際承諾視為可談判的交易籌碼這在烏克蘭問題上體現得非常明顯那這個邏輯如果適用於台灣對我們整體的國際戰略地位有很大的影響所以\n\n10\n00:02:55,478 --> 00:03:17,162\n川普的台灣政策很可能不會基於道德與價值觀而是取決於我們能否提供美國戰略利益所以我們的外交策略應該更加多元在局勢非常加劇變動的今天我們需要拓展更多的空間尤其是與中國大陸的雙邊關係與美中保持緊密的關係並且與日本\n\n11\n00:03:26,177 --> 00:03:35,192\n有個意識積極一點沒有我們覺得很好的工作這也會有我們的更加安逸我們希望在今後的募集公園戰略來做好臺灣常常救手的方案謝謝\n\n","tsv":"start\tend\ttext\n9\t93\t天天\n13595\t29605\t台湾应该审慎因应美国优先的掠夺式战略院长部会首长还有各位同仁大家好今天本席想从国际政治的角度来谈谈美国掠夺式战略与交易式外交对台湾的影响\n30766\t54594\t過去我們習慣將美國視為民主世界的領袖堅定的盟友認為他對盟友的支持是建立在共同價值與戰略利益之上然而現實告訴我們美國的外交政策現在充滿了現實主義的色彩特別是在川普主政下交易與掠奪的邏輯成為決策的核心導致美國對盟友\n55134\t75132\t承諾產生高度的不確定性這不僅影響了烏克蘭也可能對台灣構成潛在的風險我們可以從美國對烏克蘭政策的變化看出國際承諾的脆弱性拜登政府將烏克蘭戰爭視為美俄對抗的前線因此投入了大量的軍援與外交的資源\n76233\t92792\t並推動北約國家共同施壓俄羅斯然而川普的回歸改變了這一切他不僅質疑美國無條件援助烏克蘭的必要性甚至迫使基輔接受不平等的談判條件以換取戰爭的快速結束\n95871\t112323\t這涉及到國際理論當中的現實主義與自由主義之爭拜登的政策符合自由主義的多邊合作觀點然而烏克蘭問題是維持全世界秩序的必要措施而川普更傾向於現實主義認為烏克蘭問題是\n115265\t134551\t外交應該要服務於國內的利益並且應該以最小的成本換取最大的利益這對台灣無疑是一個巨大的警訊長期以來北約與第一島鏈的安全架構依賴美國的軍事承諾但是川普的做法顯示美國可能不願意再為盟友無條件的提供保障\n135071\t149281\t而是要盟友自行承擔更大的責任這樣趨勢下去美國在亞太地區的角色也可能發生類似的變化台灣必須為此做好準備我們需要警惕川普的外交風格不同於傳統的美國總統他強調美國優先\n153725\t174918\t這種交易式外交的戰略利益戰略利益其實是交易式外交很重要的一個思維它將所有的國際承諾視為可談判的交易籌碼這在烏克蘭問題上體現得非常明顯那這個邏輯如果適用於台灣對我們整體的國際戰略地位有很大的影響所以\n175478\t197162\t川普的台灣政策很可能不會基於道德與價值觀而是取決於我們能否提供美國戰略利益所以我們的外交策略應該更加多元在局勢非常加劇變動的今天我們需要拓展更多的空間尤其是與中國大陸的雙邊關係與美中保持緊密的關係並且與日本\n206177\t215192\t有個意識積極一點沒有 我們覺得很好的工作這也會有我們的更加安逸我們希望在今後的募集公園戰略來做好臺灣常常救手的方案謝謝\n","txt":"天天\n台湾应该审慎因应美国优先的掠夺式战略院长部会首长还有各位同仁大家好今天本席想从国际政治的角度来谈谈美国掠夺式战略与交易式外交对台湾的影响\n過去我們習慣將美國視為民主世界的領袖堅定的盟友認為他對盟友的支持是建立在共同價值與戰略利益之上然而現實告訴我們美國的外交政策現在充滿了現實主義的色彩特別是在川普主政下交易與掠奪的邏輯成為決策的核心導致美國對盟友\n承諾產生高度的不確定性這不僅影響了烏克蘭也可能對台灣構成潛在的風險我們可以從美國對烏克蘭政策的變化看出國際承諾的脆弱性拜登政府將烏克蘭戰爭視為美俄對抗的前線因此投入了大量的軍援與外交的資源\n並推動北約國家共同施壓俄羅斯然而川普的回歸改變了這一切他不僅質疑美國無條件援助烏克蘭的必要性甚至迫使基輔接受不平等的談判條件以換取戰爭的快速結束\n這涉及到國際理論當中的現實主義與自由主義之爭拜登的政策符合自由主義的多邊合作觀點然而烏克蘭問題是維持全世界秩序的必要措施而川普更傾向於現實主義認為烏克蘭問題是\n外交應該要服務於國內的利益並且應該以最小的成本換取最大的利益這對台灣無疑是一個巨大的警訊長期以來北約與第一島鏈的安全架構依賴美國的軍事承諾但是川普的做法顯示美國可能不願意再為盟友無條件的提供保障\n而是要盟友自行承擔更大的責任這樣趨勢下去美國在亞太地區的角色也可能發生類似的變化台灣必須為此做好準備我們需要警惕川普的外交風格不同於傳統的美國總統他強調美國優先\n這種交易式外交的戰略利益戰略利益其實是交易式外交很重要的一個思維它將所有的國際承諾視為可談判的交易籌碼這在烏克蘭問題上體現得非常明顯那這個邏輯如果適用於台灣對我們整體的國際戰略地位有很大的影響所以\n川普的台灣政策很可能不會基於道德與價值觀而是取決於我們能否提供美國戰略利益所以我們的外交策略應該更加多元在局勢非常加劇變動的今天我們需要拓展更多的空間尤其是與中國大陸的雙邊關係與美中保持緊密的關係並且與日本\n有個意識積極一點沒有 我們覺得很好的工作這也會有我們的更加安逸我們希望在今後的募集公園戰略來做好臺灣常常救手的方案謝謝\n","vtt":"WEBVTT\n\n00:00.009 --> 00:00.093\n天天\n\n00:13.595 --> 00:29.605\n台湾应该审慎因应美国优先的掠夺式战略院长部会首长还有各位同仁大家好今天本席想从国际政治的角度来谈谈美国掠夺式战略与交易式外交对台湾的影响\n\n00:30.766 --> 00:54.594\n過去我們習慣將美國視為民主世界的領袖堅定的盟友認為他對盟友的支持是建立在共同價值與戰略利益之上然而現實告訴我們美國的外交政策現在充滿了現實主義的色彩特別是在川普主政下交易與掠奪的邏輯成為決策的核心導致美國對盟友\n\n00:55.134 --> 01:15.132\n承諾產生高度的不確定性這不僅影響了烏克蘭也可能對台灣構成潛在的風險我們可以從美國對烏克蘭政策的變化看出國際承諾的脆弱性拜登政府將烏克蘭戰爭視為美俄對抗的前線因此投入了大量的軍援與外交的資源\n\n01:16.233 --> 01:32.792\n並推動北約國家共同施壓俄羅斯然而川普的回歸改變了這一切他不僅質疑美國無條件援助烏克蘭的必要性甚至迫使基輔接受不平等的談判條件以換取戰爭的快速結束\n\n01:35.871 --> 01:52.323\n這涉及到國際理論當中的現實主義與自由主義之爭拜登的政策符合自由主義的多邊合作觀點然而烏克蘭問題是維持全世界秩序的必要措施而川普更傾向於現實主義認為烏克蘭問題是\n\n01:55.265 --> 02:14.551\n外交應該要服務於國內的利益並且應該以最小的成本換取最大的利益這對台灣無疑是一個巨大的警訊長期以來北約與第一島鏈的安全架構依賴美國的軍事承諾但是川普的做法顯示美國可能不願意再為盟友無條件的提供保障\n\n02:15.071 --> 02:29.281\n而是要盟友自行承擔更大的責任這樣趨勢下去美國在亞太地區的角色也可能發生類似的變化台灣必須為此做好準備我們需要警惕川普的外交風格不同於傳統的美國總統他強調美國優先\n\n02:33.725 --> 02:54.918\n這種交易式外交的戰略利益戰略利益其實是交易式外交很重要的一個思維它將所有的國際承諾視為可談判的交易籌碼這在烏克蘭問題上體現得非常明顯那這個邏輯如果適用於台灣對我們整體的國際戰略地位有很大的影響所以\n\n02:55.478 --> 03:17.162\n川普的台灣政策很可能不會基於道德與價值觀而是取決於我們能否提供美國戰略利益所以我們的外交策略應該更加多元在局勢非常加劇變動的今天我們需要拓展更多的空間尤其是與中國大陸的雙邊關係與美中保持緊密的關係並且與日本\n\n03:26.177 --> 03:35.192\n有個意識積極一點沒有我們覺得很好的工作這也會有我們的更加安逸我們希望在今後的募集公園戰略來做好臺灣常常救手的方案謝謝\n\n","segments":[{"start":0.009,"end":0.093,"text":"天天"},{"start":13.595,"end":29.605,"text":"台湾应该审慎因应美国优先的掠夺式战略院长部会首长还有各位同仁大家好今天本席想从国际政治的角度来谈谈美国掠夺式战略与交易式外交对台湾的影响"},{"start":30.766,"end":54.594,"text":"過去我們習慣將美國視為民主世界的領袖堅定的盟友認為他對盟友的支持是建立在共同價值與戰略利益之上然而現實告訴我們美國的外交政策現在充滿了現實主義的色彩特別是在川普主政下交易與掠奪的邏輯成為決策的核心導致美國對盟友"},{"start":55.134,"end":75.132,"text":"承諾產生高度的不確定性這不僅影響了烏克蘭也可能對台灣構成潛在的風險我們可以從美國對烏克蘭政策的變化看出國際承諾的脆弱性拜登政府將烏克蘭戰爭視為美俄對抗的前線因此投入了大量的軍援與外交的資源"},{"start":76.233,"end":92.792,"text":"並推動北約國家共同施壓俄羅斯然而川普的回歸改變了這一切他不僅質疑美國無條件援助烏克蘭的必要性甚至迫使基輔接受不平等的談判條件以換取戰爭的快速結束"},{"start":95.871,"end":112.323,"text":"這涉及到國際理論當中的現實主義與自由主義之爭拜登的政策符合自由主義的多邊合作觀點然而烏克蘭問題是維持全世界秩序的必要措施而川普更傾向於現實主義認為烏克蘭問題是"},{"start":115.265,"end":134.551,"text":"外交應該要服務於國內的利益並且應該以最小的成本換取最大的利益這對台灣無疑是一個巨大的警訊長期以來北約與第一島鏈的安全架構依賴美國的軍事承諾但是川普的做法顯示美國可能不願意再為盟友無條件的提供保障"},{"start":135.071,"end":149.281,"text":"而是要盟友自行承擔更大的責任這樣趨勢下去美國在亞太地區的角色也可能發生類似的變化台灣必須為此做好準備我們需要警惕川普的外交風格不同於傳統的美國總統他強調美國優先"},{"start":153.725,"end":174.918,"text":"這種交易式外交的戰略利益戰略利益其實是交易式外交很重要的一個思維它將所有的國際承諾視為可談判的交易籌碼這在烏克蘭問題上體現得非常明顯那這個邏輯如果適用於台灣對我們整體的國際戰略地位有很大的影響所以"},{"start":175.478,"end":197.162,"text":"川普的台灣政策很可能不會基於道德與價值觀而是取決於我們能否提供美國戰略利益所以我們的外交策略應該更加多元在局勢非常加劇變動的今天我們需要拓展更多的空間尤其是與中國大陸的雙邊關係與美中保持緊密的關係並且與日本"},{"start":206.177,"end":215.192,"text":"有個意識積極一點沒有 我們覺得很好的工作這也會有我們的更加安逸我們希望在今後的募集公園戰略來做好臺灣常常救手的方案謝謝"}]}}},"gazette":{"lineno":26,"blocks":[["林委員倩綺：（9時14分）臺灣應審慎因應「美國優先」的掠奪式戰略。院長、部會首長，還有各位同仁，大家好，今天本席想從國際政治的角度來談談美國掠奪式戰略與交易式外交對臺灣的影響。過去我們習慣將美國視為民主世界的領袖、堅定的盟友，認為它對盟友的支持是建立在共同價值與戰略利益之上。然而，現實告訴我們，美國的外交政策現在充滿了現實主義的色彩，特別是在川普主政下，交易與掠奪的邏輯成為決策的核心，導致美國對盟友的承諾產生高度的不確定性，這不僅影響了烏克蘭，也可能對臺灣構成潛在的風險。","我們可以從美國對烏克蘭政策的變化看出國際承諾的脆弱性，拜登政府將烏克蘭戰爭視為美俄對抗的前線，因此投入了大量的軍援與外交的資源，並推動北約國家共同施壓俄羅斯，然而川普的回歸改變了這一切，他不僅質疑美國無條件援助烏克蘭的必要性，甚至迫使基輔接受不平等的談判條件，以換取戰爭的快速結束。這涉及到國際理論當中的現實主義與自由主義之爭，拜登的政策符合自由主義的多邊合作觀點，然而烏克蘭問題是維持全世界秩序的必要措施，而川普更傾向於現實主義，認為外交應該要服務於國內的利益，並且應該以最小的成本換取最大的利益。","這對臺灣無疑是一個巨大的警訊，長期以來，北約與第一島鏈的安全架構依賴美國的軍事承諾，但是川普的作法顯示，美國可能不願意再為盟友無條件的提供保障，而是要盟友自行承擔大的責任。這種趨勢延續下去，美國在亞太地區的角色也可能發生類似的變化，臺灣必須為此做好準備，我們需要警惕，川普的外交風格不同於傳統的美國總統，他強調美國優先，戰略利益其實是這種交易式外交很重要的一個思維，他將所有的國際承諾視為可談判的交易籌碼，這在烏克蘭問題上體現得非常明顯。這個邏輯如果適用於臺灣，對我們整體的國際戰略地位有很大的影響，所以川普的臺灣政策很可能不會基於道德與價值觀，而是取決於我們能否提供美國戰略利益。","所以我們的外交策略應該更加多元，在局勢非常加劇變動的今天，我們需要拓展更多的空間，尤其是與中國大陸的雙邊關係，與美中保持緊密的關係，並且與日本、韓國、澳洲等第一島鏈的合作，我們這樣子的經驗才能夠在國際政治當中有一席之地。沒有永遠可靠的盟友，只有永恆的國家利益，我們需要採取更務實、多元的戰略，來確保臺灣長久的發展。謝謝。"],["主席：謝謝林倩綺委員的發言。","報告院會，登記國是論壇發言的委員均已發言完畢，現在休息。","休息（9時18分）"]],"agenda":{"page_end":206,"meet_id":"院會-11-3-5","speakers":["韓國瑜","楊瓊瓔","麥玉珍","張智倫","張嘉郡","林倩綺"],"page_start":203,"meetingDate":["2025-03-14"],"gazette_id":"1142601","agenda_lcidc_ids":["1142601_00006"],"meet_name":"立法院第11屆第3會期第5次會議紀錄","content":"國是論壇","agenda_id":"1142601_00006"}}}