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然後下半年主要有兩個支柱會產生一個是手機的拉貨槽第二個是那個AI那個這個GP300的新model的出貨這兩塊都會帶動那我們希望國發會跟各部會密切的注意那我們來看一下燈號的部分其實是到五月六月其實已經進入到了綠燈所以在景氣上面 主委擔憂嗎 這樣的狀況\", \"words\": [{\"word\": \"對\"}, {\"word\": \"然\", \"start\": 468.604, \"end\": 469.124, \"score\": 0.841}, {\"word\": \"後\", \"start\": 469.124, \"end\": 469.324, \"score\": 0.891}, {\"word\": \"下\", \"start\": 469.324, \"end\": 469.505, \"score\": 0.905}, {\"word\": \"半\", \"start\": 469.505, \"end\": 469.645, \"score\": 0.852}, {\"word\": \"年\", \"start\": 469.645, \"end\": 469.805, \"score\": 0.99}, {\"word\": \"主\", \"start\": 469.805, \"end\": 469.905, \"score\": 0.949}, {\"word\": \"要\", \"start\": 469.905, \"end\": 470.025, \"score\": 0.994}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 470.025, \"end\": 470.465, \"score\": 0.863}, {\"word\": \"兩\"}, {\"word\": \"個\"}, {\"word\": \"支\", \"start\": 470.465, \"end\": 470.665, \"score\": 0.922}, {\"word\": \"柱\", \"start\": 470.665, \"end\": 471.165, \"score\": 0.875}, {\"word\": \"會\"}, {\"word\": \"產\"}, {\"word\": 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557.005, \"end\": 557.326, \"score\": 0.87}, {\"word\": \"應\"}, {\"word\": \"該\"}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 557.326, \"end\": 557.806, \"score\": 0.958}, {\"word\": \"全\", \"start\": 557.806, \"end\": 558.026, \"score\": 0.975}, {\"word\": \"世\", \"start\": 558.026, \"end\": 558.306, \"score\": 0.99}, {\"word\": \"界\", \"start\": 558.306, \"end\": 559.307, \"score\": 0.996}, {\"word\": \"最\", \"start\": 559.307, \"end\": 559.468, \"score\": 0.999}, {\"word\": \"好\", \"start\": 559.468, \"end\": 559.688, \"score\": 0.998}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 559.688, \"end\": 559.788, \"score\": 0.992}, {\"word\": \"上\", \"start\": 559.788, \"end\": 559.968, \"score\": 0.998}, {\"word\": \"半\", \"start\": 559.968, \"end\": 560.108, \"score\": 0.98}, {\"word\": \"年\", \"start\": 560.108, \"end\": 561.89, \"score\": 0.94}, {\"word\": \"對\"}, {\"word\": \"但\", \"start\": 561.89, \"end\": 562.01, \"score\": 0.856}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 562.01, \"end\": 562.15, \"score\": 0.955}, {\"word\": \"下\", \"start\": 562.15, \"end\": 562.33, \"score\": 0.872}, {\"word\": \"半\", \"start\": 562.33, \"end\": 562.45, \"score\": 0.977}, {\"word\": \"年\", \"start\": 562.45, \"end\": 562.55, \"score\": 0.801}, {\"word\": \"部\", \"start\": 562.55, \"end\": 562.69, \"score\": 0.999}, {\"word\": \"分\", \"start\": 562.69, \"end\": 562.79, \"score\": 0.994}, {\"word\": \"還\"}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 562.79, \"end\": 562.911, \"score\": 0.794}, {\"word\": \"要\", \"start\": 562.911, \"end\": 563.371, \"score\": 0.912}, {\"word\": \"請\"}, {\"word\": \"持\", \"start\": 563.371, \"end\": 563.691, \"score\": 0.903}, {\"word\": \"續\"}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 563.691, \"end\": 564.172, \"score\": 0.911}, {\"word\": \"關\"}, {\"word\": \"注\", \"start\": 564.172, \"end\": 564.392, \"score\": 0.825}, {\"word\": \"這\"}, {\"word\": \"樣\"}, {\"word\": \"一\", \"start\": 564.392, \"end\": 565.573, \"score\": 0.884}, {\"word\": \"個\"}, {\"word\": \"狀\"}, {\"word\": \"況\"}, {\"word\": \"好\", \"start\": 565.573, \"end\": 565.973, \"score\": 0.876}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"主\", \"start\": 565.973, \"end\": 566.073, \"score\": 0.812}, {\"word\": \"委\", \"start\": 566.073, \"end\": 566.194, \"score\": 0.833}, {\"word\": \"辛\", \"start\": 566.194, \"end\": 566.334, \"score\": 0.861}, {\"word\": \"苦\", \"start\": 566.334, \"end\": 566.434, \"score\": 0.947}, {\"word\": \"了\", \"start\": 566.434, \"end\": 566.494, \"score\": 0.736}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"好\", \"start\": 566.494, \"end\": 566.514, \"score\": 0.062}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}, {\"word\": \"謝\"}], \"language\": \"zh\"}","srt":"1\n00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:21,353\n我先請教一個今天中午正式就會生效台美的部分雖然我們現在是暫時性的中午生效20%的部分先生效其實其他國家也都是這樣因為我們現在談的叫做暫時性的關稅表示接下來還會繼續談\n\n2\n00:00:23,434 --> 00:00:38,127\n什麼時候會有最後筆定的一個時間這個是談判代表跟院在談但是我有被徵詢一些議題所以我很確定他還在進行中還在談判當中當然我們希望後面還會再講但是\n\n3\n00:00:43,231 --> 00:00:58,974\n今天因為中午就開始生效了所以相關的因應措施跟準備其實也都一定要啟動了啦因為這個一旦生效馬上就直接會有相關的影響就會產生那我先確定一下因為早上最早的消息知道就是\n\n4\n00:01:00,415 --> 00:01:19,608\n半導體的部分當然關稅是百分之百但是他也有提到如果你有去投資的計畫或即將投資的話那就零就是零那台積電這樣看來是零因為台積電已經在美國做投資所以台積電目前看起來其實是會是零的部分這對台灣來說當然是一個好的消息對因為他的比重比較大\n\n5\n00:01:21,269 --> 00:01:37,621\n那這個台積電因為我們看了有幾個廠都在進行未來也在投資但是還有其他的部分因為台灣跟美國我們畢竟還是前十大的貿易國那從去年來看的話台美之間的貿易順差\n\n6\n00:01:40,223 --> 00:02:02,434\n還是前六大第六大所以其實這個問題顯然我們必須跟美國也做一個好的處理我想川普也會要求跟台灣進行處理那我們看我們周邊的其實像南韓像日本他們大概都已經初步談定了那裡面大概形式上一個是投資像南韓是投資美國3500億美金那像日本是投資5500億美金\n\n7\n00:02:08,857 --> 00:02:23,412\n那台灣是不是也會朝這個方向在進行如果就川普這兩天的訊息出來的話這個我不清楚但是就我來看我們的GDP的種子是低於南韓的那\n\n8\n00:02:27,688 --> 00:02:54,859\n這個如果用GDP比重來看投資的話理論上台灣的投資應該還是不可能比高過這些國家啦對如果照這樣來看以日本台灣南韓來看的話其實我們已經也盡了相當大的一個努力了在整個平衡整個貿易的逆差的部分做了相當大的一個努力那所以接下來如果台灣有更多的一些投資範疇看來很多不管是從包括\n\n9\n00:02:56,079 --> 00:03:08,194\n汽車甚至半導體慢慢抵定了之後包括汽車甚至於投資不管是天然氣或投資其他的部分的話那有機會經過這樣的方式的話讓台灣的關稅有機會再降低嗎主委怎麼看\n\n10\n00:03:09,229 --> 00:03:31,191\n我是認為很有機會的原因是第一個我們台灣代表處其實大家準備得非常充分那第二個事情是這些團隊也蠻優秀的所以我認為應該會有很好的結果那如果按照日美跟韓美之間的看法的話他們是會先降到一個中間暫時性關稅再往下\n\n11\n00:03:32,853 --> 00:03:54,386\n那我們看起來我們的路徑也在接近也正在一個中間路徑所以台灣的趨勢也是照這樣從32到20再20有可能再往下降也許降到類似15日韓越南都是這樣的路徑對那如果是15的話至少在日本跟南韓之間的話但大家的就站這個比較一樣的一個基礎點上面去競爭對台灣的衝擊相對上就會比較小\n\n12\n00:03:58,548 --> 00:04:05,637\n所以我們大概是朝這個目標在努力那諸位看起來是樂觀的朝樂觀的方向在看待我們是這樣我們準備的時候風險角度不能樂觀我們就要有版本但是談判結果我們是朝樂觀方向看\n\n13\n00:04:13,866 --> 00:04:40,419\n好也一定要朝這個方向去做努力啦這也必然是那另外當然有些擔憂的是息產地的問題啦其實像包括像印尼、越南等等其實都有息產地這個台灣也必須要做萬全的一些準備啦因為一旦被認定為你是在息產地的話那這個大概就會被又被拉高起來這個部分我想政府應該都做了萬全的準備這個經濟部已經做了做了一些措施嘛然後進行比較大的管控\n\n14\n00:04:42,281 --> 00:05:06,437\n所以我了解經濟部是好我也希望國發會持續的關注這樣因為畢竟它影響到國家整體的未來的競爭力那國發會站在整個更更高的一個高度上面其實要去不斷去控管跟注意這樣的一個事項那其實台美這6年來其實增加了10倍啦其實確實增長的速度相當快那所以這個也大概也是我們要去面臨的問題啦一年將近接近700億\n\n15\n00:05:09,479 --> 00:05:32,034\n700億這樣的一個這個貿易的順差我們順差他們是逆差所以這個也是台灣一定要去面對的問題所以我想這個也希望後續的談判結果能夠跟一方面是對台灣的產業的衝擊降到最低那一方面也希望台美的關係更加的穩固我想這是同樣努力的一個目標\n\n16\n00:05:33,312 --> 00:05:54,859\n主委應該是朝這樣的看法吧是的好我們向你鼓勵那另外是我想問一下那接下來其實我們談判即將底定了那我們現在處理的大概是用930億的方式來做那剛剛其實主委提到這個原先最早的規劃就用930億那如果以現在這樣狀況下\n\n17\n00:05:56,379 --> 00:06:18,101\n會再增加嗎?就是對於整個產業的支持跟照顧跟協助部分會再做一些增加嗎?以現在來看,因為當時是以現在來看應該這個是會滾動式調整那現在來看在我們經濟能力上這個應該是可以先往前走應該是推動應該是夠了但是還要看後面的變動\n\n18\n00:06:19,763 --> 00:06:34,493\n現在暫定用930億來推啦但是後面隨時在做滾動式的檢討但如果隨時有需要的時候我們隨時可以再來做追加的部分然後給予尤其我們有很大的金額是在支持它出貨的成本\n\n19\n00:06:35,673 --> 00:07:00,595\n那因為他需要被支持那那個出貨量越大我們的支持金額就會往上拉嘛這個隨著談判的結果出來之後越來越清楚的出來之後那當然就會有更明確的一些那個就是現在這樣子做這樣子來列但是將來談判結果更明確的出來之後我們當然就有更明確的一些做法那當然還不足還不夠的部分\n\n20\n00:07:01,235 --> 00:07:24,291\n政府也持續我們會再來調整我想政府挺企業這件事情是沒有問題的這個是絕對沒有問題而且政府挺農漁民這件事情也是沒有問題這是絕對的所以我想這樣的態度至少讓國人放心就是說我們努力的談到最好的結果但是談完之後如果有任何受到影響的產業那政府也絕對會挺相關的產業跟農漁民到底這裡面除了這個產業農業經濟的產業以外還有就是這個穩定就業的部分\n\n21\n00:07:30,995 --> 00:07:44,862\n對這個都要持續來進行這也是政府的主要目的那我再問那裡面我看到報告裡面就是政府還是會維持在今年GDP成長3%這樣的一個目標嗎是不是對現在是很有信心的應該沒有太大問題因為上半年看起來狀況是相當的不錯啦\n\n22\n00:07:48,604 --> 00:08:11,636\n對然後下半年主要有兩個支柱會產生一個是手機的拉貨槽第二個是那個AI那個這個GP300的新model的出貨這兩塊都會帶動那我們希望國發會跟各部會密切的注意那我們來看一下燈號的部分其實是到五月六月其實已經進入到了綠燈所以在景氣上面主委擔憂嗎這樣的狀況\n\n23\n00:08:13,597 --> 00:08:39,734\n現在景氣狀況是進入我們稱為穩定期綠燈是穩定期那我們是審慎的去規劃後面所以我們才會有擴大內需希望來推動擴大內需來把下半年如果有什麼比較大的變化的話可以所以下半年的景氣狀況主委怎麼看待下半年景氣其實是一個值得關注就是我們還是很謹慎去觀察\n\n24\n00:08:41,212 --> 00:09:03,878\n那趨勢上呢就國發會的你們的評估跟判斷呢因為你們評估判斷會影響到怎麼樣去用投入這些相關的資源趨勢上應該會跟去年接近啦就是說會比上半年差但跟去年接近就是說呃等於是成長力道相較於去年大概會在11或11在或是一點多的一個狀況\n\n25\n00:09:05,555 --> 00:09:26,514\n好我們希望整個密切注意這樣一個狀況好不好也請國防會持續的在關注所以會相較下半年去年下半年有微幅成長就沒有那麼大幅度的我們現在這個是已經是大概應該是全世界最好的上半年對但是下半年部分還是要請持續的關注這樣一個狀況好謝謝主委辛苦了謝謝好謝謝\n\n","tsv":"start\tend\ttext\n1120\t21353\t我先請教一個 今天中午正式就會生效 台美的部分雖然我們現在是暫時性的 中午生效20%的部分先生效 其實其他國家也都是這樣因為我們現在談的叫做暫時性的關稅 表示接下來還會繼續談\n23434\t38127\t什麼時候會有最後筆定的一個時間這個是談判代表跟院在談但是我有被徵詢一些議題所以我很確定他還在進行中還在談判當中當然我們希望後面還會再講但是\n43231\t58974\t今天因為中午就開始生效了所以相關的因應措施跟準備其實也都一定要啟動了啦因為這個一旦生效馬上就直接會有相關的影響就會產生那我先確定一下因為早上最早的消息知道就是\n60415\t79608\t半導體的部分當然關稅是百分之百但是他也有提到如果你有去投資的計畫或即將投資的話那就零就是零那台積電這樣看來是零因為台積電已經在美國做投資所以台積電目前看起來其實是會是零的部分這對台灣來說當然是一個好的消息對因為他的比重比較大\n81269\t97621\t那這個台積電因為我們看了有幾個廠都在進行 未來也在投資但是還有其他的部分因為台灣跟美國我們畢竟還是前十大的貿易國那從去年來看的話台美之間的貿易順差\n100223\t122434\t還是前六大 第六大所以其實這個問題顯然我們必須跟美國也做一個好的處理我想川普也會要求跟台灣進行處理那我們看我們周邊的其實像南韓 像日本他們大概都已經初步談定了那裡面大概形式上一個是投資像南韓是投資美國3500億美金那像日本是投資5500億美金\n128857\t143412\t那台灣是不是也會朝這個方向在進行如果就川普這兩天的訊息出來的話這個我不清楚但是就我來看我們的GDP的種子是低於南韓的那\n147688\t174859\t這個如果用GDP比重來看投資的話理論上台灣的投資應該還是不可能比高過這些國家啦對 如果照這樣來看以日本台灣南韓來看的話其實我們已經也盡了相當大的一個努力了在整個平衡整個貿易的逆差的部分做了相當大的一個努力那所以接下來如果台灣有更多的一些投資範疇看來很多不管是從包括\n176079\t188194\t汽車甚至半導體慢慢抵定了之後包括汽車甚至於投資不管是天然氣或投資其他的部分的話那有機會經過這樣的方式的話讓台灣的關稅有機會再降低嗎主委怎麼看\n189229\t211191\t我是認為很有機會的原因是第一個我們台灣代表處其實大家準備得非常充分那第二個事情是這些團隊也蠻優秀的所以我認為應該會有很好的結果那如果按照日美跟韓美之間的看法的話他們是會先降到一個中間暫時性關稅再往下\n212853\t234386\t那我們看起來我們的路徑也在接近也正在一個中間路徑所以台灣的趨勢也是照這樣從32到20再20有可能再往下降也許降到類似15日韓越南都是這樣的路徑對那如果是15的話至少在日本跟南韓之間的話但大家的就站這個比較一樣的一個基礎點上面去競爭對台灣的衝擊相對上就會比較小\n238548\t245637\t所以我們大概是朝這個目標在努力那諸位看起來是樂觀的朝樂觀的方向在看待我們是這樣我們準備的時候風險角度不能樂觀我們就要有版本但是談判結果我們是朝樂觀方向看\n253866\t280419\t好 也一定要朝這個方向去做努力啦這也必然是那另外當然有些擔憂的是息產地的問題啦其實像包括像印尼、越南等等其實都有息產地這個台灣也必須要做萬全的一些準備啦因為一旦被認定為你是在息產地的話那這個大概就會被又被拉高起來這個部分我想政府應該都做了萬全的準備這個經濟部已經做了做了一些措施嘛然後進行比較大的管控\n282281\t306437\t所以我了解經濟部是好我也希望國發會持續的關注這樣因為畢竟它影響到國家整體的未來的競爭力那國發會站在整個更更高的一個高度上面其實要去不斷去控管跟注意這樣的一個事項那其實台美這6年來其實增加了10倍啦其實確實增長的速度相當快那所以這個也大概也是我們要去面臨的問題啦一年將近接近700億\n309479\t332034\t700億這樣的一個這個貿易的順差我們順差他們是逆差所以這個也是台灣一定要去面對的問題所以我想這個也希望後續的談判結果能夠跟一方面是對台灣的產業的衝擊降到最低那一方面也希望台美的關係更加的穩固我想這是同樣努力的一個目標\n333312\t354859\t主委應該是朝這樣的看法吧是的好我們向你鼓勵那另外是我想問一下那接下來其實我們談判即將底定了那我們現在處理的大概是用930億的方式來做那剛剛其實主委提到這個原先最早的規劃就用930億那如果以現在這樣狀況下\n356379\t378101\t會再增加嗎?就是對於整個產業的支持跟照顧跟協助部分會再做一些增加嗎?以現在來看,因為當時是以現在來看應該這個是會滾動式調整那現在來看在我們經濟能力上這個應該是可以先往前走應該是推動應該是夠了但是還要看後面的變動\n379763\t394493\t現在暫定用930億來推啦但是後面隨時在做滾動式的檢討但如果隨時有需要的時候我們隨時可以再來做追加的部分然後給予尤其我們有很大的金額是在支持它出貨的成本\n395673\t420595\t那因為他需要被支持 那那個出貨量越大 我們的支持金額就會往上拉嘛這個隨著談判的結果出來之後 越來越清楚的出來之後那當然就會有更明確的一些那個 就是現在這樣子做 這樣子來列但是將來談判結果更明確的出來之後 我們當然就有更明確的一些做法那當然還不足 還不夠的部分\n421235\t444291\t政府也持續我們會再來調整我想政府挺企業這件事情是沒有問題的這個是絕對沒有問題而且政府挺農漁民這件事情也是沒有問題這是絕對的所以我想這樣的態度至少讓國人放心就是說我們努力的談到最好的結果但是談完之後如果有任何受到影響的產業那政府也絕對會挺相關的產業跟農漁民到底這裡面除了這個產業農業經濟的產業以外還有就是這個穩定就業的部分\n450995\t464862\t對 這個都要持續來進行這也是政府的主要目的那我再問那裡面我看到報告裡面就是政府還是會維持在今年GDP成長3%這樣的一個目標嗎是不是對 現在是很有信心的應該沒有太大問題因為上半年看起來狀況是相當的不錯啦\n468604\t491636\t對 然後下半年主要有兩個支柱會產生一個是手機的拉貨槽第二個是那個AI那個這個GP300的新model的出貨這兩塊都會帶動那我們希望國發會跟各部會密切的注意那我們來看一下燈號的部分其實是到五月六月其實已經進入到了綠燈所以在景氣上面 主委擔憂嗎 這樣的狀況\n493597\t519734\t現在景氣狀況是進入我們稱為穩定期綠燈是穩定期那我們是審慎的去規劃後面所以我們才會有擴大內需希望來推動擴大內需來把下半年如果有什麼比較大的變化的話可以所以下半年的景氣狀況主委怎麼看待下半年景氣其實是一個值得關注就是我們還是很謹慎去觀察\n521212\t543878\t那趨勢上呢就國發會的你們的評估跟判斷呢因為你們評估判斷會影響到怎麼樣去用投入這些相關的資源趨勢上應該會跟去年接近啦就是說會比上半年差但跟去年接近就是說呃等於是成長力道相較於去年大概會在1 1或1 1在或是一點多的一個狀況\n545555\t566514\t好 我們希望整個密切注意這樣一個狀況好不好也請國防會持續的在關注所以會相較下半年 去年下半年有微幅成長就沒有那麼大幅度的我們現在這個是已經是大概應該是全世界最好的上半年對 但是下半年部分還是要請持續的關注這樣一個狀況好 謝謝主委 辛苦了謝謝好 謝謝\n","txt":"我先請教一個 今天中午正式就會生效 台美的部分雖然我們現在是暫時性的 中午生效20%的部分先生效 其實其他國家也都是這樣因為我們現在談的叫做暫時性的關稅 表示接下來還會繼續談\n什麼時候會有最後筆定的一個時間這個是談判代表跟院在談但是我有被徵詢一些議題所以我很確定他還在進行中還在談判當中當然我們希望後面還會再講但是\n今天因為中午就開始生效了所以相關的因應措施跟準備其實也都一定要啟動了啦因為這個一旦生效馬上就直接會有相關的影響就會產生那我先確定一下因為早上最早的消息知道就是\n半導體的部分當然關稅是百分之百但是他也有提到如果你有去投資的計畫或即將投資的話那就零就是零那台積電這樣看來是零因為台積電已經在美國做投資所以台積電目前看起來其實是會是零的部分這對台灣來說當然是一個好的消息對因為他的比重比較大\n那這個台積電因為我們看了有幾個廠都在進行 未來也在投資但是還有其他的部分因為台灣跟美國我們畢竟還是前十大的貿易國那從去年來看的話台美之間的貿易順差\n還是前六大 第六大所以其實這個問題顯然我們必須跟美國也做一個好的處理我想川普也會要求跟台灣進行處理那我們看我們周邊的其實像南韓 像日本他們大概都已經初步談定了那裡面大概形式上一個是投資像南韓是投資美國3500億美金那像日本是投資5500億美金\n那台灣是不是也會朝這個方向在進行如果就川普這兩天的訊息出來的話這個我不清楚但是就我來看我們的GDP的種子是低於南韓的那\n這個如果用GDP比重來看投資的話理論上台灣的投資應該還是不可能比高過這些國家啦對 如果照這樣來看以日本台灣南韓來看的話其實我們已經也盡了相當大的一個努力了在整個平衡整個貿易的逆差的部分做了相當大的一個努力那所以接下來如果台灣有更多的一些投資範疇看來很多不管是從包括\n汽車甚至半導體慢慢抵定了之後包括汽車甚至於投資不管是天然氣或投資其他的部分的話那有機會經過這樣的方式的話讓台灣的關稅有機會再降低嗎主委怎麼看\n我是認為很有機會的原因是第一個我們台灣代表處其實大家準備得非常充分那第二個事情是這些團隊也蠻優秀的所以我認為應該會有很好的結果那如果按照日美跟韓美之間的看法的話他們是會先降到一個中間暫時性關稅再往下\n那我們看起來我們的路徑也在接近也正在一個中間路徑所以台灣的趨勢也是照這樣從32到20再20有可能再往下降也許降到類似15日韓越南都是這樣的路徑對那如果是15的話至少在日本跟南韓之間的話但大家的就站這個比較一樣的一個基礎點上面去競爭對台灣的衝擊相對上就會比較小\n所以我們大概是朝這個目標在努力那諸位看起來是樂觀的朝樂觀的方向在看待我們是這樣我們準備的時候風險角度不能樂觀我們就要有版本但是談判結果我們是朝樂觀方向看\n好 也一定要朝這個方向去做努力啦這也必然是那另外當然有些擔憂的是息產地的問題啦其實像包括像印尼、越南等等其實都有息產地這個台灣也必須要做萬全的一些準備啦因為一旦被認定為你是在息產地的話那這個大概就會被又被拉高起來這個部分我想政府應該都做了萬全的準備這個經濟部已經做了做了一些措施嘛然後進行比較大的管控\n所以我了解經濟部是好我也希望國發會持續的關注這樣因為畢竟它影響到國家整體的未來的競爭力那國發會站在整個更更高的一個高度上面其實要去不斷去控管跟注意這樣的一個事項那其實台美這6年來其實增加了10倍啦其實確實增長的速度相當快那所以這個也大概也是我們要去面臨的問題啦一年將近接近700億\n700億這樣的一個這個貿易的順差我們順差他們是逆差所以這個也是台灣一定要去面對的問題所以我想這個也希望後續的談判結果能夠跟一方面是對台灣的產業的衝擊降到最低那一方面也希望台美的關係更加的穩固我想這是同樣努力的一個目標\n主委應該是朝這樣的看法吧是的好我們向你鼓勵那另外是我想問一下那接下來其實我們談判即將底定了那我們現在處理的大概是用930億的方式來做那剛剛其實主委提到這個原先最早的規劃就用930億那如果以現在這樣狀況下\n會再增加嗎?就是對於整個產業的支持跟照顧跟協助部分會再做一些增加嗎?以現在來看,因為當時是以現在來看應該這個是會滾動式調整那現在來看在我們經濟能力上這個應該是可以先往前走應該是推動應該是夠了但是還要看後面的變動\n現在暫定用930億來推啦但是後面隨時在做滾動式的檢討但如果隨時有需要的時候我們隨時可以再來做追加的部分然後給予尤其我們有很大的金額是在支持它出貨的成本\n那因為他需要被支持 那那個出貨量越大 我們的支持金額就會往上拉嘛這個隨著談判的結果出來之後 越來越清楚的出來之後那當然就會有更明確的一些那個 就是現在這樣子做 這樣子來列但是將來談判結果更明確的出來之後 我們當然就有更明確的一些做法那當然還不足 還不夠的部分\n政府也持續我們會再來調整我想政府挺企業這件事情是沒有問題的這個是絕對沒有問題而且政府挺農漁民這件事情也是沒有問題這是絕對的所以我想這樣的態度至少讓國人放心就是說我們努力的談到最好的結果但是談完之後如果有任何受到影響的產業那政府也絕對會挺相關的產業跟農漁民到底這裡面除了這個產業農業經濟的產業以外還有就是這個穩定就業的部分\n對 這個都要持續來進行這也是政府的主要目的那我再問那裡面我看到報告裡面就是政府還是會維持在今年GDP成長3%這樣的一個目標嗎是不是對 現在是很有信心的應該沒有太大問題因為上半年看起來狀況是相當的不錯啦\n對 然後下半年主要有兩個支柱會產生一個是手機的拉貨槽第二個是那個AI那個這個GP300的新model的出貨這兩塊都會帶動那我們希望國發會跟各部會密切的注意那我們來看一下燈號的部分其實是到五月六月其實已經進入到了綠燈所以在景氣上面 主委擔憂嗎 這樣的狀況\n現在景氣狀況是進入我們稱為穩定期綠燈是穩定期那我們是審慎的去規劃後面所以我們才會有擴大內需希望來推動擴大內需來把下半年如果有什麼比較大的變化的話可以所以下半年的景氣狀況主委怎麼看待下半年景氣其實是一個值得關注就是我們還是很謹慎去觀察\n那趨勢上呢就國發會的你們的評估跟判斷呢因為你們評估判斷會影響到怎麼樣去用投入這些相關的資源趨勢上應該會跟去年接近啦就是說會比上半年差但跟去年接近就是說呃等於是成長力道相較於去年大概會在1 1或1 1在或是一點多的一個狀況\n好 我們希望整個密切注意這樣一個狀況好不好也請國防會持續的在關注所以會相較下半年 去年下半年有微幅成長就沒有那麼大幅度的我們現在這個是已經是大概應該是全世界最好的上半年對 但是下半年部分還是要請持續的關注這樣一個狀況好 謝謝主委 辛苦了謝謝好 謝謝\n","vtt":"WEBVTT\n\n00:01.120 --> 00:21.353\n我先請教一個今天中午正式就會生效台美的部分雖然我們現在是暫時性的中午生效20%的部分先生效其實其他國家也都是這樣因為我們現在談的叫做暫時性的關稅表示接下來還會繼續談\n\n00:23.434 --> 00:38.127\n什麼時候會有最後筆定的一個時間這個是談判代表跟院在談但是我有被徵詢一些議題所以我很確定他還在進行中還在談判當中當然我們希望後面還會再講但是\n\n00:43.231 --> 00:58.974\n今天因為中午就開始生效了所以相關的因應措施跟準備其實也都一定要啟動了啦因為這個一旦生效馬上就直接會有相關的影響就會產生那我先確定一下因為早上最早的消息知道就是\n\n01:00.415 --> 01:19.608\n半導體的部分當然關稅是百分之百但是他也有提到如果你有去投資的計畫或即將投資的話那就零就是零那台積電這樣看來是零因為台積電已經在美國做投資所以台積電目前看起來其實是會是零的部分這對台灣來說當然是一個好的消息對因為他的比重比較大\n\n01:21.269 --> 01:37.621\n那這個台積電因為我們看了有幾個廠都在進行未來也在投資但是還有其他的部分因為台灣跟美國我們畢竟還是前十大的貿易國那從去年來看的話台美之間的貿易順差\n\n01:40.223 --> 02:02.434\n還是前六大第六大所以其實這個問題顯然我們必須跟美國也做一個好的處理我想川普也會要求跟台灣進行處理那我們看我們周邊的其實像南韓像日本他們大概都已經初步談定了那裡面大概形式上一個是投資像南韓是投資美國3500億美金那像日本是投資5500億美金\n\n02:08.857 --> 02:23.412\n那台灣是不是也會朝這個方向在進行如果就川普這兩天的訊息出來的話這個我不清楚但是就我來看我們的GDP的種子是低於南韓的那\n\n02:27.688 --> 02:54.859\n這個如果用GDP比重來看投資的話理論上台灣的投資應該還是不可能比高過這些國家啦對如果照這樣來看以日本台灣南韓來看的話其實我們已經也盡了相當大的一個努力了在整個平衡整個貿易的逆差的部分做了相當大的一個努力那所以接下來如果台灣有更多的一些投資範疇看來很多不管是從包括\n\n02:56.079 --> 03:08.194\n汽車甚至半導體慢慢抵定了之後包括汽車甚至於投資不管是天然氣或投資其他的部分的話那有機會經過這樣的方式的話讓台灣的關稅有機會再降低嗎主委怎麼看\n\n03:09.229 --> 03:31.191\n我是認為很有機會的原因是第一個我們台灣代表處其實大家準備得非常充分那第二個事情是這些團隊也蠻優秀的所以我認為應該會有很好的結果那如果按照日美跟韓美之間的看法的話他們是會先降到一個中間暫時性關稅再往下\n\n03:32.853 --> 03:54.386\n那我們看起來我們的路徑也在接近也正在一個中間路徑所以台灣的趨勢也是照這樣從32到20再20有可能再往下降也許降到類似15日韓越南都是這樣的路徑對那如果是15的話至少在日本跟南韓之間的話但大家的就站這個比較一樣的一個基礎點上面去競爭對台灣的衝擊相對上就會比較小\n\n03:58.548 --> 04:05.637\n所以我們大概是朝這個目標在努力那諸位看起來是樂觀的朝樂觀的方向在看待我們是這樣我們準備的時候風險角度不能樂觀我們就要有版本但是談判結果我們是朝樂觀方向看\n\n04:13.866 --> 04:40.419\n好也一定要朝這個方向去做努力啦這也必然是那另外當然有些擔憂的是息產地的問題啦其實像包括像印尼、越南等等其實都有息產地這個台灣也必須要做萬全的一些準備啦因為一旦被認定為你是在息產地的話那這個大概就會被又被拉高起來這個部分我想政府應該都做了萬全的準備這個經濟部已經做了做了一些措施嘛然後進行比較大的管控\n\n04:42.281 --> 05:06.437\n所以我了解經濟部是好我也希望國發會持續的關注這樣因為畢竟它影響到國家整體的未來的競爭力那國發會站在整個更更高的一個高度上面其實要去不斷去控管跟注意這樣的一個事項那其實台美這6年來其實增加了10倍啦其實確實增長的速度相當快那所以這個也大概也是我們要去面臨的問題啦一年將近接近700億\n\n05:09.479 --> 05:32.034\n700億這樣的一個這個貿易的順差我們順差他們是逆差所以這個也是台灣一定要去面對的問題所以我想這個也希望後續的談判結果能夠跟一方面是對台灣的產業的衝擊降到最低那一方面也希望台美的關係更加的穩固我想這是同樣努力的一個目標\n\n05:33.312 --> 05:54.859\n主委應該是朝這樣的看法吧是的好我們向你鼓勵那另外是我想問一下那接下來其實我們談判即將底定了那我們現在處理的大概是用930億的方式來做那剛剛其實主委提到這個原先最早的規劃就用930億那如果以現在這樣狀況下\n\n05:56.379 --> 06:18.101\n會再增加嗎?就是對於整個產業的支持跟照顧跟協助部分會再做一些增加嗎?以現在來看,因為當時是以現在來看應該這個是會滾動式調整那現在來看在我們經濟能力上這個應該是可以先往前走應該是推動應該是夠了但是還要看後面的變動\n\n06:19.763 --> 06:34.493\n現在暫定用930億來推啦但是後面隨時在做滾動式的檢討但如果隨時有需要的時候我們隨時可以再來做追加的部分然後給予尤其我們有很大的金額是在支持它出貨的成本\n\n06:35.673 --> 07:00.595\n那因為他需要被支持那那個出貨量越大我們的支持金額就會往上拉嘛這個隨著談判的結果出來之後越來越清楚的出來之後那當然就會有更明確的一些那個就是現在這樣子做這樣子來列但是將來談判結果更明確的出來之後我們當然就有更明確的一些做法那當然還不足還不夠的部分\n\n07:01.235 --> 07:24.291\n政府也持續我們會再來調整我想政府挺企業這件事情是沒有問題的這個是絕對沒有問題而且政府挺農漁民這件事情也是沒有問題這是絕對的所以我想這樣的態度至少讓國人放心就是說我們努力的談到最好的結果但是談完之後如果有任何受到影響的產業那政府也絕對會挺相關的產業跟農漁民到底這裡面除了這個產業農業經濟的產業以外還有就是這個穩定就業的部分\n\n07:30.995 --> 07:44.862\n對這個都要持續來進行這也是政府的主要目的那我再問那裡面我看到報告裡面就是政府還是會維持在今年GDP成長3%這樣的一個目標嗎是不是對現在是很有信心的應該沒有太大問題因為上半年看起來狀況是相當的不錯啦\n\n07:48.604 --> 08:11.636\n對然後下半年主要有兩個支柱會產生一個是手機的拉貨槽第二個是那個AI那個這個GP300的新model的出貨這兩塊都會帶動那我們希望國發會跟各部會密切的注意那我們來看一下燈號的部分其實是到五月六月其實已經進入到了綠燈所以在景氣上面主委擔憂嗎這樣的狀況\n\n08:13.597 --> 08:39.734\n現在景氣狀況是進入我們稱為穩定期綠燈是穩定期那我們是審慎的去規劃後面所以我們才會有擴大內需希望來推動擴大內需來把下半年如果有什麼比較大的變化的話可以所以下半年的景氣狀況主委怎麼看待下半年景氣其實是一個值得關注就是我們還是很謹慎去觀察\n\n08:41.212 --> 09:03.878\n那趨勢上呢就國發會的你們的評估跟判斷呢因為你們評估判斷會影響到怎麼樣去用投入這些相關的資源趨勢上應該會跟去年接近啦就是說會比上半年差但跟去年接近就是說呃等於是成長力道相較於去年大概會在11或11在或是一點多的一個狀況\n\n09:05.555 --> 09:26.514\n好我們希望整個密切注意這樣一個狀況好不好也請國防會持續的在關注所以會相較下半年去年下半年有微幅成長就沒有那麼大幅度的我們現在這個是已經是大概應該是全世界最好的上半年對但是下半年部分還是要請持續的關注這樣一個狀況好謝謝主委辛苦了謝謝好謝謝\n\n","segments":[{"start":1.12,"end":21.353,"text":"我先請教一個 今天中午正式就會生效 台美的部分雖然我們現在是暫時性的 中午生效20%的部分先生效 其實其他國家也都是這樣因為我們現在談的叫做暫時性的關稅 表示接下來還會繼續談"},{"start":23.434,"end":38.127,"text":"什麼時候會有最後筆定的一個時間這個是談判代表跟院在談但是我有被徵詢一些議題所以我很確定他還在進行中還在談判當中當然我們希望後面還會再講但是"},{"start":43.231,"end":58.974,"text":"今天因為中午就開始生效了所以相關的因應措施跟準備其實也都一定要啟動了啦因為這個一旦生效馬上就直接會有相關的影響就會產生那我先確定一下因為早上最早的消息知道就是"},{"start":60.415,"end":79.608,"text":"半導體的部分當然關稅是百分之百但是他也有提到如果你有去投資的計畫或即將投資的話那就零就是零那台積電這樣看來是零因為台積電已經在美國做投資所以台積電目前看起來其實是會是零的部分這對台灣來說當然是一個好的消息對因為他的比重比較大"},{"start":81.269,"end":97.621,"text":"那這個台積電因為我們看了有幾個廠都在進行 未來也在投資但是還有其他的部分因為台灣跟美國我們畢竟還是前十大的貿易國那從去年來看的話台美之間的貿易順差"},{"start":100.223,"end":122.434,"text":"還是前六大 第六大所以其實這個問題顯然我們必須跟美國也做一個好的處理我想川普也會要求跟台灣進行處理那我們看我們周邊的其實像南韓 像日本他們大概都已經初步談定了那裡面大概形式上一個是投資像南韓是投資美國3500億美金那像日本是投資5500億美金"},{"start":128.857,"end":143.412,"text":"那台灣是不是也會朝這個方向在進行如果就川普這兩天的訊息出來的話這個我不清楚但是就我來看我們的GDP的種子是低於南韓的那"},{"start":147.688,"end":174.859,"text":"這個如果用GDP比重來看投資的話理論上台灣的投資應該還是不可能比高過這些國家啦對 如果照這樣來看以日本台灣南韓來看的話其實我們已經也盡了相當大的一個努力了在整個平衡整個貿易的逆差的部分做了相當大的一個努力那所以接下來如果台灣有更多的一些投資範疇看來很多不管是從包括"},{"start":176.079,"end":188.194,"text":"汽車甚至半導體慢慢抵定了之後包括汽車甚至於投資不管是天然氣或投資其他的部分的話那有機會經過這樣的方式的話讓台灣的關稅有機會再降低嗎主委怎麼看"},{"start":189.229,"end":211.191,"text":"我是認為很有機會的原因是第一個我們台灣代表處其實大家準備得非常充分那第二個事情是這些團隊也蠻優秀的所以我認為應該會有很好的結果那如果按照日美跟韓美之間的看法的話他們是會先降到一個中間暫時性關稅再往下"},{"start":212.853,"end":234.386,"text":"那我們看起來我們的路徑也在接近也正在一個中間路徑所以台灣的趨勢也是照這樣從32到20再20有可能再往下降也許降到類似15日韓越南都是這樣的路徑對那如果是15的話至少在日本跟南韓之間的話但大家的就站這個比較一樣的一個基礎點上面去競爭對台灣的衝擊相對上就會比較小"},{"start":238.548,"end":245.637,"text":"所以我們大概是朝這個目標在努力那諸位看起來是樂觀的朝樂觀的方向在看待我們是這樣我們準備的時候風險角度不能樂觀我們就要有版本但是談判結果我們是朝樂觀方向看"},{"start":253.866,"end":280.419,"text":"好 也一定要朝這個方向去做努力啦這也必然是那另外當然有些擔憂的是息產地的問題啦其實像包括像印尼、越南等等其實都有息產地這個台灣也必須要做萬全的一些準備啦因為一旦被認定為你是在息產地的話那這個大概就會被又被拉高起來這個部分我想政府應該都做了萬全的準備這個經濟部已經做了做了一些措施嘛然後進行比較大的管控"},{"start":282.281,"end":306.437,"text":"所以我了解經濟部是好我也希望國發會持續的關注這樣因為畢竟它影響到國家整體的未來的競爭力那國發會站在整個更更高的一個高度上面其實要去不斷去控管跟注意這樣的一個事項那其實台美這6年來其實增加了10倍啦其實確實增長的速度相當快那所以這個也大概也是我們要去面臨的問題啦一年將近接近700億"},{"start":309.479,"end":332.034,"text":"700億這樣的一個這個貿易的順差我們順差他們是逆差所以這個也是台灣一定要去面對的問題所以我想這個也希望後續的談判結果能夠跟一方面是對台灣的產業的衝擊降到最低那一方面也希望台美的關係更加的穩固我想這是同樣努力的一個目標"},{"start":333.312,"end":354.859,"text":"主委應該是朝這樣的看法吧是的好我們向你鼓勵那另外是我想問一下那接下來其實我們談判即將底定了那我們現在處理的大概是用930億的方式來做那剛剛其實主委提到這個原先最早的規劃就用930億那如果以現在這樣狀況下"},{"start":356.379,"end":378.101,"text":"會再增加嗎?就是對於整個產業的支持跟照顧跟協助部分會再做一些增加嗎?以現在來看,因為當時是以現在來看應該這個是會滾動式調整那現在來看在我們經濟能力上這個應該是可以先往前走應該是推動應該是夠了但是還要看後面的變動"},{"start":379.763,"end":394.493,"text":"現在暫定用930億來推啦但是後面隨時在做滾動式的檢討但如果隨時有需要的時候我們隨時可以再來做追加的部分然後給予尤其我們有很大的金額是在支持它出貨的成本"},{"start":395.673,"end":420.595,"text":"那因為他需要被支持 那那個出貨量越大 我們的支持金額就會往上拉嘛這個隨著談判的結果出來之後 越來越清楚的出來之後那當然就會有更明確的一些那個 就是現在這樣子做 這樣子來列但是將來談判結果更明確的出來之後 我們當然就有更明確的一些做法那當然還不足 還不夠的部分"},{"start":421.235,"end":444.291,"text":"政府也持續我們會再來調整我想政府挺企業這件事情是沒有問題的這個是絕對沒有問題而且政府挺農漁民這件事情也是沒有問題這是絕對的所以我想這樣的態度至少讓國人放心就是說我們努力的談到最好的結果但是談完之後如果有任何受到影響的產業那政府也絕對會挺相關的產業跟農漁民到底這裡面除了這個產業農業經濟的產業以外還有就是這個穩定就業的部分"},{"start":450.995,"end":464.862,"text":"對 這個都要持續來進行這也是政府的主要目的那我再問那裡面我看到報告裡面就是政府還是會維持在今年GDP成長3%這樣的一個目標嗎是不是對 現在是很有信心的應該沒有太大問題因為上半年看起來狀況是相當的不錯啦"},{"start":468.604,"end":491.636,"text":"對 然後下半年主要有兩個支柱會產生一個是手機的拉貨槽第二個是那個AI那個這個GP300的新model的出貨這兩塊都會帶動那我們希望國發會跟各部會密切的注意那我們來看一下燈號的部分其實是到五月六月其實已經進入到了綠燈所以在景氣上面 主委擔憂嗎 這樣的狀況"},{"start":493.597,"end":519.734,"text":"現在景氣狀況是進入我們稱為穩定期綠燈是穩定期那我們是審慎的去規劃後面所以我們才會有擴大內需希望來推動擴大內需來把下半年如果有什麼比較大的變化的話可以所以下半年的景氣狀況主委怎麼看待下半年景氣其實是一個值得關注就是我們還是很謹慎去觀察"},{"start":521.212,"end":543.878,"text":"那趨勢上呢就國發會的你們的評估跟判斷呢因為你們評估判斷會影響到怎麼樣去用投入這些相關的資源趨勢上應該會跟去年接近啦就是說會比上半年差但跟去年接近就是說呃等於是成長力道相較於去年大概會在1 1或1 1在或是一點多的一個狀況"},{"start":545.555,"end":566.514,"text":"好 我們希望整個密切注意這樣一個狀況好不好也請國防會持續的在關注所以會相較下半年 去年下半年有微幅成長就沒有那麼大幅度的我們現在這個是已經是大概應該是全世界最好的上半年對 但是下半年部分還是要請持續的關注這樣一個狀況好 謝謝主委 辛苦了謝謝好 謝謝"}]}}},"gazette":{"lineno":181,"blocks":[["賴委員瑞隆：（9時43分）好，謝謝主席。請劉主委。"],["主席：請劉主委。"],["賴委員瑞隆：主委，我先請教一個問題，今天中午就會正式生效嘛！臺美的部分，雖然我們現在是暫時性的……"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，暫時關稅會生效。"],["賴委員瑞隆：中午生效嘛？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，中午生效。"],["賴委員瑞隆：20%的部分先生效了嘛！包括其他國家也都是這樣。因為我們現在談的叫做暫時性關稅，表示接下來還會繼續談，什麼時候會有最後底定的時間？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：這個是談判代表跟院在談啦！但是我們有被徵詢一些議題，所以我很確定他們還在進行中。"],["賴委員瑞隆：就還在談判當中啦！"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對。"],["賴委員瑞隆：當然我們希望後面還會再降啦！但是因為今天中午就開始生效了，所以相關的因應措施跟準備，其實也都一定要啟動了啦！"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對。"],["賴委員瑞隆：因為這一旦生效，馬上就直接有相關的影響會產生。我先確定一下，因為早上最早的消息是半導體的部分，當然關稅是100%，但是他也有提到，如果你有去投資的計畫或即將投資的話，那就是「零」啦！台積電這樣看來是零，因為台積電已經在美國做投資嘛！"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，沒錯。"],["賴委員瑞隆：所以台積電目前看起來其實會是零的部分嘛！這對於臺灣來說，當然是一個好的消息。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，因為它的比重比較大。"],["賴委員瑞隆：因為我們看了台積電有幾個廠都在進行，包括未來在投資的，但是還有其他的部分，因為臺灣跟美國，我們畢竟還是前十大的貿易國，從去年來看的話，臺美之間的貿易順差，還是第六大啦！所以其實這個問題，顯然我們也必須跟美國做一個好的處理，我想川普也會要求跟臺灣這邊做處理。我們看我們周邊的國家，像南韓、日本，他們大概都已經初步談定了啦！裡面大概形式上，一個是投資，像南韓是投資美國3,500億美金，像日本是投資5,500億美金，臺灣是不是也會朝這個方向在進行？如果就川普這兩天釋放出來的訊息的話。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：這個我不清楚，但是就我來看，我們的GDP總值是低於南韓的。如果用GDP比重來看投資的話，理論上臺灣的投資應該還是不可能高過這些國家啦！"],["賴委員瑞隆：對，如果以日本、臺灣、南韓來看的話，其實我們也已經盡了相當大的努力了，在平衡整個貿易逆差的部分做了相當的努力。所以接下來如果臺灣有更多的投資方案，其實看來很多，從汽車、半導體慢慢底定了之後，甚至投資，不管是天然氣或其他的部分，經過這樣的方式，有機會讓臺灣的關稅再降低嗎？主委怎麼看？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：我認為很有機會的原因是：第一個，我們談判代表處，其實大家準備得非常充分啦！第二個，這些團隊也滿優秀的，所以我認為應該會有很好的結果。如果按照日美跟韓美之間的看法的話，他們是會先降到一個中間的暫時性關稅再往下，看起來我們的路徑也正在一個中間的暫時性關稅。"],["賴委員瑞隆：所以臺灣的趨勢也是照這樣，從32%到20%，20%有可能再往下降，也許降到類似15%這樣，是嗎？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：日、韓、越南都是這樣的路徑。"],["賴委員瑞隆：對，如果是15%的話，至少在日本跟南韓之間的話，大家就站在比較一樣的基礎點上競爭啦！這樣對臺灣的衝擊相對上就會比較小一點。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：是的。"],["賴委員瑞隆：所以我們大概還是朝這個目標在努力，主委看起來是樂觀啦！朝樂觀的方向在看。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：我們是這樣啦！我們準備的時候，以風險的角度不能樂觀啦！我們就要有版本。"],["賴委員瑞隆：當然。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對於談判的結果，我們是朝樂觀方向看。"],["賴委員瑞隆：好，也一定要朝這個方向去做努力啦！這是必然的。另外，當然有些擔憂的是洗產地的問題，其實包括像印尼、越南等等，都有洗產地的問題，這個臺灣也必須要做一些萬全的準備啦！因為一旦被認定為是在洗產地的話，關稅大概就會又被拉高起來。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：沒錯。"],["賴委員瑞隆：針對這個部分，我想政府應該都做了萬全的準備。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：這個經濟部已經做了一些措施嘛！有進行比較大的管控，所以就我了解經濟部是這樣做的。"],["賴委員瑞隆：好，我也希望國發會持續的關注，因為畢竟它影響到未來國家整體的競爭力，國發會站在更高的高度上面，其實要不斷去控管跟注意這樣的一個事項啦！"],["劉主任委員鏡清：好的。"],["賴委員瑞隆：臺美貿易順差這6年來增加了10倍啦！確實增長的速度相當快，所以這大概也是我們要去面臨的問題，一年將近700億的貿易順差，我們是順差，他們是逆差，所以這也是臺灣一定要去面對的問題啦！我希望後續的談判結果能夠跟……一方面是對臺灣的產業衝擊降到最低，另一方面也希望臺美的關係更加的穩固啦！我想這是同樣要努力的目標。主委應該也是朝這樣的看法吧？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：是的。"],["賴委員瑞隆：好，我們希望一起努力啦！另外，我想請教一下，接下來我們談判即將底定了，我們現在大概是用930億的方式來做，剛剛其實主委也提到這個原先最早的規劃就是用930億，如果以現在這樣的狀況，會再增加嗎？就是對於整個產業的支持、照顧跟協助的部分，會再做一些增加嗎？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：以現在來看，應該會是滾動式調整啦！"],["賴委員瑞隆：對。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：現在來看在我們的經濟能力，應該是可以先往前走，推動應該是夠的，但是還是要看後續的變動。"],["賴委員瑞隆：對，現在暫定用930億來推，後面隨時再做滾動式的檢討，但如果有需要，隨時可以再做追加的部分，然後給予……"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，尤其我們有很大的金額是在支持它的出貨成本，因為它需要被支持，出貨量越大，支持的金額就會往上拉。"],["賴委員瑞隆：這個隨著談判的結果越來越清楚之後，當然就會更明確一些，就是現在是這樣子做、這樣子列，但是將來談判結果更明確之後，就有更明確的一些做法。當然還不足、還不夠的部分，政府也會持續……"],["劉主任委員鏡清：我們會再來調整。"],["賴委員瑞隆：政府挺企業這件事情是沒有問題的。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：這個是絕對沒有問題的。"],["賴委員瑞隆：而且政府挺農、漁民這件事情也是沒有問題的。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：這是絕對的。"],["賴委員瑞隆：這樣的態度至少讓國人放心啦！就是我們努力地談到最好的結果，但是談完之後，如果有任何產業受到影響，政府也絕對會挺相關的產業跟農、漁民到底。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，這裡面除了農業經濟的產業以外，還有穩定就業的部分。"],["賴委員瑞隆：這個都要持續進行，這也是政府的主要目的。我看到報告裡面，政府今年還是會維持GDP成長3%的目標，是不是？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，現在是很有信心啦！"],["賴委員瑞隆：很有信心嘛！"],["劉主任委員鏡清：應該沒太大的問題。"],["賴委員瑞隆：因為上半年看起來狀況是相當的不錯。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，然後下半年主要有兩個支柱會產生，一個是手機的拉貨潮，第二個是AI，GB300新model的出貨，這兩塊都會帶動。"],["賴委員瑞隆：希望國發會跟各部會密切的注意。我們來看一下燈號的部分，到5月、6月其實已經進入綠燈，所以在景氣上面這樣的狀況，主委擔憂嗎？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：現在景氣的狀況是進入穩定期，綠燈是穩定期，我們是審慎地去規劃後面，所以才會希望來推動擴大內需，如果下半年有什麼比較大的變化，可以把……"],["賴委員瑞隆：下半年的景氣狀況，主委怎麼看待？怎麼預估？"],["劉主任委員鏡清：下半年景氣其實是值得關注的，我們還是會很謹慎去觀察，應該……"],["賴委員瑞隆：趨勢上呢？就國發會的評估跟判斷呢？因為你們的評估判斷會影響到怎麼樣投入這些相關的資源。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：趨勢上應該會跟去年接近，就是會比上半年差，但跟去年接近，也就是成長力道相較於去年，大概會在1或一點多。"],["賴委員瑞隆：我們希望密切注意這整個狀況，好不好？也請國發會持續關注。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：對，所以相較於去年下半年有微幅成長，但就是沒有那麼大的幅度，我們現在大概已經是全世界最好的上半年。"],["賴委員瑞隆：但是下半年的部分還是請持續地關注這樣子的狀況。謝謝主委，辛苦了。"],["劉主任委員鏡清：謝謝。"],["主席：謝謝。現在請陳亭妃委員詢答。"]],"agenda":{"page_end":500,"meet_id":"委員會-11-3-19-19","speakers":["謝衣鳯","楊瓊瓔","邱議瑩","賴瑞隆","陳亭妃","鄭正鈐","鄭天財Sra Kacaw","張啓楷","陳超明","邱志偉","賴士葆","李坤城","呂玉玲","王鴻薇","陳冠廷","廖先翔","葉元之","蔡易餘","林岱樺","張嘉郡"],"page_start":437,"meetingDate":["2025-08-07"],"gazette_id":"1147101","agenda_lcidc_ids":["1147101_00010"],"meet_name":"立法院第11屆第3會期經濟委員會第19次全體委員會議紀錄","content":"邀請國家發展委員會主任委員就「美國對等關稅底定後，我國經濟未來之景氣情況及產業全球佈\n局新規劃」進行報告，並備質詢","agenda_id":"1147101_00010"}}}