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{\"word\": \"很\", \"start\": 52.824, \"end\": 52.944, \"score\": 0.84}, {\"word\": \"多\", \"start\": 52.944, \"end\": 53.324, \"score\": 0.947}, {\"word\": \"軍\"}, {\"word\": \"系\", \"start\": 53.324, \"end\": 53.544, \"score\": 0.924}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 53.544, \"end\": 53.884, \"score\": 0.988}, {\"word\": \"包\", \"start\": 53.884, \"end\": 54.005, \"score\": 0.992}, {\"word\": \"括\", \"start\": 54.005, \"end\": 54.345, \"score\": 0.84}, {\"word\": \"這\"}, {\"word\": \"些\", \"start\": 54.345, \"end\": 54.625, \"score\": 0.827}, {\"word\": \"將\"}, {\"word\": \"領\"}, {\"word\": \"沒\", \"start\": 54.625, \"end\": 54.745, \"score\": 0.833}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 54.745, \"end\": 54.845, \"score\": 0.811}, {\"word\": \"出\", \"start\": 54.845, \"end\": 55.085, \"score\": 0.988}, {\"word\": \"席\", \"start\": 55.085, \"end\": 55.105, \"score\": 0.736}]}, {\"start\": 56.244, \"end\": 73.46, \"text\": \"這透露什麼訊息習近平的大權還是牢牢在握呢還是岌岌可聞你們的判斷這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況就像跟委員報告的數字確實是比較低那大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的\", \"words\": [{\"word\": \"這\"}, {\"word\": \"透\", \"start\": 56.244, \"end\": 56.364, \"score\": 0.979}, {\"word\": \"露\", \"start\": 56.364, \"end\": 56.484, \"score\": 0.869}, {\"word\": \"什\", \"start\": 56.484, \"end\": 56.825, \"score\": 0.881}, {\"word\": \"麼\"}, {\"word\": \"訊\"}, {\"word\": \"息\", \"start\": 56.825, \"end\": 57.746, \"score\": 0.963}, {\"word\": \"習\"}, {\"word\": \"近\", \"start\": 57.746, \"end\": 58.066, \"score\": 0.944}, {\"word\": \"平\", \"start\": 58.066, \"end\": 58.246, \"score\": 0.835}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 58.246, \"end\": 58.386, \"score\": 0.998}, {\"word\": \"大\", \"start\": 58.386, \"end\": 58.846, \"score\": 0.909}, {\"word\": \"權\"}, {\"word\": \"還\"}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 58.846, \"end\": 58.967, \"score\": 0.763}, {\"word\": \"牢\", \"start\": 58.967, \"end\": 59.147, \"score\": 0.88}, {\"word\": \"牢\", \"start\": 59.147, \"end\": 59.347, 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64.632, \"score\": 0.833}, {\"word\": \"意\", \"start\": 64.632, \"end\": 64.692, \"score\": 0.661}, {\"word\": \"到\", \"start\": 64.692, \"end\": 64.992, \"score\": 0.991}, {\"word\": \"中\", \"start\": 64.992, \"end\": 65.092, \"score\": 0.806}, {\"word\": \"央\", \"start\": 65.092, \"end\": 65.172, \"score\": 0.748}, {\"word\": \"委\", \"start\": 65.172, \"end\": 65.392, \"score\": 0.892}, {\"word\": \"員\"}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 65.392, \"end\": 65.533, \"score\": 0.999}, {\"word\": \"出\", \"start\": 65.533, \"end\": 65.713, \"score\": 0.905}, {\"word\": \"席\", \"start\": 65.713, \"end\": 66.393, \"score\": 0.93}, {\"word\": \"狀\"}, {\"word\": \"況\"}, {\"word\": \"就\", \"start\": 66.393, \"end\": 66.493, \"score\": 0.976}, {\"word\": \"像\", \"start\": 66.493, \"end\": 66.654, \"score\": 0.959}, {\"word\": \"跟\", \"start\": 66.654, \"end\": 66.954, \"score\": 0.927}, {\"word\": \"委\", \"start\": 66.954, \"end\": 67.314, \"score\": 0.902}, {\"word\": \"員\"}, {\"word\": \"報\"}, {\"word\": \"告\", \"start\": 67.314, \"end\": 67.534, \"score\": 1.0}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 67.534, \"end\": 67.775, \"score\": 0.916}, {\"word\": \"數\"}, {\"word\": \"字\", \"start\": 67.775, \"end\": 68.275, \"score\": 0.929}, {\"word\": \"確\"}, {\"word\": \"實\"}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 68.275, \"end\": 68.615, \"score\": 0.915}, {\"word\": \"比\", \"start\": 68.615, \"end\": 69.656, \"score\": 0.948}, {\"word\": \"較\"}, {\"word\": \"低\", \"start\": 69.656, \"end\": 70.457, \"score\": 0.947}, {\"word\": \"那\", \"start\": 70.457, \"end\": 71.118, \"score\": 0.989}, {\"word\": \"大\", \"start\": 71.118, \"end\": 71.278, \"score\": 0.861}, {\"word\": \"概\", \"start\": 71.278, \"end\": 71.378, \"score\": 0.767}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 71.378, \"end\": 72.078, \"score\": 0.846}, {\"word\": \"1\"}, {\"word\": \"8\"}, {\"word\": \"%\"}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 72.078, \"end\": 72.199, \"score\": 0.991}, {\"word\": \"中\", \"start\": 72.199, \"end\": 72.319, \"score\": 0.833}, {\"word\": \"央\", \"start\": 72.319, \"end\": 72.399, \"score\": 0.747}, {\"word\": \"委\", \"start\": 72.399, \"end\": 72.699, \"score\": 0.924}, {\"word\": \"員\"}, {\"word\": \"是\", \"start\": 72.699, \"end\": 72.899, \"score\": 0.992}, {\"word\": \"沒\", \"start\": 72.899, \"end\": 73.019, \"score\": 0.833}, {\"word\": \"有\", \"start\": 73.019, \"end\": 73.139, \"score\": 0.995}, {\"word\": \"出\", \"start\": 73.139, \"end\": 73.3, \"score\": 0.981}, {\"word\": \"席\", \"start\": 73.3, \"end\": 73.44, \"score\": 0.961}, {\"word\": \"的\", \"start\": 73.44, \"end\": 73.46, \"score\": 0.983}]}, {\"start\": 73.88, \"end\": 102.103, \"text\": \"那代表有大規模的整肅跟調查的工作還在進行整肅是反貪嗎有 反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有所以我們的解讀是認為他反映的是中國的貪腐還有忠誠問題可能蠻嚴重的他是在加大力道對 那也跟委員報告他這一次中委員有遞補11位候補委員那是還沒有及時遞補啊有 這一次有遞補11位但是11位完全跳過了該遞補的軍方代表的名單那代表他對於軍方代表\", \"words\": [{\"word\": \"那\", \"start\": 73.88, \"end\": 74.2, \"score\": 0.976}, {\"word\": \"代\", \"start\": 74.2, \"end\": 74.421, \"score\": 0.963}, {\"word\": \"表\", \"start\": 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\"end\": 325.138, \"score\": 0.932}, {\"word\": \"負\", \"start\": 325.138, \"end\": 325.278, \"score\": 0.857}, {\"word\": \"面\", \"start\": 325.278, \"end\": 325.298, \"score\": 0.005}], \"language\": \"zh\"}","srt":"1\n00:00:01,355 --> 00:00:17,474\n主席有請局長蔡局長請謝主席邱橫好對局長你好局長第一個問題請教你就是說這個中共四中全會剛落幕聽過第15次的五年經濟發展計畫\n\n2\n00:00:18,959 --> 00:00:35,859\n那這個有一些現象會讓人家覺得有點跟過去不一樣包括這個中央委員會出席的人數對這個特別是軍系軍方這個中央委員應該有三十幾席要出席就是出席二十幾席\n\n3\n00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:55,105\n那去包括一些已經沒有在名單裡面的找不到原因的未出席的大概還有二三十位還印出大概200多位吧如果沒記錯的話205位那出席的是168位缺席的是37位所以有很多軍系的包括這些將領沒有出席\n\n4\n00:00:56,244 --> 00:01:13,460\n這透露什麼訊息習近平的大權還是牢牢在握呢還是岌岌可聞你們的判斷這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況就像跟委員報告的數字確實是比較低那大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的\n\n5\n00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:42,103\n那代表有大規模的整肅跟調查的工作還在進行整肅是反貪嗎有反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有所以我們的解讀是認為他反映的是中國的貪腐還有忠誠問題可能蠻嚴重的他是在加大力道對那也跟委員報告他這一次中委員有遞補11位候補委員那是還沒有及時遞補啊有這一次有遞補11位但是11位完全跳過了該遞補的軍方代表的名單那代表他對於軍方代表\n\n6\n00:01:42,984 --> 00:01:51,669\n所以現階段在整肅軍方貪腐的問題對對對他在完成調查之前而且直接降臨的位階非常之高啊是啊是啊當過這個軍委副書記對或是軍區司令員軍區司令員\n\n7\n00:01:58,248 --> 00:02:22,694\n所以這種情況您覺得他習近平的大權還是牢牢在握對我們剛剛跟陳俊宇委員在報告也是就是他現在幾乎是獨攬軍權啦然後對於一些將領的背景沒有那麼的信任所以除了剛剛說中央委員遞補名單沒有軍方代表以外中央軍委會也沒有遞補那過去委員可能也知道都有欺襲所以現在還是軍權在握嘛對對所以現在只有世襲對\n\n8\n00:02:25,734 --> 00:02:40,984\n所以這種情況透露出他的依然在權在握未來五年他的這個位置應該沒有問題因為在市中全會我們也是在注意委員剛剛提醒的這件事他的一些公報的用語我們具體到接班或是續任的問題都沒有\n\n9\n00:02:42,765 --> 00:02:53,799\n這代表他大權在握科技怎麼自主在美中的科技角力戰裡面能夠維持他的獨立性跟自主性另外他國內消費不足的問題大概是提到這些部分沒錯他們是國內問題\n\n10\n00:02:57,679 --> 00:03:13,264\n再把這個情況放到東亞東北亞經濟合作這個是一個命運共同體地緣政治地緣經濟包括台灣韓國跟日本這是一個區域的經濟安全合作的重要性\n\n11\n00:03:14,264 --> 00:03:40,877\n日本沒有問題台日關係最近是二三十年非常密切所以從安倍到高市首相我們提出他們都立場很清楚就是台灣有事日本有事台灣沒事日本沒事但我很期待我們另外一個台韓關係我們應該有更多的喉嚨我希望說在未來五年十年我希望能夠從韓國這種聽到說這台灣有事韓國有事\n\n12\n00:03:43,986 --> 00:03:56,581\n當然如果是美國說台灣有事美國有事我想這個大概如果會講早就講了但是雙邊關係的互動是要慢慢累積現在韓國反中的情緒非常強烈\n\n13\n00:03:57,944 --> 00:04:21,802\n對台灣是相當的友善他們一百二十四萬人來台灣觀光台灣有一百萬人去台灣觀光所以文化民間交流非常熱絡我們應該把握這個時間點強化跟韓國的關係局長您看法呢因為韓國以前都關注北韓的威脅對區域安全議題比較不表述他的立場但是這幾年也正如委員所看到的他慢慢的在調整\n\n14\n00:04:22,202 --> 00:04:39,151\n包括在美日的一些峰會或是部長級的會談都會韓國會開始提到台海和平穩定的問題所以代表他政策是有開始在做一些調整最後十秒鐘就是說上次您提醒我我不能去香港香港\n\n15\n00:04:40,311 --> 00:05:02,760\n甚至轉機也不行這個我都不能到香港但入境不可能他不可能讓我入境轉機也有危險能不能有一些正面表列的國家你看他的第三國受到中國他們的國內的政治經濟受到中國強烈的控制強大的控制力的這些國家有沒有可能正面表列\n\n16\n00:05:04,989 --> 00:05:25,298\n對但這個部分可能旅遊的風險的部分主要是外交部的夜館那但是這部分的風險主要是針對一些疫病或天災的那個指標來做調整那委員提到的是政治風險那這部分我們看是不是在內部會議再提醒外交部也來注意一下委員剛剛的關切謝謝邱志偉委員如果負面\n\n","tsv":"start\tend\ttext\n1355\t17474\t主席有請局長蔡局長請謝主席 邱橫好對 局長你好 局長第一個問題請教你就是說這個中共四中全會剛落幕聽過第15次的五年經濟發展計畫\n18959\t35859\t那這個有一些現象會讓人家覺得有點跟過去不一樣包括這個中央委員會出席的人數對這個特別是軍系軍方這個中央委員應該有三十幾席要出席就是出席二十幾席\n37040\t55105\t那去包括一些已經沒有在名單裡面的找不到原因的未出席的大概還有二三十位還印出大概200多位吧如果沒記錯的話205位那出席的是168位缺席的是37位所以有很多軍系的包括這些將領沒有出席\n56244\t73460\t這透露什麼訊息習近平的大權還是牢牢在握呢還是岌岌可聞你們的判斷這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況就像跟委員報告的數字確實是比較低那大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的\n73880\t102103\t那代表有大規模的整肅跟調查的工作還在進行整肅是反貪嗎有 反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有所以我們的解讀是認為他反映的是中國的貪腐還有忠誠問題可能蠻嚴重的他是在加大力道對 那也跟委員報告他這一次中委員有遞補11位候補委員那是還沒有及時遞補啊有 這一次有遞補11位但是11位完全跳過了該遞補的軍方代表的名單那代表他對於軍方代表\n102984\t111669\t所以現階段在整肅軍方貪腐的問題對對對 他在完成調查之前而且直接降臨的位階非常之高啊是啊 是啊當過這個軍委副書記對 或是軍區司令員軍區司令員\n118248\t142694\t所以這種情況 您覺得他習近平的大權還是牢牢在握對 我們剛剛跟陳俊宇委員在報告也是就是他現在幾乎是獨攬軍權啦然後對於一些將領的背景沒有那麼的信任所以除了剛剛說中央委員 遞補名單沒有軍方代表以外中央軍委會也沒有遞補那過去委員可能也知道都有欺襲所以現在還是軍權在握嘛對對 所以現在只有世襲 對\n145734\t160984\t所以這種情況透露出他的依然在權在握未來五年他的這個位置應該沒有問題因為在市中全會我們也是在注意委員剛剛提醒的這件事他的一些公報的用語我們具體到接班或是續任的問題都沒有\n162765\t173799\t這代表他大權在握科技怎麼自主在美中的科技角力戰裡面能夠維持他的獨立性跟自主性另外他國內消費不足的問題大概是提到這些部分沒錯他們是國內問題\n177679\t193264\t再把這個情況放到東亞東北亞經濟合作這個是一個命運共同體地緣政治 地緣經濟包括台灣 韓國跟日本這是一個區域的經濟安全合作的重要性\n194264\t220877\t日本沒有問題台日關係最近是二三十年非常密切所以從安倍到高市首相我們提出他們都立場很清楚就是台灣有事 日本有事台灣沒事 日本沒事但我很期待我們另外一個台韓關係我們應該有更多的喉嚨我希望說在未來五年 十年我希望能夠從韓國這種聽到說這台灣有事 韓國有事\n223986\t236581\t當然如果是美國說台灣有事美國有事我想這個大概如果會講早就講了但是雙邊關係的互動是要慢慢累積現在韓國反中的情緒非常強烈\n237944\t261802\t對台灣是相當的友善他們一百二十四萬人來台灣觀光台灣有一百萬人去台灣觀光所以文化民間交流非常熱絡我們應該把握這個時間點強化跟韓國的關係局長您看法呢因為韓國以前都關注北韓的威脅對區域安全議題比較不表述他的立場但是這幾年也正如委員所看到的他慢慢的在調整\n262202\t279151\t包括在美日的一些峰會或是部長級的會談都會 韓國會開始提到台海和平穩定的問題所以代表他政策是有開始在做一些調整最後十秒鐘就是說上次您提醒我我不能去香港香港\n280311\t302760\t甚至轉機也不行這個我都不能到香港但入境不可能 他不可能讓我入境轉機也有危險能不能有一些正面表列的國家你看他的第三國受到中國他們的國內的政治經濟受到中國強烈的控制強大的控制力的這些國家有沒有可能正面表列\n304989\t325298\t對 但這個部分可能旅遊的風險的部分主要是外交部的夜館那但是這部分的風險主要是針對一些疫病或天災的那個指標來做調整那委員提到的是政治風險那這部分我們看是不是在內部會議再提醒外交部也來注意一下委員剛剛的關切謝謝邱志偉委員如果負面\n","txt":"主席有請局長蔡局長請謝主席 邱橫好對 局長你好 局長第一個問題請教你就是說這個中共四中全會剛落幕聽過第15次的五年經濟發展計畫\n那這個有一些現象會讓人家覺得有點跟過去不一樣包括這個中央委員會出席的人數對這個特別是軍系軍方這個中央委員應該有三十幾席要出席就是出席二十幾席\n那去包括一些已經沒有在名單裡面的找不到原因的未出席的大概還有二三十位還印出大概200多位吧如果沒記錯的話205位那出席的是168位缺席的是37位所以有很多軍系的包括這些將領沒有出席\n這透露什麼訊息習近平的大權還是牢牢在握呢還是岌岌可聞你們的判斷這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況就像跟委員報告的數字確實是比較低那大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的\n那代表有大規模的整肅跟調查的工作還在進行整肅是反貪嗎有 反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有所以我們的解讀是認為他反映的是中國的貪腐還有忠誠問題可能蠻嚴重的他是在加大力道對 那也跟委員報告他這一次中委員有遞補11位候補委員那是還沒有及時遞補啊有 這一次有遞補11位但是11位完全跳過了該遞補的軍方代表的名單那代表他對於軍方代表\n所以現階段在整肅軍方貪腐的問題對對對 他在完成調查之前而且直接降臨的位階非常之高啊是啊 是啊當過這個軍委副書記對 或是軍區司令員軍區司令員\n所以這種情況 您覺得他習近平的大權還是牢牢在握對 我們剛剛跟陳俊宇委員在報告也是就是他現在幾乎是獨攬軍權啦然後對於一些將領的背景沒有那麼的信任所以除了剛剛說中央委員 遞補名單沒有軍方代表以外中央軍委會也沒有遞補那過去委員可能也知道都有欺襲所以現在還是軍權在握嘛對對 所以現在只有世襲 對\n所以這種情況透露出他的依然在權在握未來五年他的這個位置應該沒有問題因為在市中全會我們也是在注意委員剛剛提醒的這件事他的一些公報的用語我們具體到接班或是續任的問題都沒有\n這代表他大權在握科技怎麼自主在美中的科技角力戰裡面能夠維持他的獨立性跟自主性另外他國內消費不足的問題大概是提到這些部分沒錯他們是國內問題\n再把這個情況放到東亞東北亞經濟合作這個是一個命運共同體地緣政治 地緣經濟包括台灣 韓國跟日本這是一個區域的經濟安全合作的重要性\n日本沒有問題台日關係最近是二三十年非常密切所以從安倍到高市首相我們提出他們都立場很清楚就是台灣有事 日本有事台灣沒事 日本沒事但我很期待我們另外一個台韓關係我們應該有更多的喉嚨我希望說在未來五年 十年我希望能夠從韓國這種聽到說這台灣有事 韓國有事\n當然如果是美國說台灣有事美國有事我想這個大概如果會講早就講了但是雙邊關係的互動是要慢慢累積現在韓國反中的情緒非常強烈\n對台灣是相當的友善他們一百二十四萬人來台灣觀光台灣有一百萬人去台灣觀光所以文化民間交流非常熱絡我們應該把握這個時間點強化跟韓國的關係局長您看法呢因為韓國以前都關注北韓的威脅對區域安全議題比較不表述他的立場但是這幾年也正如委員所看到的他慢慢的在調整\n包括在美日的一些峰會或是部長級的會談都會 韓國會開始提到台海和平穩定的問題所以代表他政策是有開始在做一些調整最後十秒鐘就是說上次您提醒我我不能去香港香港\n甚至轉機也不行這個我都不能到香港但入境不可能 他不可能讓我入境轉機也有危險能不能有一些正面表列的國家你看他的第三國受到中國他們的國內的政治經濟受到中國強烈的控制強大的控制力的這些國家有沒有可能正面表列\n對 但這個部分可能旅遊的風險的部分主要是外交部的夜館那但是這部分的風險主要是針對一些疫病或天災的那個指標來做調整那委員提到的是政治風險那這部分我們看是不是在內部會議再提醒外交部也來注意一下委員剛剛的關切謝謝邱志偉委員如果負面\n","vtt":"WEBVTT\n\n00:01.355 --> 00:17.474\n主席有請局長蔡局長請謝主席邱橫好對局長你好局長第一個問題請教你就是說這個中共四中全會剛落幕聽過第15次的五年經濟發展計畫\n\n00:18.959 --> 00:35.859\n那這個有一些現象會讓人家覺得有點跟過去不一樣包括這個中央委員會出席的人數對這個特別是軍系軍方這個中央委員應該有三十幾席要出席就是出席二十幾席\n\n00:37.040 --> 00:55.105\n那去包括一些已經沒有在名單裡面的找不到原因的未出席的大概還有二三十位還印出大概200多位吧如果沒記錯的話205位那出席的是168位缺席的是37位所以有很多軍系的包括這些將領沒有出席\n\n00:56.244 --> 01:13.460\n這透露什麼訊息習近平的大權還是牢牢在握呢還是岌岌可聞你們的判斷這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況就像跟委員報告的數字確實是比較低那大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的\n\n01:13.880 --> 01:42.103\n那代表有大規模的整肅跟調查的工作還在進行整肅是反貪嗎有反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有所以我們的解讀是認為他反映的是中國的貪腐還有忠誠問題可能蠻嚴重的他是在加大力道對那也跟委員報告他這一次中委員有遞補11位候補委員那是還沒有及時遞補啊有這一次有遞補11位但是11位完全跳過了該遞補的軍方代表的名單那代表他對於軍方代表\n\n01:42.984 --> 01:51.669\n所以現階段在整肅軍方貪腐的問題對對對他在完成調查之前而且直接降臨的位階非常之高啊是啊是啊當過這個軍委副書記對或是軍區司令員軍區司令員\n\n01:58.248 --> 02:22.694\n所以這種情況您覺得他習近平的大權還是牢牢在握對我們剛剛跟陳俊宇委員在報告也是就是他現在幾乎是獨攬軍權啦然後對於一些將領的背景沒有那麼的信任所以除了剛剛說中央委員遞補名單沒有軍方代表以外中央軍委會也沒有遞補那過去委員可能也知道都有欺襲所以現在還是軍權在握嘛對對所以現在只有世襲對\n\n02:25.734 --> 02:40.984\n所以這種情況透露出他的依然在權在握未來五年他的這個位置應該沒有問題因為在市中全會我們也是在注意委員剛剛提醒的這件事他的一些公報的用語我們具體到接班或是續任的問題都沒有\n\n02:42.765 --> 02:53.799\n這代表他大權在握科技怎麼自主在美中的科技角力戰裡面能夠維持他的獨立性跟自主性另外他國內消費不足的問題大概是提到這些部分沒錯他們是國內問題\n\n02:57.679 --> 03:13.264\n再把這個情況放到東亞東北亞經濟合作這個是一個命運共同體地緣政治地緣經濟包括台灣韓國跟日本這是一個區域的經濟安全合作的重要性\n\n03:14.264 --> 03:40.877\n日本沒有問題台日關係最近是二三十年非常密切所以從安倍到高市首相我們提出他們都立場很清楚就是台灣有事日本有事台灣沒事日本沒事但我很期待我們另外一個台韓關係我們應該有更多的喉嚨我希望說在未來五年十年我希望能夠從韓國這種聽到說這台灣有事韓國有事\n\n03:43.986 --> 03:56.581\n當然如果是美國說台灣有事美國有事我想這個大概如果會講早就講了但是雙邊關係的互動是要慢慢累積現在韓國反中的情緒非常強烈\n\n03:57.944 --> 04:21.802\n對台灣是相當的友善他們一百二十四萬人來台灣觀光台灣有一百萬人去台灣觀光所以文化民間交流非常熱絡我們應該把握這個時間點強化跟韓國的關係局長您看法呢因為韓國以前都關注北韓的威脅對區域安全議題比較不表述他的立場但是這幾年也正如委員所看到的他慢慢的在調整\n\n04:22.202 --> 04:39.151\n包括在美日的一些峰會或是部長級的會談都會韓國會開始提到台海和平穩定的問題所以代表他政策是有開始在做一些調整最後十秒鐘就是說上次您提醒我我不能去香港香港\n\n04:40.311 --> 05:02.760\n甚至轉機也不行這個我都不能到香港但入境不可能他不可能讓我入境轉機也有危險能不能有一些正面表列的國家你看他的第三國受到中國他們的國內的政治經濟受到中國強烈的控制強大的控制力的這些國家有沒有可能正面表列\n\n05:04.989 --> 05:25.298\n對但這個部分可能旅遊的風險的部分主要是外交部的夜館那但是這部分的風險主要是針對一些疫病或天災的那個指標來做調整那委員提到的是政治風險那這部分我們看是不是在內部會議再提醒外交部也來注意一下委員剛剛的關切謝謝邱志偉委員如果負面\n\n","segments":[{"start":1.355,"end":17.474,"text":"主席有請局長蔡局長請謝主席 邱橫好對 局長你好 局長第一個問題請教你就是說這個中共四中全會剛落幕聽過第15次的五年經濟發展計畫"},{"start":18.959,"end":35.859,"text":"那這個有一些現象會讓人家覺得有點跟過去不一樣包括這個中央委員會出席的人數對這個特別是軍系軍方這個中央委員應該有三十幾席要出席就是出席二十幾席"},{"start":37.04,"end":55.105,"text":"那去包括一些已經沒有在名單裡面的找不到原因的未出席的大概還有二三十位還印出大概200多位吧如果沒記錯的話205位那出席的是168位缺席的是37位所以有很多軍系的包括這些將領沒有出席"},{"start":56.244,"end":73.46,"text":"這透露什麼訊息習近平的大權還是牢牢在握呢還是岌岌可聞你們的判斷這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況就像跟委員報告的數字確實是比較低那大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的"},{"start":73.88,"end":102.103,"text":"那代表有大規模的整肅跟調查的工作還在進行整肅是反貪嗎有 反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有所以我們的解讀是認為他反映的是中國的貪腐還有忠誠問題可能蠻嚴重的他是在加大力道對 那也跟委員報告他這一次中委員有遞補11位候補委員那是還沒有及時遞補啊有 這一次有遞補11位但是11位完全跳過了該遞補的軍方代表的名單那代表他對於軍方代表"},{"start":102.984,"end":111.669,"text":"所以現階段在整肅軍方貪腐的問題對對對 他在完成調查之前而且直接降臨的位階非常之高啊是啊 是啊當過這個軍委副書記對 或是軍區司令員軍區司令員"},{"start":118.248,"end":142.694,"text":"所以這種情況 您覺得他習近平的大權還是牢牢在握對 我們剛剛跟陳俊宇委員在報告也是就是他現在幾乎是獨攬軍權啦然後對於一些將領的背景沒有那麼的信任所以除了剛剛說中央委員 遞補名單沒有軍方代表以外中央軍委會也沒有遞補那過去委員可能也知道都有欺襲所以現在還是軍權在握嘛對對 所以現在只有世襲 對"},{"start":145.734,"end":160.984,"text":"所以這種情況透露出他的依然在權在握未來五年他的這個位置應該沒有問題因為在市中全會我們也是在注意委員剛剛提醒的這件事他的一些公報的用語我們具體到接班或是續任的問題都沒有"},{"start":162.765,"end":173.799,"text":"這代表他大權在握科技怎麼自主在美中的科技角力戰裡面能夠維持他的獨立性跟自主性另外他國內消費不足的問題大概是提到這些部分沒錯他們是國內問題"},{"start":177.679,"end":193.264,"text":"再把這個情況放到東亞東北亞經濟合作這個是一個命運共同體地緣政治 地緣經濟包括台灣 韓國跟日本這是一個區域的經濟安全合作的重要性"},{"start":194.264,"end":220.877,"text":"日本沒有問題台日關係最近是二三十年非常密切所以從安倍到高市首相我們提出他們都立場很清楚就是台灣有事 日本有事台灣沒事 日本沒事但我很期待我們另外一個台韓關係我們應該有更多的喉嚨我希望說在未來五年 十年我希望能夠從韓國這種聽到說這台灣有事 韓國有事"},{"start":223.986,"end":236.581,"text":"當然如果是美國說台灣有事美國有事我想這個大概如果會講早就講了但是雙邊關係的互動是要慢慢累積現在韓國反中的情緒非常強烈"},{"start":237.944,"end":261.802,"text":"對台灣是相當的友善他們一百二十四萬人來台灣觀光台灣有一百萬人去台灣觀光所以文化民間交流非常熱絡我們應該把握這個時間點強化跟韓國的關係局長您看法呢因為韓國以前都關注北韓的威脅對區域安全議題比較不表述他的立場但是這幾年也正如委員所看到的他慢慢的在調整"},{"start":262.202,"end":279.151,"text":"包括在美日的一些峰會或是部長級的會談都會 韓國會開始提到台海和平穩定的問題所以代表他政策是有開始在做一些調整最後十秒鐘就是說上次您提醒我我不能去香港香港"},{"start":280.311,"end":302.76,"text":"甚至轉機也不行這個我都不能到香港但入境不可能 他不可能讓我入境轉機也有危險能不能有一些正面表列的國家你看他的第三國受到中國他們的國內的政治經濟受到中國強烈的控制強大的控制力的這些國家有沒有可能正面表列"},{"start":304.989,"end":325.298,"text":"對 但這個部分可能旅遊的風險的部分主要是外交部的夜館那但是這部分的風險主要是針對一些疫病或天災的那個指標來做調整那委員提到的是政治風險那這部分我們看是不是在內部會議再提醒外交部也來注意一下委員剛剛的關切謝謝邱志偉委員如果負面"}]}}},"gazette":{"lineno":412,"blocks":[["邱委員志偉：（10時50分）謝謝主席，有請蔡局長。"],["主席：請局長。"],["蔡局長明彥：謝謝主席，邱委員好。"],["邱委員志偉：局長你好。局長，第一個問題請教你，中共四中全會剛落幕，聽到第15個5年經濟發展計畫，有一些現象會讓人家覺得有點跟過去不一樣，包括他中央委員會出席的人數……"],["蔡局長明彥：對。"],["邱委員志偉：特別是軍系，軍方的中央委員應該有三十幾席要出席，卻只出席二十幾席，包括一些已經沒有在名單裡面、找不到原因未出席的大概還有二、三十位，應出席大概兩百多位吧！如果我沒記錯的話。"],["蔡局長明彥：對，是205位，出席的是168位。"],["邱委員志偉：168位嘛！"],["蔡局長明彥：缺席的是37位。"],["邱委員志偉：所以有很多軍系的包括這些將領沒有出席，這透露什麼訊息？習近平的大局是牢牢在握呢？還是岌岌可危呢？有沒有判斷？"],["蔡局長明彥：好。這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況，剛跟委員報告的數字，確實是比較低啦！大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的，代表有大規模整肅跟調查的工作還在進行……"],["邱委員志偉：整肅是反貪嗎？"],["蔡局長明彥：是，反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有。所以我們的解讀是認為它反映的是中國的貪腐，還有忠誠問題可能滿嚴重的。"],["邱委員志偉：他是在加大力道？"],["蔡局長明彥：對。也跟委員報告，這次中央委員有遞補11位候補委員，這11位候補委員……"],["邱委員志偉：還沒有及時遞補啊！"],["蔡局長明彥：有，這次有遞補11位，但這11位完全跳過了該遞補軍方代表的名單，代表他對於軍方代表沒有那麼信任。"],["邱委員志偉：現階段在整肅軍方貪腐的問題？"],["蔡局長明彥：對。在完成調查之前……"],["邱委員志偉：這些將領的位階非常之高啊！"],["蔡局長明彥：是啊！"],["邱委員志偉：都當過軍委副書記。"],["蔡局長明彥：對，或是軍區司令員。"],["邱委員志偉：軍區司令員。所以這種情況，您覺得習近平的大權還是牢牢在握？"],["蔡局長明彥：對。我們剛剛跟陳俊宇委員在報告也是，他現在幾乎是獨攬軍權啦！對於一些將領的背景沒有那麼的信任，所以除了剛剛提到中央委員遞補名單沒有軍方代表以外，中央軍委會也沒有遞補。過去委員可能也知道都有7席……"],["邱委員志偉：他現在還是軍權在握嘛？"],["蔡局長明彥：對，所以現在只有4席。"],["邱委員志偉：所以這種情況透露出他依然大權在握，對未來5年，他的位置應該沒有問題。"],["蔡局長明彥：因為在這次四中全會，我們也是在注意委員剛剛提醒的這件事，他的一些公報的用語有沒有去提到接班或是續任的問題……"],["邱委員志偉：都沒有。"],["蔡局長明彥：都沒有，所以代表他大權在握。"],["邱委員志偉：科技要怎麼自主，在美中的科技角力戰裡如何維持他的獨立性跟自主性，另外還有國內消費不足的問題，大概是提到這些部分。"],["蔡局長明彥：對，沒錯。"],["邱委員志偉：這是他們國內問題啦！再把這個情況放到東亞，東北亞經濟合作是一個命運共同體、地緣政治、地緣經濟，包括臺灣、韓國跟日本，這是一個區域的經濟、安全、合作的重要性，日本沒有問題，臺日關係最近是二、三十年非常密切，所以從安倍到高市首相，他們立場很清楚，就是「臺灣有事，日本有事；臺灣沒事，日本沒事」，但我很期待另外一個是臺韓關係啊！我們應該有更多的活路，我希望在未來5年、10年能夠從韓國政府那聽到說「臺灣有事，韓國有事」。當然，如果是美國人說「臺灣有事，美國有事」，我想會講早就講了，但是雙邊關係的互動是要慢慢累積，譬如現在韓國反中的情緒非常強烈，對臺灣是相對友善，他們有124萬人來臺灣觀光，臺灣也有100萬人到他們那觀光，所以文化及民間交流非常熱絡，我們應該把握這個時間點，強化跟韓國的關係。局長，您看法呢？"],["蔡局長明彥：對。因為韓國以前都關注北韓的威脅啦！對區域安全議題比較不會表述他的立場，但是這幾年也正如委員所看到的，他慢慢的在調整，包括在美韓的一些峰會或是部長級的會談，韓國會開始提到臺海和平穩定的問題，所以代表他的政策是有開始在做一些調整。"],["邱委員志偉：了解。最後10秒鐘，上次您提醒過我，我不能去香港，甚至轉機也不行，我都不能到香港，當然連入境都不可能，他也不可能讓我入境，轉機也有危險。"],["蔡局長明彥：對，有安全疑慮……"],["邱委員志偉：能不能有些正面表列的國家？比如，你看這第三國在他們國內的政治及經濟受到中國強大控制力的這些國家，有沒有可能正面表列？"],["蔡局長明彥：對。但這可能是旅遊風險的部分，主要是外交部的業管啦！但是這部分的風險主要是針對一些疫病或天災的指標來做調整，而委員提到的是政治風險，就這部分我們看是不是在內部會議再來提醒外交部也來注意一下委員剛剛關切的。"],["邱委員志偉：謝謝。"],["蔡局長明彥：謝謝委員。"],["主席：謝謝邱志偉委員。如果負面表列比較少，那用負面表列就好了啦！就是跟他們友好會引渡的。在國際刑警組織（INTERPOL）那也是個問題。好，謝謝國安局長，請回。","接下來進行詢答是洪孟楷委員、洪孟楷委員、洪孟楷委員不在。","蘇清泉委員、蘇清泉委員、蘇清泉委員不在。","楊瓊瓔委員、楊瓊瓔委員、楊瓊瓔委員不在。","吳思瑤委員、吳思瑤委員、吳思瑤委員不在。","鍾佳濱委員、鍾佳濱委員、鍾佳濱委員不在。","已登記質詢委員除不在場者外，均已發言完畢，報告及詢答結束。本日會議有黃仁委員、沈伯洋委員、林憶君委員、陳冠廷委員提出書面質詢，請列入紀錄並刊登公報。"]],"agenda":{"page_end":278,"meet_id":"委員會-11-4-35-9","speakers":["王定宇","陳永康","羅美玲","陳俊宇","林楚茵","馬文君","徐巧芯","謝龍介","葉元之","賴士葆","郭昱晴","邱志偉","黃仁","沈伯洋","林憶君","陳冠廷"],"page_start":245,"meetingDate":["2025-10-29"],"gazette_id":"1148901","agenda_lcidc_ids":["1148901_00006"],"meet_name":"立法院第11屆第4會期外交及國防委員會第9次全體委員會議紀錄","content":"邀請國家安全局報告「近期東亞情勢變化對我國影響之研析」，並備質詢","agenda_id":"1148901_00005"}}}