{"error":false,"id":["156537"],"data":{"IVOD_ID":156537,"IVOD_URL":"https://ivod.ly.gov.tw/Play/Clip/1M/156537","日期":"2024-11-06","影片種類":"Clip","開始時間":"2024-11-06T10:26:27+08:00","結束時間":"2024-11-06T10:34:28+08:00","影片長度":"00:08:01","支援功能":["ai-transcript"],"video_url":"https://ivod-lyvod.cdn.hinet.net/vod_1/_definst_/mp4:1MClips/b367300d5b4eae7de9ece286d858e18abb32fa75c598af44a2450328f9194eb4a3ec606ed071d12b5ea18f28b6918d91.mp4/playlist.m3u8","委員名稱":"吳春城","委員發言時間":"10:26:27 - 10:34:28","會議時間":"2024-11-06T09:00:00+08:00","會議名稱":"立法院第11屆第2會期教育及文化委員會（事由：「少子女化加劇私校退場，如何挽救?」公聽會）","transcript":{"pyannote":[{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":0.03096875,"end":1.56659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":2.00534375,"end":22.49159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":23.14971875,"end":26.625968750000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":26.74409375,"end":45.77909375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":46.30221875,"end":49.27221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":49.609718750000006,"end":52.32659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":53.38971875,"end":61.30409375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":61.877843750000004,"end":62.907218750000006},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":64.22346875000001,"end":73.48784375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":74.09534375,"end":77.35221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":78.02721875,"end":80.69346875000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":81.95909375000001,"end":84.87846875000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":85.24971875,"end":87.03846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":87.86534375000001,"end":105.75284375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":106.68096875,"end":107.45721875000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":107.91284375000001,"end":109.26284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":109.95471875000001,"end":117.12659375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":118.29096875,"end":123.96096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":124.50096875000001,"end":132.90471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":133.74846875,"end":155.48346875000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":156.19221875000002,"end":162.13221875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":163.04346875000002,"end":168.25784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":169.32096875000002,"end":181.82534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":182.31471875000003,"end":184.00221875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":186.46596875,"end":203.05409375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":204.15096875,"end":210.44534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":211.18784375,"end":222.00471875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":222.22409375,"end":231.62346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":232.63596875000002,"end":246.55784375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":247.06409375,"end":259.12971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":261.34034375000005,"end":277.21971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":277.70909375,"end":280.61159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":281.23596875000004,"end":283.39596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":284.34096875,"end":286.29846875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":287.15909375,"end":288.54284375000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":289.35284375000003,"end":292.99784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":293.52096875,"end":296.37284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":297.06471875,"end":307.54409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":308.37096875000003,"end":308.72534375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":309.18096875000003,"end":311.64471875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":312.55596875000003,"end":327.40596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":327.70971875000004,"end":328.08096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":329.24534375,"end":331.40534375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":332.02971875000003,"end":335.60721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":335.89409375,"end":337.81784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":338.32409375000003,"end":350.72721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":351.08159375,"end":359.38409375000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":359.97471875,"end":370.55534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":370.92659375000005,"end":393.03284375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":393.57284375,"end":457.17471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":457.56284375,"end":478.79159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":480.32721875000004,"end":481.57596875}],"whisperx":[{"start":2.337,"end":22.243,"text":"這個我剛剛是從八樓下來八樓未還委員會正在召開壯士代公聽會然後我們教文在召開少子化公聽會這個就是很有趣一題之兩面所以我今天就在談這個怎麼解因為這個的解方是一套的"},{"start":23.203,"end":51.911,"text":"不是分開解一定是無解啦分開解一定是無解那這個10月17號我們的那個國發會拖了兩個月不敢公布的人口數據終於端出來為什麼兩個月一直拖呢我一直在逼他他都一直不敢公布因為變得更嚴重那特別在少子化我們比預估的提早的15年"},{"start":53.442,"end":80.131,"text":"本來預估新生委會破10萬預估是2054年結果這次預估是變成2040年提早15年少子化的政策你看現在這個每人也解決下來而且這個還叫樂觀預估我基本上估計在5年就已經破10萬了還不用待到2040年因為他不敢說實話為什麼遲遲不敢就是不敢面對"},{"start":81.991,"end":82.111,"text":"吳春城議員"},{"start":106.738,"end":132.056,"text":"很蠢的教育部難道不知道嗎然後呢為什麼一直在增加大學這20年來一直在增加然後20 30年教改一直增加然後現在才一直關門這就是這都是我稱為叫做行政單位的慣性原理慣性就是一條路一直直走直走直走速度都一致然後往前都不會踩煞車也不會轉彎"},{"start":135.261,"end":150.332,"text":"現在是我們搶救危機的時候這就是國外的人口預估就大學學齡人口數2024年是有87萬人是18到21歲這四個年齡加起來87萬人然後推估到2040年會剩下67萬人到2070年會只剩下31萬人"},{"start":163.117,"end":183.524,"text":"各位在做大學的,絕對不要懷疑這一數據,很準耶,只剩下三分之一那請問只剩下三分之一,你的大學的經營,百年素人,你都沒在想這事情,都讀到時候在抹黑手,所以呢,到底要怎麼樣?"},{"start":186.519,"end":191.742,"text":"你看這個報導,112年學年,大醫學生剩下20萬人一個年級差不多嘛,剛才這四個年級87萬人,2020年接下來支持下到117年剩下15.7萬所以未來五年是私校的生死存亡的關鍵"},{"start":211.243,"end":231.323,"text":"然後大家都在搶同一塊萎靡的市場 這叫慢性死亡我不知道大家有什麼方法 有什麼對策然後呢 少子女化 這個已經定型了 完全不用懷疑因為我們每年花了一千多 一千兩百億在解決少子化的問題 結果還提早15年"},{"start":232.691,"end":258.461,"text":"你就顯然就是無效嘛無效無效就要認清事實不要一直想說啊再拚拚看那樣然後再看看然後永遠不針對問題解決問題一直拖一直拖現在呢就是說這個問題很確定所以呢私校一定那也不是走向這個什麼那個轉型"},{"start":261.394,"end":288.422,"text":"那我跟大家報告其實這是大家未來可以看到的行情我剛剛講說從樓上到樓下我看到的就是這兩個圖樓上的八樓會館討論高齡化高齡化我們現在平均臥床超過8年了未來高齡者會佔人口的一半一半的人躺個8年然後就不用討論少子化的問題了因為全部被壓垮了"},{"start":289.36,"end":289.44,"text":"吳春城議員吳春城議員"},{"start":312.648,"end":333.104,"text":"所以就是這些政策我們一定要改選 跟著我剛才在跟他講大家講說這個台灣未來最重要的 未來30年最重要的事情就是高齡化跟少子化的事情 天翻地覆我在樓上談的壯世代壯世代 為什麼這個課題很重要現在這個叫扶養筆"},{"start":338.753,"end":356.259,"text":"20到64歲當分母這叫工作人口65歲當做分子就是被撫養的但因為高齡化所以分子就越來越大因為少子化所以分母就越來越小所以目前是3.6比1未來2057年就會變成1比1"},{"start":360.04,"end":360.32,"text":"吳春城議員"},{"start":371.072,"end":392.539,"text":"林青霞你知道壯士大最大的遺憾現在60歲上來有600萬人台灣有600萬人平均就是退休了有600萬人那你知道林青霞這個今年就講說她人生最大的遺憾就是沒有進大學所以你看壯士大大概不到20%啦應該差不多10%左右有進大學所以他們的終身遺憾"},{"start":393.739,"end":420.336,"text":"少子化高女我們現在推動的叫第三人生大學為什麼大學只有18歲入大學80歲也可以入大學你應該不要在同一個市場搶你只要開放建立好這個教育的制度當中而且是有學歷不是社區大學、中年大學、老人大學這種休閒娛樂的他是追求夢想你知道有多少人要報名嗎至少300萬人要來報名而且這些人都有錢的不用公衛補助所以喔"},{"start":420.976,"end":443.985,"text":"現在教育部當然有開始在進行試辦計畫現在有各地像空中大學也把發展低產能生物大學當為目標特別是上禮拜我去華漢大學華漢大學已正式還有大同的何校長也有到場我們都在討論這一個開放的他們現在的"},{"start":445.385,"end":450.807,"text":"教育部應該要大膽的講出來這一個退休讓退休不是進養老院而是進大學好不好教育部可以有這樣子的一個志向"},{"start":465.632,"end":465.732,"text":"吳春城議員"}]}},"supported_relations":[],"relations":[]}