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這個標示準嗎?聽說很多報關是亂寫一通那你有沒有就是說試著去改善他這個這樣的一個機制那我們知道就是說他其實這個不管是對我們百工百業的一個照顧"},{"start":736.904,"end":754.298,"text":"還有最主要就是說對消費者消費者也是一個服務聽說他退會是非常困難的所以說提一些相關的書面的報告給本席好不好這個你要重視啊你要重視啊謝謝謝謝我們來會員委員謝謝署長接下來我們請盧明財委員發言"}]},"gazette":{"lineno":846,"blocks":[["賴委員惠員：（10時50分）謝謝主席，我們請楊總裁。"],["主席：請楊總裁。"],["楊總裁金龍：賴委員早。"],["賴委員惠員：早安。針對川普即將在明年1月20號重新回到美國擔任美國的總統，你知道在美國的憲法裡頭總統任期的規定嗎？川普未來是不是可以再競選連任？還是就是做這一屆4年？"],["楊總裁金龍：好像大家都認為他大概這一任做完就結束了，因為他有年齡的限制。"],["賴委員惠員：對。"],["楊總裁金龍：他們的憲法……"],["賴委員惠員：總裁，這一任的4年……"],["楊總裁金龍：他是不是可以再持續下去，這個我不曉得啦！"],["賴委員惠員：他不能再連任下去了，就是這4年。"],["楊總裁金龍：是、是、是，那就是4年。"],["賴委員惠員：這個政治狂人再加上一個馬斯克，你也知道馬斯克即將在美國政府裡頭擔任政府效率部的部長。"],["楊總裁金龍：對，政府效率部。"],["賴委員惠員：這個政府效率部做什麼事你知道嗎？總裁，這個部會會對整個聯邦政府進行全面的財務跟績效的審計，並且將就重大的改革提出建議。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["賴委員惠員：一個狂人跟一個瘋子，你有沒有想到未來4年我們臺灣即將處在一個什麼樣的位置？面對著美國這麼瘋狂的川普跟馬斯克，總裁，講一講你的想法。"],["楊總裁金龍：我的想法還是一貫的，川普雖然有這樣的一個政見，已經要被出臺了，但很不容易去預測他的手段或策略，所以在川普的任內有高度的不確定性。"],["賴委員惠員：是，有高度的不確定性。"],["楊總裁金龍：這個就是挑戰。"],["賴委員惠員：你自己也講得很清楚，即將要面對新的一個挑戰，這個新的挑戰充滿了不確定性。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：上週我們的台經院發布了最新的景氣展望跟經濟預測。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["賴委員惠員：其實它推估今年的經濟成長率，上修到4.03%。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：明年會下降到3.15%。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：你剛才講了，你預估GDP是3.08%。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：這些數字對不對？"],["楊總裁金龍：所以我才在報告裡面講，因為有三大挑戰……"],["賴委員惠員：對，沒有錯。"],["楊總裁金龍：這三大挑戰一定會衝擊到臺灣的經濟、貿易。"],["賴委員惠員：是。"],["楊總裁金龍：所以我們的對策是，現在應該還是維持我們的預測，但是我們在12月的時候、明年3月的時候、明年6月的時候，我們大概都會做一些調整。"],["賴委員惠員：好，你也一直在做滾動式的調整。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：就是一直面對著川普跟……"],["楊總裁金龍：不確定性。"],["賴委員惠員：有關供需的決定，是不是會受到川普當初在競選總統時經貿相關政見的影響？這在你的報告裡頭也特別提出來。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：貿易政策，他就是降稅嘛！"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：財政的政策就是減稅嘛！"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：移民政策就是防堵、驅趕嘛！"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["賴委員惠員：還有農業政策，這是央行整理的。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：好，你現在講到你持續觀察國際經濟情勢，就是持續追蹤跟關注，可是顯然這個講得非常空洞。"],["楊總裁金龍：不是，空洞是比較能夠接受的，為什麼？我還是再強調，它有不確定性！"],["賴委員惠員：它有不確定性？"],["楊總裁金龍：對！當然我們也可以說它的scenario，但事實上我跟委員報告，我們本身也有scenario的分析，只是我們的scenario分析是各種情況的分析，而各種情況的分析只能夠內參。"],["賴委員惠員：是啦！總裁，我跟你講……"],["楊總裁金龍：不能公開說我們的……"],["賴委員惠員：我們眾多委員其實關心的是你的態度，川普喊出來的關稅問題是我們大家擔心的，他喊到60%，就是他把關稅提高到60%，其實講得很簡單，就是不讓你做生意，他已經不讓你做生意了！"],["楊總裁金龍：是啦！"],["賴委員惠員：像這樣子這麼瘋狂調整他的美國經濟政策的話，我們大家都擔心，擔心這個震盪是不是對國內的經濟會產生很大的影響。"],["楊總裁金龍：是，沒有錯！"],["賴委員惠員：這個是我們比較擔心的。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：其實之前拜登上臺以後，過去四年中美的貿易戰雖然持續在進行，可是這個是我們可以預估的。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：我們可以預估的，臺灣的經濟其實也表現得非常亮眼，我們的出口經濟，還有通膨，以及新臺幣的漲幅都是穩定的，臺股也是好的。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["賴委員惠員：在未來四年，你剛才講了很多、很多，我們其實也都知道。再從國發會的經濟研究期刊特別看到，它有研究中美貿易戰對我們未來經濟影響的分析與評估，包括負面衝擊，它講到大概少賺了新臺幣226億，而我們賣到美國的正面效益是賺了73億，可是這一來一去，我們淨損還是缺了153億。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["賴委員惠員：可是在這個研究期刊裡頭我們看到我們對東協增加了出口，但它其實是沒有把它算進去的，所以這也是要提醒，未來東協的增加也是我們非常重要的一個參考標的。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：美國跟中國一直是我國出口的前兩大市場。"],["楊總裁金龍：是，沒有錯。"],["賴委員惠員：尤其是美、中、臺三方緊密的產業供應鏈跟三角貿易關係，美中的貿易摩擦勢必會影響到我們。剛才賴士葆委員有特別跟你提到，我們的軍事採購算不算在美中貿易裡頭？"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["賴委員惠員：算在美中貿易裡頭？"],["楊總裁金龍：對，有啦！"],["賴委員惠員：那軟體呢？其實有時候軟體比硬體來得還多，軟體是不是也算呢？"],["楊總裁金龍：軟體應該是屬於服務項目，而服務項目按照我的推論，當然我還是必須再去make sure一下，但我的推論就是，既然硬體商品有列入的話，那服務的商品也應該要放入，因為他在跟我們講我們對他的順差多少……"],["賴委員惠員：所以也是要放入？軟體也是要放進去？"],["楊總裁金龍：對，也應該要放進去的。"],["賴委員惠員：總裁，再提醒你，最近的美債殖利率一直在上升，就是它的價值變高了。"],["楊總裁金龍：對。"],["賴委員惠員：那應該是預期美國關稅會造成通膨。"],["楊總裁金龍：是。"],["賴委員惠員：央行跟金融業有大量的美債，我在這裡請教，這對於臺灣的金融系統一定會造成很大的影響，請總裁將書面報告給我，好不好？"],["楊總裁金龍：好。"],["賴委員惠員：好，謝謝。"],["楊總裁金龍：謝謝。"],["賴委員惠員：時間先暫停一下，我想邀請關務署。"],["主席：時間暫停，請關務署署長。"],["賴委員惠員：總裁請回，謝謝。"],["主席：謝謝總裁。"],["賴委員惠員：署長。"],["彭署長英偉：委員好。"],["賴委員惠員：署長，我針對的就是雙11中國電商在臺灣做了一個很大的廣告，也做了一個很大的促銷，事前我有跟你請教了幾個議題，顯然你認為這個問題對國內的影響不大。如果我們用美國的一天800塊美元來看，其實在民主黨裡頭也有議員提到小額豁免權的濫用，他們希望去修正小額包裹的標準。當然你講到了，我們半年有6次，一次是2,000塊，這部分影響臺灣百工百業的差異不大，你是不是這樣的態度呢？"],["彭署長英偉：跟委員報告，這種低價免稅貨品是世界關務組織（WCO）的相關規定，世界各國大概都會有這樣的……"],["賴委員惠員：當然，我知道！那是不是有一些比較積極的作法？因為這個實在是影響我們臺灣的產業，不管是哪一個產業的影響都非常大，你知道在中南部有很多傳統的五金店面，甚至衣服的實體店面都倒掉了，為什麼？因為拼不過這個電商。"],["彭署長英偉：了解。"],["賴委員惠員：如果我們還存在一個寬容態度的話，這樣對我們臺灣的產業沒有達到保護的能量。我在這裡請教你，海關一天有多少包裹到臺灣？其中有多少包裹是小件的包裹？"],["彭署長英偉：跟委員報告，快遞貨物的話，一天的量大概16萬到17萬。"],["賴委員惠員：對，16萬到17萬。"],["彭署長英偉：是，所謂低價免稅的2,000塊以下大概將近占九成左右。"],["賴委員惠員：九成喔，等於10件中就有1件是我們在講的，不管是蝦皮還是其他電商等等零零散散打散進來的，這個在報關的時候，有沒有提供一個完整的資訊，可以告訴你貨品的標示是什麼？"],["彭署長英偉：當然，我們的通關制度……"],["賴委員惠員：這個準嗎？這個標示準嗎？聽說很多報關是亂寫一通！你有沒有試著去改善這樣一個機制？其實這不只是對我們百工百業的照顧，最主要對消費者也是一個服務，聽說它退費是非常困難的。"],["彭署長英偉：是，委員講的沒有錯。"],["賴委員惠員：署長，提一些相關的書面報告給本席，好不好？"],["彭署長英偉：好的。"],["賴委員惠員：這個你要重視！謝謝。"],["彭署長英偉：好的，沒問題，謝謝。"],["主席：謝謝賴惠員委員，謝謝署長。","接下來請羅明才委員發言。"]],"agenda":{"page_end":256,"meet_id":"委員會-11-2-20-8","speakers":["賴惠員","林德福","吳秉叡","賴士葆","郭國文","李彥秀","李坤城","王鴻薇","羅明才","顏寬恒","黃珊珊","伍麗華Saidhai‧Tahovecahe","陳玉珍","黃國昌","洪孟楷","羅廷瑋","楊瓊瓔","麥玉珍","葉元之","王世堅","何欣純","邱志偉"],"page_start":173,"meetingDate":["2024-11-14"],"gazette_id":"11310002","agenda_lcidc_ids":["11310002_00004"],"meet_name":"立法院第11屆第2會期財政委員會第8次全體委員會議紀錄","content":"一、邀請中央銀行楊總裁金龍、財政部莊部長翠雲、金融監督管理委員會彭主任委員金隆就「美\n國新任總統的貿易政策對台灣經濟與金融穩定之可能影響與對策」進行專題報告，並備質詢；\n二、審查中華民國114年度中央政府總預算案：行政院歲入預算有關中央銀行股息紅利繳庫部分\n（僅詢答）；三、審查中華民國114年度中央政府總預算案附屬單位預算營業部分關於中央銀行\n（含中央造幣廠、中央印製廠）（僅詢答）","agenda_id":"11310002_00003"}}},"supported_relations":[],"relations":[]}