{"error":false,"id":["167516"],"data":{"IVOD_ID":167516,"IVOD_URL":"https://ivod.ly.gov.tw/Play/Clip/1M/167516","日期":"2026-03-16","會議資料":{"會議代碼":"委員會-11-5-19-2","會議代碼:str":"第11屆第5會期經濟委員會第2次全體委員會議","屆":11,"會期":5,"會次":2,"臨時會會次":null,"種類":"委員會","委員會代碼":[19],"委員會代碼:str":["經濟委員會"],"標題":"第11屆第5會期經濟委員會第2次全體委員會議"},"影片種類":"Clip","開始時間":"2026-03-16T11:32:30+08:00","結束時間":"2026-03-16T11:38:31+08:00","影片長度":"00:06:01","支援功能":["ai-transcript"],"video_url":"https://ivod-lyvod.cdn.hinet.net/vod_1/_definst_/mp4:1MClips/e545302d1642c5f6b9594349b15a2ddd0bc6757ec415edbebfd7ce027fbc82e043cbf47c3bf192685ea18f28b6918d91.mp4/playlist.m3u8","委員名稱":"賴士葆","委員發言時間":"11:32:30 - 11:38:31","會議時間":"2026-03-16T09:00:00+08:00","會議名稱":"立法院第11屆第5會期經濟委員會第2次全體委員會議（事由：邀請國家發展委員會主任委員列席報告業務概況，並備質詢。）","transcript":{"pyannote":[{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":0.03096875,"end":0.6890937500000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":12.19784375,"end":13.36221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":13.78409375,"end":15.387218750000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":15.404093750000001,"end":16.80471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":17.074718750000002,"end":18.32346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":23.89221875,"end":23.99346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":23.99346875,"end":24.01034375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":24.01034375,"end":24.31409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":24.31409375,"end":24.516593750000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":24.73596875,"end":25.410968750000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":26.00159375,"end":28.02659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":28.718468750000003,"end":31.097843750000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":31.519718750000003,"end":34.337843750000005},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":34.92846875,"end":35.26596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":35.502218750000004,"end":36.07596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":36.31221875,"end":42.336593750000006},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":39.23159375,"end":40.15971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":41.77971875,"end":47.01096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":45.711593750000006,"end":48.27659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":48.95159375,"end":49.67721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":50.267843750000004,"end":57.57471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":56.781593750000006,"end":57.55784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":57.57471875,"end":58.97534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":58.97534375,"end":59.88659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":59.414093750000006,"end":59.66721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":60.375968750000006,"end":62.19846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":60.94971875,"end":62.41784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":62.46846875000001,"end":62.924093750000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":62.87346875,"end":63.90284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":62.94096875,"end":62.95784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":64.07159375,"end":65.18534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":65.53971875,"end":67.61534375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":67.78409375000001,"end":68.02034375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":68.47596875,"end":70.66971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":71.31096875,"end":72.94784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":73.40346875,"end":74.92221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":75.25971875,"end":77.13284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":77.38596875,"end":77.90909375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":78.21284375,"end":85.33409375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":78.75284375000001,"end":79.34346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":81.79034375,"end":82.60034375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":83.14034375,"end":97.28159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":87.20721875000001,"end":88.27034375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":97.45034375,"end":98.71596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":98.71596875,"end":98.73284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":98.73284375,"end":99.34034375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":98.88471875,"end":100.36971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":99.76221875,"end":103.28909375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":100.77471875,"end":110.49471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":106.91721875,"end":108.65534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":111.23721875000001,"end":112.78971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":111.37221875,"end":112.14846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":112.78971875,"end":112.82346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":112.82346875,"end":112.84034375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":112.84034375,"end":112.85721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":112.85721875,"end":112.92471875000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":112.94159375000001,"end":112.99221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":112.99221875,"end":113.02596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":113.02596875,"end":113.49846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":113.49846875,"end":113.63346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":113.63346875,"end":115.96221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":114.02159375000001,"end":115.20284375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":115.96221875,"end":116.02971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":116.02971875,"end":122.15534375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":118.59471875000001,"end":120.29909375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":122.23971875000001,"end":122.25659375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":122.30721875,"end":137.03909375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":133.27596875,"end":133.41096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":136.87034375000002,"end":139.94159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":140.48159375,"end":149.32409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":149.02034375000002,"end":153.55971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":154.28534375,"end":159.12846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":159.12846875,"end":159.24659375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":159.24659375000002,"end":160.66409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":161.50784375,"end":165.03471875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":162.63846875000002,"end":167.21159375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":166.68846875,"end":175.59846875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":170.58659375000002,"end":170.60346875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":171.26159375,"end":180.69471875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":181.08284375000002,"end":182.02784375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":182.02784375000002,"end":182.48346875000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":182.48346875000001,"end":182.51721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":182.85471875000002,"end":182.92221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":182.92221875,"end":183.41159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":183.41159375,"end":183.42846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":183.66471875000002,"end":183.68159375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":183.68159375000002,"end":184.37346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":186.12846875000002,"end":187.30971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":187.34346875,"end":188.62596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":188.52471875,"end":189.79034375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":190.46534375000002,"end":196.69221875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":197.38409375,"end":198.88596875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":199.12221875,"end":209.19659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":205.02846875,"end":205.99034375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":206.96909375,"end":212.03159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":212.03159375,"end":213.56721875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":214.37721875000003,"end":220.78971875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":216.16596875000002,"end":216.52034375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":221.16096875000002,"end":225.90284375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":224.80596875,"end":225.86909375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":226.57784375000003,"end":228.97409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":228.97409375,"end":229.31159375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":229.83471875,"end":230.08784375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":230.23971875,"end":231.69096875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":231.92721875,"end":231.96096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":231.96096875,"end":231.97784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":231.97784375,"end":232.02846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":232.02846875,"end":232.38284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":232.11284375000002,"end":232.46721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":232.41659375,"end":232.45034375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":232.46721875,"end":234.52596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":232.75409375,"end":232.77096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":232.78784375,"end":242.33909375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":237.46221875,"end":238.89659375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":242.60909375000003,"end":243.18284375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":243.35159375,"end":249.71346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":248.98784375000002,"end":249.40971875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":249.71346875,"end":250.27034375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":250.27034375000002,"end":250.30409375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":250.30409375000002,"end":250.42221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":250.42221875,"end":250.45596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":250.45596875,"end":250.48971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":250.48971875,"end":250.59096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":250.59096875,"end":251.62034375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":251.62034375000002,"end":255.97409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":251.72159375,"end":251.82284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":255.97409375,"end":256.02471875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":256.02471875000003,"end":256.96971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":256.96971875,"end":257.03721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":257.03721875,"end":257.96534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":257.96534375,"end":258.03284375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":258.03284375000004,"end":258.31971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":258.31971875,"end":259.02846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":259.11284375,"end":262.28534375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":262.28534375000004,"end":266.97659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":266.58846875,"end":267.22971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":267.83721875000003,"end":270.11534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":270.35159375,"end":273.11909375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":271.97159375,"end":272.83221875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":273.11909375,"end":273.15284375000005},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":273.50721875,"end":273.54096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":273.54096875,"end":273.96284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":273.96284375,"end":274.03034375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":274.03034375000004,"end":274.87409375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":274.87409375000004,"end":274.89096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":275.41409375,"end":275.43096875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":275.43096875000003,"end":277.62471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":278.53596875,"end":281.40471875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":281.53971875,"end":282.36659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":282.50159375000004,"end":285.52221875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":285.69096875,"end":296.37284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":295.25909375000003,"end":299.00534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":299.24159375,"end":302.90346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":299.42721875,"end":318.24284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":303.34221875000003,"end":305.48534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":306.14346875,"end":307.54409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":307.99971875,"end":308.77596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":309.46784375000004,"end":311.18909375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":312.31971875,"end":313.12971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":316.45409375,"end":318.20909375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":318.24284375,"end":318.27659375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":318.41159375,"end":319.03596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":318.56346875,"end":318.68159375000005},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":319.03596875,"end":319.98096875000005},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":320.31846875,"end":322.24221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":322.61346875000004,"end":325.21221875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":325.90409375,"end":328.63784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":329.04284375000003,"end":331.03409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":331.03409375,"end":332.08034375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":332.08034375,"end":332.09721875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":332.63721875000005,"end":332.65409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":332.65409375,"end":334.39221875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":334.86471875,"end":336.46784375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":336.73784375,"end":337.90221875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":339.85971875,"end":340.38284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":341.02409375,"end":343.80846875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":343.94346875,"end":348.46596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":348.93846875,"end":350.13659375000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":349.81596875,"end":350.01846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":350.13659375000003,"end":351.50346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":351.77346875,"end":352.95471875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":352.97159375,"end":354.03471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":354.28784375000004,"end":355.90784375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":357.07221875000005,"end":358.75971875000005},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":360.09284375000004,"end":361.03784375000004}],"whisperx":[{"start":12.676,"end":16.238,"text":"謝謝主席以及各位先進有請國務會的主委 葉主委"},{"start":24.025,"end":40.054,"text":"委員長主委長我先請教啦就是你到現在為止還認為我們今年的GDP可以到7.7嗎我樂觀樂觀油價不會影響嗎油價已經漲了25%了油價30%了油價要看說它看那個中東這邊的軍事衝勢看起來短時間是打不完的"},{"start":50.319,"end":62.012,"text":"有國外的研究機構有指出說可能會在四周左右啦 但這個是一個...所以說不管幾周啊 現在已經破百了啊短期的話 我不希望...剛才主計長還說 只要油價漲10%"},{"start":68.539,"end":82.028,"text":"GDP就減少0.12那主計長給我們的公司就減少0.12現在已經漲了25%了現在已經漲了25%了所以就是等於要減10%是國際油價但是因為我們國內都有一些緩漲跟動漲的機制所以其實那個效果可能沒有那麼的嚴重像主計長這樣10% 0.12這樣子"},{"start":97.679,"end":114.839,"text":"打臉主機長喔沒有也不是打臉只是打臉主機長只是說那個那個那個那個那個比較的情境可能所以你會認為不管川普那邊怎麼打阿美尼拉斯怎麼打那麼這個7.77.7絕對是鐵的一定有"},{"start":118.944,"end":134.398,"text":"那個也要考慮啊我這一邊只是在進一步的說明就是說組長講的那個情境跟我們現在目前國內的情境可能有一些差異性這邊跟委員分他要講的就是國際油價他講的就是國際油價國內不管有沒有環長基本上來講是有影響的"},{"start":140.484,"end":159.5,"text":"不會沒有影響 會有影響 對但只是說那個影響是不是到0.12 10%會影響到0.12這個部分我們再細部的再來看所以你還是樂觀估算我們今年一定有7.7以上是不是假如這個軍事衝突在一定的時間之內解決的話一定時間是多長 4個禮拜"},{"start":161.784,"end":183.982,"text":"這個我很難肯定啦但是國外的國外的那一個報告是有講說應該最多機率機率比較大應該是有些分析師已經講說美國已經進入新型的大蕭條這句話你同意嗎好幾篇的分析都這樣子你同意嗎我覺得"},{"start":186.138,"end":213.197,"text":"每一個預設機構都有不一樣的假設啦沒有 你同意不同意嘛他講他們美國是經濟冷暖不均跟我們一模一樣我們越靠一支股票在台積電啦股票漲跌就是看它沒有啦 就台積電這個部分來講跟我委員分享就是說台積電應該今年還是一樣還是繼續漲啦還是會不錯啦還是會不錯啦還是會不錯啦還是會不錯啦來 回到我今天真的要問的就是主權基金現在進度怎麼樣"},{"start":214.654,"end":225.581,"text":"這個部分的話就是說你們負責要評估的啊是你們啊我們這負責評估是沒有的報告出來沒有現在還在就是就國外的一些執行的狀況什麼時候可以出來"},{"start":226.896,"end":250.357,"text":"這個可能要院這邊做沒有你啊 什麼國發會啊 你要先出來才有現實體啊現在就是各個相關的那個部會會員收集資料所以你什麼時候可以告一段落什麼時候我只能就國發會這邊說法我沒有辦法代表其他的部會但我們這一邊其實有你是主管"},{"start":251.017,"end":270.83,"text":"評估的單位啊所以我國防會這一邊對於要給我一個時間表 現在已經很久了從去年到現在已經去年去年到現在已經是我公會了我們國防會這一邊其實有做一些國外案例的一些比較你告訴我 總是來這裡只能講一點話嘛你來來來 你跟我講現在是positive還是negative我們這一邊評估的"},{"start":278.584,"end":298.681,"text":"委員所謂的positive negative就是請教要涉還是說不要涉positive就是要涉negative就是不要涉主權基金要涉應該是一個比較一個政策的一個方向因為其他國家都在涉了像南韓的話今年又退了兩步沒有其他國家啦因為很多國家沒有涉了啊"},{"start":299.341,"end":318.751,"text":"美國大部分很多國家 現在大概有60幾個國家全球195個國家有設的幾十個 像30幾個一樣像中國它也有設 以色列也有設 韓國也有設那新加坡設的也有設 美國就沒有了啊有 美國他們有要推 也有設 現在為止沒有因為沒有辦法保證的啦大家都想說我多賺錢 問題要有料理"},{"start":326.034,"end":326.515,"text":"這部分還在評估啦要不要立特別法"},{"start":339.892,"end":343.295,"text":"我們這邊會建議用好強烈的反對無常的使用外匯這個請你記清楚謝謝委員主委先回座"}]}},"supported_relations":[],"relations":[]}