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09:17:49","會議時間":"2026-07-09T09:00:00+08:00","會議名稱":"立法院第11屆第5會期財政委員會第21次全體委員會議（事由：邀請中央銀行楊總裁金龍就「股市、通膨、匯率與房市多重風險中，中央銀行中長期因應策略與政策工具」進行專題報告，並備質詢。\n【7月8日及9日兩天一次會】）","transcript":{"pyannote":[{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":10.08846875,"end":11.590343750000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":11.87721875,"end":14.222843750000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":17.10846875,"end":18.10409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":22.91346875,"end":23.23409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":23.23409375,"end":23.31846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":23.31846875,"end":24.43221875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":23.80784375,"end":24.145343750000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":24.43221875,"end":24.95534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":24.95534375,"end":42.82596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":25.242218750000003,"end":26.22096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":43.517843750000004,"end":47.68596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":47.70284375,"end":55.195343750000006},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":55.60034375,"end":56.76471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":57.203468750000006,"end":61.422218750000006},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":61.72596875000001,"end":72.23909375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":72.25596875000001,"end":74.60159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":75.51284375,"end":76.28909375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":76.54221875,"end":84.79409375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":83.93346875,"end":85.89096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":85.46909375,"end":96.26909375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":96.40409375,"end":110.56221875000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":110.52846875,"end":111.54096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":111.13596875,"end":122.59409375000001},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":122.83034375000001,"end":124.58534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":125.20971875000001,"end":138.62534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":139.24971875,"end":151.28159375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":151.78784375,"end":156.39471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":157.08659375000002,"end":160.47846875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":161.25471875000002,"end":162.73971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":162.73971875,"end":163.38096875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":163.38096875000002,"end":177.03284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":177.45471875,"end":199.67909375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":198.56534375,"end":199.69596875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":201.14721875,"end":201.58596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":201.83909375000002,"end":202.96971875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":204.28596875000002,"end":205.61909375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":205.21409375000002,"end":205.43346875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":205.85534375,"end":208.48784375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":208.70721875,"end":209.02784375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":209.46659375000002,"end":210.39471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":211.00221875000003,"end":214.78221875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":215.18721875,"end":215.84534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":215.52471875,"end":252.63284375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":232.31534375,"end":233.00721875000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":237.19221875000002,"end":237.54659375000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":238.25534375,"end":238.55909375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":246.96284375000002,"end":247.80659375000002},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":252.63284375,"end":279.02534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":267.21284375,"end":267.48284375000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":279.02534375,"end":297.03096875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":297.72284375000004,"end":298.66784375000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":299.14034375,"end":303.79784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":299.68034375,"end":300.01784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":303.79784375,"end":328.78971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":329.38034375,"end":329.98784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":329.98784375,"end":330.24096875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":330.24096875000004,"end":336.34971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":336.48471875,"end":351.68909375000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":351.99284375,"end":373.18784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":373.49159375000005,"end":383.86971875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":383.86971875,"end":384.32534375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":384.32534375,"end":399.66471875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":399.63096875,"end":400.18784375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":400.10346875000005,"end":400.77846875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":400.45784375000005,"end":409.65471875000003},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":409.89096875,"end":448.63596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":448.83846875,"end":468.54846875000004},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":451.25159375000004,"end":451.69034375},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_00","start":468.54846875000004,"end":550.96596875},{"speaker":"SPEAKER_01","start":544.51971875,"end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謝謝主席楊總裁是不是請楊總裁請楊總裁"},{"start":23.27,"end":40.991,"text":"林委員早總裁你好我請教因為根據媒體的報導央行今年以來定期的存單未到期的餘款明顯下降市場資金獲得易注上半年釋放資金活水超過一兆元"},{"start":43.981,"end":62.37,"text":"這個台股的行情吸引了大批資金進場民眾包括世代同堂的情況央行報告有提到將密切來關注股市融資槓桿這個變化以及銀行資金流入股市的情形那我請問楊總裁"},{"start":63.931,"end":76.082,"text":"如何與金管會合作順利引導央行釋出的資金鼓勵銀行將資金投放到非股市的交易需求有沒有想法"},{"start":76.941,"end":95.881,"text":"是委員的這個問題非常好給我這個機會來稍微澄清一下就是說在我們的理事會六月份的理事會我們的基調就是說要稍微偏緊的方向來走"},{"start":96.542,"end":123.929,"text":"那如果說我們從今年初又放出一兆多的資金出來的話那真的很顯然的跟我們所說的就有一點就不一樣了背道而馳那就有出入了事實上是應該是這麼說就是說從今年初以來因為我們的稅收很好所以呢有很多的資金"},{"start":125.534,"end":138.434,"text":"據我了解可能是五六千億有可能喔就是被財政部的那個稅收因為他有一個帳戶在中央銀行的帳戶就被鎖在那邊了他沒有放出去"},{"start":139.378,"end":152.646,"text":"另外我們在最近才公佈我們最近才公佈我們中央銀行在第一季的時候我們賣匯了125億賣匯125億也是相當於把資金收回來這樣加起來大概就是我們存單減少的"},{"start":164.573,"end":176.182,"text":"所以呢我就說我非常謝謝委員給我這個機會來說明說事實上呢我們在六月的時候理事會的時候我們就說我們會比較偏緊"},{"start":178.083,"end":199.428,"text":"那怎麼我們又會說我們又釋出了一兆多的資金出去那是因為被鎖住了以後市場的資金就稍微緊了所以銀行他就沒有錢再來就是說要來申請我們的存單所以存單才會這樣一路剪下來你認為那個"},{"start":204.338,"end":232.304,"text":"那個總裁啊 是最近會不會約銀行來喝個咖啡來闡述一些認為說需要怎麼來配合的我想我們是密切注意啦那這個因為我們的房市呢都已經就是說已經是在一定的情況之下所以現在不會說動不動就請他們來也不大好意思"},{"start":233.244,"end":252.46,"text":"這個因為浪費他的時間那第二個呢股市到目前為止呢我認為呢我們還是密切的注意他特別是股市的這個部分呢是金管會是主管機關是應該是由他來來主導來主導的那我們事實上呢中央銀行呢也會密切的注意他好"},{"start":253.14,"end":277.521,"text":"那個總裁因為外資持續的賣超台股啦加大新台幣貶值的壓力那新台幣近日貶破32元的大關創三個月的新低點新低價那我請問央行外資領完股利後是我會繼續投入台灣的股市還是獲利了結將大部分的資金移往美國"},{"start":280.022,"end":296.547,"text":"就以前的經驗來看他偶爾也會把他的股利留在這邊偶爾的時候他也會把他的股利匯出去所以要看他自己本身的投資策略是怎麼樣"},{"start":299.338,"end":313.216,"text":"總裁你認為柳樹理論還是央行調節匯率的態度嗎是當然匯率一定是要讓他波動的但是央行也不是說讓他上下波動的幅度太大"},{"start":313.997,"end":327.457,"text":"我們也要讓它就是說有事的那個波動弧度是不大的除非是颱風那所以呢也就是說是讓它是在穩定的狀況之下呢有一些的變化"},{"start":329.591,"end":351.26,"text":"總裁金管會預計2027年推動美元計價鼓勵政策若台積電率先導入美元的配息就央行的角度來看美元計價的鼓勵政策是否有助於減少新台幣短期的匯率大幅度的波動"},{"start":352.721,"end":365.39,"text":"我想應該是會有幫忙啦有幫忙因為就是說就廠商來講就外資來講的話台積電譬如說像台積電他發放新台幣給他那他發放新台幣的時候他是要先賣匯"},{"start":373.696,"end":378.12,"text":"然後外資領到新台幣他又要買匯所以賣匯跟買匯的這個中間就會稍微有一點麻煩那這樣的話可能也會影響到匯率剛好如果說匯率如果說是我們要穩定的他又一直在賣匯或是他一直在買匯"},{"start":396.914,"end":408.911,"text":"多多少少也會影響到匯率的波動那個總裁因為足跡總數近日發布六月消費者物價指數年增率擴大至2.6%連續兩個月破2%的通膨警戒線"},{"start":415.339,"end":437.077,"text":"並創17個月以來的新高顯示物價壓力持續的升溫那台股龍井呈現K型化但多數人是沒有趕的民眾最明顯趕到物價上漲的地方就是來自日常飲食的便當小吃等等那對於央行"},{"start":437.937,"end":466.048,"text":"預估今年下半年通膨將逐漸降溫全年CPI年增率可望控制在2%以下本息沒有我是認為沒有這麼的樂觀面對極端的天候還有群流感可能影響農產品供給包括中年的問題油會影響整個畜牧飼料價格上漲這些因素都可能會推升整個物價"},{"start":466.988,"end":472.869,"text":"那個總裁你有什麼看法對 事實上對於低所得的階層來看事實上是他們也會有一些感覺不過整體來看的話不管就是說我們國內的機構或是國外的著名的機構對我們台灣的通膨的預測他們還是覺得我們應該是還是算是溫和的"},{"start":494.333,"end":498.115,"text":"除了就是說我們本身是控制在2%以下還有相較其他的主要的國家來講的話我們台灣的通膨能還算是溫和委員在講的這個部分我覺得也有道理不過我也跟委員報告中央銀行還是可以密切的來關注它反正我們還有時間我們還有時間來觀察它"},{"start":519.646,"end":536.481,"text":"這是第一點 第二點呢我們來看看我們油價現在最近這一兩天油價雖然是已經又因為美伊的不確定性在上升下來不過呢從我們的報告我們可以看到就是說那這個油價是跟是已經下降到"},{"start":537.562,"end":559.818,"text":"在美伊戰爭之前的水準所以應該會比較樂觀的油價如果下來的話輸入性通膨就會比較緩解另外為了製作生肖套幣央行每年都有固定的購買這些白銀的需求去年受到白銀價格大漲"},{"start":561.779,"end":582.044,"text":"馬聯套幣一套要2450元那2026年初白銀的價格來到120美元左右那如今回落到每盎司58到62美元區間有專家預估白銀年底可能會往上升每盎司可能到80"},{"start":583.724,"end":603.177,"text":"那2027年進一步挑戰110到130元左右那既然每年都要購買白銀的需求本席是希望說央行在適時的時候來評估購入價格相對較低的白銀讓每年生效套幣價格能夠穩定維持減輕整個民眾購買的負擔總裁你認為呢"},{"start":608.22,"end":613.506,"text":"喔好 我想委員的這個建議很好啦對啊你價格低的時候過去來啊我們以前我們大部分都是整批啦那如果說像委員這樣來建議的話我們還用分批的方式對啊你年度裡面你認為都是在"},{"start":625.898,"end":643.997,"text":"某個價錢是最高某個價錢最低最低的時候買進來你才可以很穩定的每年花個套幣一套多少錢不然的話像今年你到最後買的價格那麼高當然你張本求利你本身就是要那麼高你才划算嘛這個建議很好那最後一個 北溪"},{"start":646.099,"end":661.395,"text":"昨天有問財政部討論新清案2.0案何時對外公布莊部長表示因為外界持續有不同的意見來財政部目前正在檢視但一定會在7月底以前兩週內公布為了改善少子化的問題財政部"},{"start":662.816,"end":691.957,"text":"除了提出相關減稅方案外傳在新青康2.0方案中準備針對婚育的家庭推出加碼政策將貸款額度上限從一千萬調到一千五百萬新青康2.0政策傳言不斷方案似乎還有新的變動那我請問央行是否贊成改善這個少子化問題在未來的新青康2.0政策中有條件給予"},{"start":692.617,"end":698.419,"text":"婚育家庭不同的貸款額度是 我想就是說新興安這個我們也有提供意見啦但是基本上我總覺得這個新興安財政部是主管機關另一個很重要的參與者也是內政部所以也就是說內政部的意見也蠻重要的所以我想基本上我們還是尊重財政部跟內政部的意見"},{"start":722.83,"end":724.94,"text":"好谢谢我们结束林德福委员的质询"}]}},"supported_relations":[],"relations":[]}